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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 32
NiceNice
1–1
FT
LensLens

Momentum

– NiceLens –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Capacity
36,178
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,514

Teams

Coaches
Claude Puel · Pierre Sage
Position
15 · 2
Formation
5-4-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Thomas Léonard

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
16.3° (feels 15.4°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
53%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Nice

LLDDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 4.86–10.39 · xPts 3.79

  • D A Olympique Marseille 1–1 xG 1.38–1.81 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 0–0 xG 0.18–0.7 FRA L1
  • D H Le Havre 1–1 xG 2.28–2.11 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 1–3 xG 0.56–3.08 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–4 xG 0.46–2.69 FRA L1

Lens

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 11 · xG 12.31–7.16 · xPts 9.19

  • D A Brest 3–3 xG 3.7–0.34 FRA L1
  • W H Toulouse 3–2 xG 3.34–0.27 FRA L1
  • L A LOSC Lille 0–3 xG 0.61–2.61 FRA L1
  • W H Angers SCO 5–1 xG 3.02–1.9 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 1–2 xG 1.64–2.04 FRA L1

All meetings · 24 matches since 2005

Nice 99 draws6 Lens

Goals 20–19 · 1.63 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Nice 53 draws2 Lens

Goals 11–8 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Nice 22 draws1 Lens

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Nice 1–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 2–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lens 0–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 1–3 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 0–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 0–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 3–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Nice 2–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricNice all · 34Nice at home · 17Lens all · 34Lens away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.941.182.061.65
W / D / L7 / 11 / 164 / 8 / 522 / 4 / 88 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.091.121.941.82
Goals against / match1.761.591.031.29
Clean sheets18%24%35%24%
Failed to score32%35%18%24%
Both teams scored59%53%50%59%
Over 2.550%41%65%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.381.981.74
xG against / match1.711.651.291.50
xG difference-0.47-0.270.690.23
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.26-0.040.09
xPts / match1.121.261.731.46
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.090.320.18
Game state
Scored first38%35%59%53%
PPG when scoring first1.852.332.752.78
PPG when conceding first0.280.441.080.29
Came back from behind24%44%43%29%
Leads held54%67%92%89%
Minutes leading20%25%35%29%
Minutes level48%49%43%45%
Minutes trailing32%26%21%26%
First goal (min)42424042
First goal conceded (min)38383741
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%58%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%52%43%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.440.47
Late goals against0.350.410.150.24
Style
Possession46%46%51%50%
Shots11.213.016.414.6
On target3.94.45.64.7
Shot conversion10%9%12%12%
Shots inside box65%63%70%71%
Big chances created2.73.23.73.3
Corners5.15.56.25.6
xG from set plays27%27%23%22%
Goals from headers11%16%17%10%
Pressure index9.09.616.714.6
Dominant minutes40.942.654.648.6
Pass accuracy82%82%84%84%
Fouls12.412.212.712.7
Cards2.122.002.182.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Lens

0–15'67
16–30'77
31–45'136
46–60'163
61–75'97
76–90'155

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Lens · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365

Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Lens

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 100%2.061.941.031.981.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 19%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.61Away 58% P 59%

Double Chance

2.15Nice or Draw 22%1.2Nice or Lens 39%1.18Draw or Lens 39%

Draw No Bet

3.41 28%1.32 72%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 62%2.37Under 40% P 38%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%15%-3.2
Draw22%23%21%-1.4
Away59%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.5

Thomas Léonard

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.08 (3.84 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
24.6 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 88 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.924.06-0.3632
Fouls / match24.524.3+0.17
Fouls per card6.26.0+0.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.36-0.4332
Time added6.86.7+0.1648
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-19 50 271 7'9
2026-04-04 · Nice 20 220 41'7
2026-03-14 · Lens 50 170 23'11
2026-03-01 40 260 17'13
2026-02-15 · Nice 40 280 21'7
2026-01-25 20 210 25'8
2025-12-05 61 320 10'8
2025-11-23 40 211 20'5
2025-11-02 20 240 83'7
2025-10-29 30 180 3'12