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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 32
ParisParis
4–0
FT
BrestBrest

Momentum

– ParisBrest –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity
15,097
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
15,318

Teams

Coaches
Antoine Kombouare · Eric Roy
Position
12 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Marc Bollengier

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
19.6° (feels 19.3°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Paris

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 8.06–8.36 · xPts 6.81

  • L H LOSC Lille 0–1 xG 1.36–1.7 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 3–1 xG 1.41–0.94 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 4–1 xG 2.44–2.15 FRA L1
  • D A Lorient 1–1 xG 1.28–1.15 FRA L1
  • W H Le Havre 3–2 xG 1.57–2.43 FRA L1

Brest

LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 13 · xG 4.21–11.12 · xPts 3.41

  • D H Lens 3–3 xG 0.34–3.7 FRA L1
  • D A Nantes 1–1 xG 0.32–0.95 FRA L1
  • L H Rennes 3–4 xG 1.18–3.21 FRA L1
  • L A Auxerre 0–3 xG 0.94–1.52 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 0–2 xG 1.41–1.75 FRA L1

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Paris 20 draws0 Brest

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Paris 20 draws0 Brest

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Paris 20 draws0 Brest

Goals 6–1 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Paris 4–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Brest 1–2 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricParis all · 34Paris at home · 17Brest all · 34Brest away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.291.471.150.76
W / D / L11 / 11 / 127 / 4 / 610 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.381.651.260.88
Goals against / match1.471.591.621.88
Clean sheets24%24%26%12%
Failed to score26%29%32%41%
Both teams scored62%53%47%47%
Over 2.556%65%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.531.290.91
xG against / match1.621.601.541.66
xG difference-0.30-0.07-0.25-0.75
Finishing vs xG0.060.12-0.03-0.02
xPts / match1.251.391.280.95
Points vs xPts0.040.08-0.13-0.19
Game state
Scored first41%35%47%35%
PPG when scoring first2.142.671.941.33
PPG when conceding first0.630.800.380.45
Came back from behind33%40%21%23%
Leads held69%88%56%38%
Minutes leading23%25%24%15%
Minutes level49%40%44%45%
Minutes trailing28%34%32%41%
First goal (min)41413547
First goal conceded (min)40323338
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%54%49%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%52%51%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.590.240.24
Late goals against0.380.350.320.47
Style
Possession50%52%43%42%
Shots11.713.511.28.6
On target4.04.53.52.5
Shot conversion12%12%11%10%
Shots inside box67%69%63%63%
Big chances created2.42.82.21.5
Corners4.45.53.93.1
xG from set plays26%30%36%42%
Goals from headers4%7%21%13%
Pressure index10.512.78.16.1
Dominant minutes46.054.536.732.6
Pass accuracy84%84%78%78%
Fouls10.610.812.712.9
Cards2.352.821.851.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73
16–30'99
31–45'59
46–60'510
61–75'76
76–90'1413

Brest

0–15'98
16–30'612
31–45'77
46–60'86
61–75'511
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)-0.364
Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062
When level-0.154
10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212
Away-0.042
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082
v bottom-tier opponents-0.162
As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.222
Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-310 29%1.51.92.01.421.79
5-4-18 24%1.00.750.881.041.42
4-2-3-17 21%1.431.571.01.341.09
4-1-4-13 9%2.02.671.671.962.36
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.430.83

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.421.381.421.351.38
4-3-35 15%0.21.02.21.512.04
4-1-4-12 6%0.51.53.50.512.69
4-4-21 3%3.02.00.01.791.34
3-4-31 3%0.00.01.00.271.95

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 51%3.75Draw 25% P 25%3.9Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.28Paris FC or Draw 37%1.28Paris FC or Brest 37%1.8Draw or Brest 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59% P 65%2.25Under 41% P 35%
3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%53%+2.3
Draw25%25%23%-2.6
Away23%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Marc Bollengier

Career
69 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.99 (3.7 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.06-0.1944
Fouls / match25.924.3+0.92
Fouls per card6.66.0+0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.36+0.7580
Time added6.76.7+0.0840
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 41 350 34'8
2026-04-04 · Brest 60 242 34'12
2026-03-13 60 290 22'7
2026-02-28 30 221 31'7
2026-02-15 40 250 6'5
2026-01-24 30 290 21'8
2026-01-04 52 371 26'10
2025-12-14 60 321 24'8
2025-12-06 31 140 53'6
2025-11-23 40 300 29'6