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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 32
StrasbourgStrasbourg
1–2
FT
ToulouseToulouse

Momentum

– StrasbourgToulouse –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Capacity
29,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,000

Teams

Coaches
Gary O'Neil · Carles Martínez Novell
Position
8 · 10
Formation
4-4-1-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Gaël Angoula

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
21.1° (feels 20.0°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
30%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Strasbourg

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.63–8.67 · xPts 5.64

  • L A Rayo Vallecano 0–1 xG 0.28–1.26 UEFA ECL
  • W A Lorient 3–2 xG 1.59–2.17 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 0–3 xG 0.75–3.35 FRA L1
  • W H FSV Mainz 05 4–0 xG 2.93–0.34 UEFA ECL
  • L A FSV Mainz 05 0–2 xG 1.08–1.55 UEFA ECL

Toulouse

WLLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 4.73–8.42 · xPts 5.09

  • D H Monaco 2–2 xG 2.05–0.89 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 2–3 xG 0.27–3.34 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–4 xG 1.21–1.98 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 1–3 xG 0.15–1.49 FRA L1
  • W H Lorient 1–0 xG 1.05–0.72 FRA L1

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Strasbourg 104 draws4 Toulouse

Goals 31–22 · 2.94 per match · BTTS 72% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Strasbourg 52 draws3 Toulouse

Goals 15–11 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Strasbourg 21 draws2 Toulouse

Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Toulouse 1–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 1–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 0–0 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 2–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Toulouse 2–2 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Toulouse 0–1 Strasbourg neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Strasbourg 4–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricStrasbourg all · 34Strasbourg at home · 17Toulouse all · 33Toulouse away · 16
Results
Matches34173316
Points per game1.561.761.331.25
W / D / L15 / 8 / 119 / 3 / 512 / 8 / 136 / 2 / 8
Goals for / match1.711.761.421.38
Goals against / match1.381.121.391.38
Clean sheets26%41%27%19%
Failed to score18%18%30%25%
Both teams scored65%53%48%56%
Over 2.565%65%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.461.501.381.11
xG against / match1.331.051.261.38
xG difference0.130.450.12-0.26
Finishing vs xG0.240.260.040.26
xPts / match1.441.631.471.24
Points vs xPts0.120.13-0.130.01
Game state
Scored first56%71%39%44%
PPG when scoring first2.052.082.381.86
PPG when conceding first0.921.000.610.78
Came back from behind31%17%38%33%
Leads held65%69%80%67%
Minutes leading26%31%24%24%
Minutes level52%59%45%47%
Minutes trailing22%10%31%29%
First goal (min)41384141
First goal conceded (min)39464044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%57%57%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%63%52%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.240.480.38
Late goals against0.350.350.300.38
Style
Possession54%52%42%41%
Shots11.512.112.810.9
On target4.65.14.33.8
Shot conversion15%15%11%13%
Shots inside box69%70%65%60%
Big chances created3.03.31.91.7
Corners4.24.94.53.8
xG from set plays23%21%38%36%
Goals from headers16%10%15%23%
Pressure index14.216.38.67.6
Dominant minutes54.756.638.235.5
Pass accuracy88%88%80%79%
Fouls11.19.614.414.8
Cards1.941.472.583.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Strasbourg

0–15'47
16–30'106
31–45'115
46–60'914
61–75'103
76–90'1412

Toulouse

0–15'95
16–30'49
31–45'78
46–60'58
61–75'66
76–90'1610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Strasbourg · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532

Game state

When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023

Situations

At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02

Toulouse · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182

Game state

When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392

Situations

At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104

Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32

Strasbourg

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.591.761.471.61.46
3-4-2-110 29%1.11.61.41.551.24
4-4-1-12 6%1.52.02.01.021.73
3-4-1-21 3%3.02.00.00.410.26
3-5-21 3%0.01.02.00.621.57

Toulouse

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 70%1.01.041.391.251.2
3-4-39 27%2.332.220.891.611.24
5-4-11 3%0.03.06.02.362.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 32% P 32%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.3Away 41% P 41%

Double Chance

1.57Strasbourg or Draw 30%1.28Strasbourg or Toulouse 37%1.4Draw or Toulouse 33%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 45%1.66Under 56% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.2
Draw27%28%24%-4.2
Away41%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Gaël Angoula

Career
31 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.35 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
22.6 · 6.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
38%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.284.06-1.670
Fouls / match21.824.3-1.25
Fouls per card6.76.0+0.84 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.36-0.4828
Time added8.76.7+1.5392
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.27

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-05 30 140 50'7
2026-03-15 · Toulouse 30 230 34'12
2026-02-22 50 390 47'9
2026-02-07 20 210 33'9
2026-01-17 · Toulouse 30 290 40'9
2025-12-14 · Strasbourg 10 90 50'9
2025-11-23 50 192 56'8
2025-11-02 40 160 26'7
2025-10-19 40 170 8'8
2025-10-04 30 230 10'8