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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 33
MetzMetz
0–4
FT
LorientLorient

Momentum

– MetzLorient –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
Capacity
28,786
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,111

Teams

Coaches
Benoit Tavenot · Olivier Pantaloni
Position
18 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jeremy Stinat

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
14.2° (feels 14.1°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Metz

DLLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 6.01–8.08 · xPts 5.75

  • L H Monaco 1–2 xG 1.22–1.34 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 4–4 xG 1.52–2.18 FRA L1
  • L H Paris 1–3 xG 0.94–1.41 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 1–3 xG 0.33–2.39 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 0–0 xG 2.01–0.77 FRA L1

Lorient

DLWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.69–9.14 · xPts 5.72

  • D A Paris Saint Germain 2–2 xG 0.83–3.13 FRA L1
  • L H Strasbourg 2–3 xG 2.17–1.59 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 1.24–2.04 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 0–2 xG 1.3–1.11 FRA L1
  • D H Paris 1–1 xG 1.15–1.28 FRA L1

All meetings · 14 matches since 2007

Metz 32 draws9 Lorient

Goals 19–33 · 3.71 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 79%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Metz 32 draws5 Lorient

Goals 17–22 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Metz 11 draws3 Lorient

Goals 5–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Metz 0–4 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Metz 1–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 2–3 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–0 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 4–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 2–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Metz 3–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 5–1 Metz FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Metz 3–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMetz all · 34Metz at home · 17Lorient all · 34Lorient away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.500.591.320.88
W / D / L3 / 8 / 232 / 4 / 1111 / 12 / 113 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match0.940.881.411.00
Goals against / match2.241.881.501.53
Clean sheets21%24%21%18%
Failed to score44%47%29%53%
Both teams scored50%47%53%35%
Over 2.562%53%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.001.161.351.08
xG against / match1.771.411.381.57
xG difference-0.77-0.25-0.03-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.06-0.280.07-0.08
xPts / match0.931.211.341.07
Points vs xPts-0.43-0.62-0.01-0.18
Game state
Scored first21%18%47%29%
PPG when scoring first1.141.332.192.20
PPG when conceding first0.180.270.530.27
Came back from behind8%8%42%27%
Leads held38%50%65%60%
Minutes leading6%6%26%16%
Minutes level52%58%49%48%
Minutes trailing42%35%25%36%
First goal (min)42483738
First goal conceded (min)31394542
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%60%58%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%67%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.350.380.53
Late goals against0.710.710.470.41
Style
Possession49%50%45%45%
Shots10.111.811.310.7
On target3.23.83.93.5
Shot conversion9%8%12%9%
Shots inside box62%61%63%61%
Big chances created1.41.82.01.5
Corners4.24.93.53.8
xG from set plays33%31%33%30%
Goals from headers16%13%6%0%
Pressure index8.710.110.19.6
Dominant minutes40.346.842.842.1
Pass accuracy85%86%84%84%
Fouls11.411.59.59.5
Cards1.761.471.681.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Metz

0–15'412
16–30'49
31–45'613
46–60'59
61–75'29
76–90'1124

Lorient

0–15'46
16–30'76
31–45'95
46–60'811
61–75'77
76–90'1316

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Metz

No pressure profile yet.

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Metz

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 56%0.581.112.051.041.7
3-4-2-15 15%0.20.42.60.771.98
4-3-34 12%0.250.753.01.022.05
4-1-4-13 9%1.00.671.331.421.38
5-3-22 6%0.00.02.00.321.82

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%1.291.391.681.371.46
3-4-34 12%1.751.750.51.680.99
5-4-12 6%1.01.01.00.410.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 33%3.75Draw 25% P 27%2.3Away 41% P 41%

Double Chance

1.66Metz or Draw 28%1.28Metz or Lorient 37%1.36Draw or Lorient 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 59%2.2Under 43% P 41%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%33%29%-3.9
Draw27%26%30%+4.7
Away41%41%40%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Jeremy Stinat

Career
134 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.1 (3.85 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.3 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.14.06+0.0160
Fouls / match24.324.3+0.08
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.36-0.6020
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-25 21 120 10'7
2026-04-19 · Metz 40 170 13'10
2026-03-15 41 230 42'5
2026-03-01 · Metz 31 250 22'8
2026-02-22 · Lorient 50 191 29'11
2026-01-30 30 300 49'13
2026-01-04 50 250 13'7
2025-11-28 · Metz –– 17– –7
2025-11-02 30 260 58'6
2025-10-29 82 340 25'11