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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 33
AuxerreAuxerre
2–1
FT
NiceNice

Momentum

– AuxerreNice –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
Capacity
18,541
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,052

Teams

Coaches
Christophe Pélissier · Claude Puel
Position
16 · 15
Formation
4-3-3 · 5-4-1

Referee

François Letexier

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.9° (feels 12.8°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Auxerre

DDDLW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 6.06–8.18 · xPts 5.61

  • W H Angers SCO 3–1 xG 2.16–2.08 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 2–3 xG 1.02–2.1 FRA L1
  • D A Monaco 2–2 xG 0.74–2.18 FRA L1
  • D H Nantes 0–0 xG 0.66–1.16 FRA L1
  • D A Le Havre 1–1 xG 1.49–0.66 FRA L1

Nice

LDDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.41–8.39 · xPts 5.15

  • D H Lens 1–1 xG 1.0–0.69 FRA L1
  • D A Olympique Marseille 1–1 xG 1.38–1.81 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 0–0 xG 0.18–0.7 FRA L1
  • D H Le Havre 1–1 xG 2.28–2.11 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 1–3 xG 0.56–3.08 FRA L1

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Auxerre 105 draws6 Nice

Goals 22–16 · 1.81 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 24%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Auxerre 43 draws3 Nice

Goals 11–11 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Auxerre 31 draws1 Nice

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Auxerre 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 3–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 Auxerre neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 2–1 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricAuxerre all · 34Auxerre at home · 17Nice all · 34Nice away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.001.290.940.71
W / D / L8 / 10 / 166 / 4 / 77 / 11 / 163 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.001.061.091.06
Goals against / match1.291.001.761.94
Clean sheets26%41%18%12%
Failed to score47%47%32%29%
Both teams scored41%35%59%65%
Over 2.544%47%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.121.271.241.11
xG against / match1.371.171.711.78
xG difference-0.250.10-0.47-0.67
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.21-0.15-0.05
xPts / match1.231.421.120.99
Points vs xPts-0.23-0.13-0.18-0.28
Game state
Scored first32%29%38%41%
PPG when scoring first2.273.001.851.43
PPG when conceding first0.220.380.280.11
Came back from behind16%12%24%8%
Leads held62%86%54%43%
Minutes leading18%20%20%15%
Minutes level57%58%48%47%
Minutes trailing25%22%32%38%
First goal (min)31434242
First goal conceded (min)39383838
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%67%49%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%47%52%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.210.24
Late goals against0.350.410.350.29
Style
Possession44%44%46%47%
Shots10.711.511.29.5
On target3.53.83.93.5
Shot conversion9%9%10%11%
Shots inside box65%67%65%66%
Big chances created1.71.82.72.1
Corners4.85.55.14.6
xG from set plays31%37%27%28%
Goals from headers18%22%11%6%
Pressure index8.19.69.08.4
Dominant minutes39.243.140.939.2
Pass accuracy80%79%82%82%
Fouls13.713.412.412.5
Cards2.292.242.122.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Auxerre

0–15'65
16–30'49
31–45'76
46–60'38
61–75'84
76–90'612

Nice

0–15'59
16–30'67
31–45'813
46–60'79
61–75'410
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Auxerre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.004
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When level-0.114
When behind+0.133
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.022
4+ days rest+0.004

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
v bottom-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog+0.022

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.094

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.24

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Auxerre

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-312 35%1.331.251.331.451.19
5-4-19 26%0.780.671.220.881.32
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.41.20.861.56
4-4-22 6%1.01.01.01.231.29
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.02.00.822.25

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 21%0.861.291.861.331.64
3-4-2-16 18%1.171.01.51.611.26
5-4-15 15%0.60.61.00.891.23
3-4-1-24 12%1.751.51.00.951.66
3-5-23 9%0.330.671.671.421.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.1Away 30% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Auxerre or Draw 34%1.3Auxerre or Nice 36%1.53Draw or Nice 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
5.52.0Over 46% P 44%1.72Under 54% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%42%+0.5
Draw28%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

François Letexier

Career
253 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.06+0.7184
Fouls / match22.924.3-0.68
Fouls per card5.26.0-1.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.2056
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
31' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-26 40 242 47'12
2026-04-15 10 180 70'5
2026-04-04 50 221 45'14
2026-03-22 31 301 40'10
2026-03-18 40 221 17'18
2026-03-14 · Nice 40 230 50'9
2026-02-17 40 150 51'16
2026-02-14 60 211 26'6
2026-02-08 · Auxerre 50 190 8'6
2026-02-01 50 260 42'9