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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 33

Momentum

Le HavreOM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Capacity
25,181
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,201

Teams

Coaches
Didier Digard · Habib Beye
Position
14 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
9.5° (feels 6.0°)
Wind
8.2
Humidity
100%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Havre

DDDDD 0W 5D 0L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 6.78–8.09 · xPts 5.92

  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 0.15–1.73 FRA L1
  • D H Metz 4–4 xG 2.18–1.52 FRA L1
  • D A Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.68–1.08 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 2.11–2.28 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 1–1 xG 0.66–1.49 FRA L1

Olympique Marseille

LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 9.67–6.59 · xPts 8.97

  • L A Nantes 0–3 xG 1.5–2.72 FRA L1
  • D H Nice 1–1 xG 1.81–1.38 FRA L1
  • L A Lorient 0–2 xG 2.04–1.24 FRA L1
  • W H Metz 3–1 xG 2.39–0.33 FRA L1
  • L A Monaco 1–2 xG 1.92–0.93 FRA L1

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Le Havre 00 draws8 Olympique Marseille

Goals 5–23 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Le Havre 00 draws8 Olympique Marseille

Goals 5–23 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Le Havre 00 draws5 Olympique Marseille

Goals 5–17 · 4.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Le Havre 0–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 6–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 1–3 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 5–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 1–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 3–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Olympique Marseille 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 0–1 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Havre all · 34Le Havre at home · 17Olympique Marseille all · 34Olympique Marseille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.031.351.741.29
W / D / L7 / 14 / 135 / 8 / 418 / 5 / 117 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match0.941.181.851.29
Goals against / match1.291.061.321.47
Clean sheets24%24%26%24%
Failed to score41%35%24%41%
Both teams scored50%59%50%35%
Over 2.532%41%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.331.701.61
xG against / match1.531.171.201.35
xG difference-0.360.160.490.25
Finishing vs xG-0.24-0.150.16-0.31
xPts / match1.191.501.691.55
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.150.04-0.26
Game state
Scored first35%35%59%47%
PPG when scoring first2.082.672.402.38
PPG when conceding first0.290.500.790.33
Came back from behind28%50%31%10%
Leads held58%83%72%78%
Minutes leading14%18%38%28%
Minutes level60%58%41%43%
Minutes trailing26%24%21%29%
First goal (min)41393638
First goal conceded (min)38344647
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%55%59%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%33%69%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.500.29
Late goals against0.260.120.440.29
Style
Possession47%47%57%56%
Shots10.912.015.114.4
On target3.63.95.75.1
Shot conversion9%10%12%9%
Shots inside box62%62%64%64%
Big chances created2.02.23.02.6
Corners4.34.85.24.8
xG from set plays31%38%26%26%
Goals from headers19%15%10%4%
Pressure index9.912.617.615.8
Dominant minutes43.951.458.355.6
Pass accuracy80%81%87%87%
Fouls13.713.412.712.5
Cards2.031.942.532.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Le Havre

0–15'46
16–30'46
31–45'611
46–60'56
61–75'76
76–90'69

Olympique Marseille

0–15'95
16–30'106
31–45'73
46–60'1010
61–75'106
76–90'1715

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-37 21%0.860.571.141.231.31
4-1-3-26 18%1.00.671.171.361.68
4-2-3-15 15%1.21.61.41.511.35
4-1-4-15 15%0.61.01.61.221.26
3-4-1-24 12%0.750.751.01.191.9

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%2.172.441.171.91.23
3-4-2-19 26%1.441.671.441.521.09
3-4-1-22 6%1.51.01.01.310.95
3-2-4-11 3%0.00.01.02.280.97
3-5-21 3%3.01.00.00.590.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.75Home 25% P 25%3.8Draw 25% P 25%1.9Away 50% P 50%

Double Chance

1.8Le Havre or Draw 26%1.25Le Havre or Marseille 37%1.28Draw or Marseille 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 50–52.5% · 348 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%27%+3.4
Draw25%25%29%+3.7
Away50%51%44%-7.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.5

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.264.06+0.3472
Fouls / match24.624.3+0.19
Fouls per card5.86.0-0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.1652
Time added7.36.7+0.5280
First card
31' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-26 50 301 38'12
2026-04-12 50 310 45'9
2026-04-09 40 301 17'10
2026-03-22 · Olympique Marseille 40 140 1'13
2026-03-18 12 8
2026-03-08 · Le Havre 40 320 21'7
2026-02-26 41 240 28'8
2026-02-13 19 7
2026-02-08 40 210 13'7
2026-01-28 50 231 27'8