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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 33
MonacoMonaco
0–1
FT
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille

Momentum

– MonacoLOSC Lille –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass
Attendance
8,314

Teams

Coaches
Sebastien Pocognoli · Bruno Génésio
Position
6 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
17.5° (feels 17.6°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 156

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 742945 76 WDWWL
2 Lens 342248 663531 70 DDWLW
3 LOSC Lille 341879 523715 61 DWDWL
4 Olympique Lyonnais 3418610 534013 60 WWWLL
5 Olympique Marseille 3418511 634518 59 LDLWW
6 Rennes 341789 59509 59 WWLWL
7 Monaco 3416612 60546 54 DDWLL
8 Strasbourg 3415811 584711 53 WLDWW
9 Lorient 34111211 4851-3 45 WLDWL
10 Toulouse 3312813 47461 44 LLDWW
11 Paris 34111112 4750-3 44 WLWLW
12 Brest 3410915 4355-12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers SCO 349916 2948-19 36 DLLDD
14 Le Havre 3471413 3244-12 35 DDDLW
15 Auxerre 3481016 3444-10 34 DLWWW
16 Nice 3471116 3760-23 32 DDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 2952-23 23 DLLWL
18 Metz 343823 3276-44 17 LDLLD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

WLDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 7.48–8.36 · xPts 6.41

  • W A Metz 2–1 xG 1.34–1.22 FRA L1
  • D A Toulouse 2–2 xG 0.89–2.05 FRA L1
  • D H Auxerre 2–2 xG 2.18–0.74 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 1–4 xG 2.15–2.44 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–1 xG 0.93–1.92 FRA L1

LOSC Lille

WWDWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 1 · xG 8.7–3.52 · xPts 10.33

  • D H Le Havre 1–1 xG 1.73–0.15 FRA L1
  • W A Paris 1–0 xG 1.7–1.36 FRA L1
  • D H Nice 0–0 xG 0.7–0.18 FRA L1
  • W A Toulouse 4–0 xG 1.98–1.21 FRA L1
  • W H Lens 3–0 xG 2.61–0.61 FRA L1

All meetings · 37 matches since 2005

Monaco 1310 draws14 LOSC Lille

Goals 43–43 · 2.32 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 23 draws5 LOSC Lille

Goals 9–13 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 11 draws3 LOSC Lille

Goals 2–4 · 1.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Monaco 0–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 1–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 2–1 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 0–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 1–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 2–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 0–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L LOSC Lille 4–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W LOSC Lille 1–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 2–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 34Monaco at home · 17LOSC Lille all · 34LOSC Lille away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.591.881.791.88
W / D / L16 / 6 / 1210 / 2 / 518 / 7 / 910 / 2 / 5
Goals for / match1.761.941.531.65
Goals against / match1.591.351.091.18
Clean sheets21%29%38%41%
Failed to score21%12%29%35%
Both teams scored65%59%38%29%
Over 2.565%65%38%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.761.581.46
xG against / match1.431.211.041.20
xG difference0.200.550.540.26
Finishing vs xG0.140.18-0.050.19
xPts / match1.491.681.711.52
Points vs xPts0.100.200.090.36
Game state
Scored first44%53%53%59%
PPG when scoring first2.533.002.672.80
PPG when conceding first0.820.630.790.50
Came back from behind33%38%40%29%
Leads held84%100%86%91%
Minutes leading28%34%26%34%
Minutes level51%49%52%45%
Minutes trailing21%17%22%21%
First goal (min)43394834
First goal conceded (min)47484440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%64%71%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%56%62%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.410.680.71
Late goals against0.410.290.210.18
Style
Possession54%55%56%55%
Shots12.512.113.612.4
On target4.44.54.64.5
Shot conversion14%16%11%13%
Shots inside box73%74%70%66%
Big chances created3.03.12.82.4
Corners5.14.95.75.1
xG from set plays25%26%30%30%
Goals from headers12%12%10%11%
Pressure index12.313.215.214.5
Dominant minutes50.052.661.459.8
Pass accuracy83%84%85%85%
Fouls13.012.810.710.9
Cards2.442.062.412.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Monaco

0–15'55
16–30'76
31–45'1010
46–60'127
61–75'1412
76–90'1214

LOSC Lille

0–15'53
16–30'54
31–45'57
46–60'99
61–75'57
76–90'237

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.037
Early press (0-15, level)+0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.162

Game state

When ahead-0.096
When level+0.037
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.434
10 min after scoring+0.267

Situations

At home-0.113
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.223
As favourite-0.044
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.196
Conceded late (76+)+0.106

Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.09

LOSC Lille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255

Game state

When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 41%1.571.641.291.471.31
4-2-3-17 21%1.861.711.141.731.2
3-1-4-23 9%2.03.03.02.472.15
3-4-1-22 6%3.02.51.02.081.55
4-2-2-22 6%0.50.51.50.920.66

LOSC Lille

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%1.931.550.91.580.98
4-3-32 6%0.50.52.00.861.28
5-4-11 3%0.01.04.01.963.0
4-3-1-21 3%1.01.01.00.640.59
4-4-21 3%3.04.02.03.730.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 36% P 37%3.7Draw 26% P 26%2.5Away 38% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Monaco or Draw 31%1.25Monaco or Lille 38%1.5Draw or Lille 31%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 58%2.3Under 41% P 42%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-0.6
Draw26%28%28%+0.2
Away37%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Clément Turpin

Career
414 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.38
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 91 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.474.06-1.2512
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7416
Time added6.16.7-0.3424
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-03 30 241 23'13
2026-04-25 · Monaco 50 270 31'5
2026-04-22 30 191 35'6
2026-04-14 11 230 69'12
2026-04-05 · Monaco 40 230 8'7
2026-03-22 11 220 55'7
2026-03-17 31 131 20'13
2026-02-27 40 160 4'7
2026-02-24 30 130 40'9
2026-02-08 50 270 54'5