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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 32
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
1–1
FT
Le HavreLe Havre

Momentum

– LOSC LilleLe Havre –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Capacity
50,186
Surface
grass
Attendance
44,378

Teams

Coaches
Bruno Génésio · Didier Digard
Position
3 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Guillaume Paradis

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
16.1° (feels 15.9°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

LOSC Lille

WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 1 · xG 8.21–4.2 · xPts 9.47

  • W A Paris 1–0 xG 1.7–1.36 FRA L1
  • D H Nice 0–0 xG 0.7–0.18 FRA L1
  • W A Toulouse 4–0 xG 1.98–1.21 FRA L1
  • W H Lens 3–0 xG 2.61–0.61 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Marseille 2–1 xG 1.24–0.84 FRA L1

Le Havre

LDDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 9.06–7.94 · xPts 7.53

  • D H Metz 4–4 xG 2.18–1.52 FRA L1
  • D A Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.68–1.08 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 2.11–2.28 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 1–1 xG 0.66–1.49 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 2–3 xG 2.43–1.57 FRA L1

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

LOSC Lille 61 draws1 Le Havre

Goals 15–4 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 8 matches

LOSC Lille 61 draws1 Le Havre

Goals 15–4 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

LOSC Lille 31 draws1 Le Havre

Goals 9–3 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D LOSC Lille 1–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–3 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 3–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 0–1 LOSC Lille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 3–1 Le Havre neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille at home · 17Le Havre all · 34Le Havre away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.791.711.030.71
W / D / L18 / 7 / 98 / 5 / 47 / 14 / 132 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.531.410.940.71
Goals against / match1.091.001.291.53
Clean sheets38%35%24%24%
Failed to score29%24%41%47%
Both teams scored38%47%50%41%
Over 2.538%29%32%24%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.581.711.181.03
xG against / match1.040.891.531.90
xG difference0.540.83-0.36-0.87
Finishing vs xG-0.05-0.30-0.24-0.32
xPts / match1.711.891.190.88
Points vs xPts0.09-0.18-0.16-0.17
Game state
Scored first53%47%35%35%
PPG when scoring first2.672.502.081.50
PPG when conceding first0.791.000.290.11
Came back from behind40%50%28%10%
Leads held86%80%58%33%
Minutes leading26%18%14%10%
Minutes level52%59%60%62%
Minutes trailing22%22%26%28%
First goal (min)48604143
First goal conceded (min)44473843
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%71%56%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%65%48%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.680.650.180.12
Late goals against0.210.240.260.41
Style
Possession56%57%47%47%
Shots13.614.810.99.9
On target4.64.83.63.4
Shot conversion11%10%9%7%
Shots inside box70%73%62%62%
Big chances created2.83.12.01.7
Corners5.76.44.33.7
xG from set plays30%30%31%23%
Goals from headers10%8%19%25%
Pressure index15.215.89.97.2
Dominant minutes61.463.043.936.4
Pass accuracy85%85%80%80%
Fouls10.710.513.713.9
Cards2.412.062.032.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.38Home 69% P 70%4.75Draw 20% P 20%8.5Away 11% P 10%

Double Chance

1.1Lille or Draw 43%1.18Lille or Le Havre 40%2.75Draw or Le Havre 17%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45%1.7No 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home70%69%72%+3.5
Draw20%20%18%-1.5
Away10%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Guillaume Paradis

Career
17 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
3.94 (3.82 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.06
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.06-0.5620
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.15
Fouls per card6.46.0+0.50 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.36-2.900
Time added8.96.7+1.6796
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-19 41 300 41'12
2026-03-21 50 190 5'9
2026-02-28 30 190 45'7
2026-02-06 · LOSC Lille 20 210 7'10
2026-01-25 50 320 15'9
2026-01-04 30 170 45'8
2025-11-30 20 180 48'8
2025-11-07 60 220 57'5
2025-10-25 70 330 18'17
2025-10-05 40 230 6'7