Alverca v Porto · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15

AlvercaAlverca

0–3

PortoPorto

Momentum

– AlvercaPorto –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Alverca	at home	Stat	league	away	Porto
44.9 #15	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	55.0 #4
9.7 #16	–	Shots total	12.1	–	14.5 #3
3.5 #13	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	5.3 #3
4.4 #9	–	Corners	4.7	–	5.7 #3
12.5 #15	–	Fouls	13.7	–	13.9 #8
1.2 #16	–	Offsides	1.5	–	2.1 #1
16.0 #6	–	Tackles	15.6	–	14.9 #12
79.4 #13	–	Attacks	90.3	–	104.3 #4
38.7 #10	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	51.4 #4
365.4 #13	–	Passes	405.0	–	449.7 #4
2.2 #15	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.3 #14
0.0 #12	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.0 #12
0.7 #10	–	Assists	0.9	–	1.3 #3
– #3	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #16
– #15	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #1
– #10	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #18
1.2 #11	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.9 #3
-0.1 #16	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	0.1 #6
– #10	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #17
1.0 #13	1.1	Goals	1.3	1.9	1.9 #3
1.5 #8	1.4	Goals conceded	1.3	0.7	0.5 #18
0.3 #5	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.1 #15
7.8 #16	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	9.2 #6
– #9	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #16
0.1 #10	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.2 #3
6.7 #11	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.9 #3
2.3 #17	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	4.0 #3
6.1 #14	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	9.6 #3
3.9 #15	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	5.2 #7
3.5 #17	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	4.9 #8
– #10	–	Win	36.4	–	– #1

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Alverca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Figueiredo 22 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 7.01 (80th pct) · G+A 6 + 2 (23% of team goals) · 62% of minutes

Team 1.17 ppg with (24) · 1.1 without (10)

Nabil Touaizi 2 · Right Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.75 (44th pct) · G+A 1 + 5 (17% of team goals) · 92% of minutes

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 10 · Left Wing

Injury · Unknown Injury

Rating 6.99 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (17% of team goals) · 49% of minutes

Team 0.89 ppg with (18) · 1.44 without (16)

All key players

Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Victor Froholdt 8 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.99 (82th pct) · G+A 6 + 7 (20% of team goals) · 94% of minutes

Samu Aghehowa 9 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.11 (93th pct) · G+A 13 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 46% of minutes

Team 2.63 ppg with (19) · 2.53 without (15)

Alberto Costa 20 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 7.03 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 73% of minutes

Team 2.56 ppg with (25) · 2.67 without (9)

All key players

Absences

Alverca

injury Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira #3 key player attacker · Unknown Injury · 14 missed · until 2026-01-01

Porto

injury Luuk de Jong attacker · Knee Injury · 39 missed · until 2026-09-30
injury Nehuén Pérez #14 key player defender · Achilles tendon rupture · 38 missed · until 2026-04-01

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 15

Venue

Stadium: Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity: 7,705
Surface: grass
Attendance: 5,634

Teams

Coaches: Custodio · Francesco Farioli
Position: 11 · 1
Formation: 3-4-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Weather

Conditions: scattered clouds
Temperature: 12.4° (feels 11.9°)
Wind: 1.5
Humidity: 87%

Where to watch · 12

Brazil Disney+ Premium Brazil
Cyprus Cytavision on the Go · Cytavision Sports 6
France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Free
International Bet365
Italy DAZN Italia
Liechtenstein Blue Sport
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Switzerland Blue Sport
United States fuboTV

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Alverca

LDWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 5.55–6.25 · xPts 6.92

L A Arouca 0–1 xG 0.33–1.39 PRT PL
W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.95–1.12 PRT PL
W A Casa Pia 2–0 xG 1.2–0.29 PRT PL
D H Rio Ave 1–1 xG 1.77–0.6 PRT PL
L A Sporting CP 0–2 xG 0.31–2.85 PRT PL

Porto

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2 · xG 10.74–3.09 · xPts 11.23

W H Estrela Amadora 3–1 xG 3.49–0.26 PRT PL
W H Malmö FF 2–1 xG 2.68–0.72 UEFA EL
W A Tondela 2–0 xG 1.9–0.58 PRT PL
W H Estoril 1–0 xG 1.37–0.72 PRT PL
W H Nice 3–0 xG 1.31–0.81 UEFA EL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Alverca 00 draws3 Porto

Goals 0–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Alverca 00 draws3 Porto

Goals 0–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Alverca 00 draws3 Porto

Goals 0–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

L Porto 2–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Porto 1–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
L Alverca 0–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Alverca all · 34	Alverca at home · 17	Porto all · 34	Porto away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.15	1.53	2.59	2.53
W / D / L	10 / 9 / 15	7 / 5 / 5	28 / 4 / 2	14 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match	1.03	1.06	1.94	1.94
Goals against / match	1.53	1.35	0.53	0.71
Clean sheets	18%	29%	62%	53%
Failed to score	29%	24%	3%	0%
Both teams scored	56%	53%	38%	47%
Over 2.5	50%	47%	56%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.16	1.39	1.86	1.87
xG against / match	1.34	1.19	0.71	0.83
xG difference	-0.18	0.20	1.16	1.04
Finishing vs xG	-0.13	-0.33	0.08	0.07
xPts / match	1.29	1.51	2.07	2.03
Points vs xPts	-0.14	0.02	0.52	0.50
Game state
Scored first	35%	47%	85%	76%
PPG when scoring first	2.33	2.50	2.79	2.85
PPG when conceding first	0.48	0.63	1.50	1.50
Came back from behind	29%	38%	50%	50%
Leads held	71%	78%	90%	93%
Minutes leading	18%	20%	51%	48%
Minutes level	53%	48%	43%	40%
Minutes trailing	29%	31%	6%	12%
First goal (min)	49	56	36	39
First goal conceded (min)	40	35	56	51
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	72%	56%	61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	54%	52%	78%	67%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.35	0.47	0.35	0.24
Late goals against	0.26	0.18	0.18	0.24
Style
Possession	45%	47%	55%	54%
Shots	9.6	10.6	14.5	14.4
On target	3.5	3.6	5.3	5.2
Shot conversion	11%	10%	13%	14%
Shots inside box	64%	65%	66%	65%
Big chances created	2.1	2.5	2.9	2.8
Corners	4.4	4.6	5.6	5.6
xG from set plays	42%	48%	31%	29%
Goals from headers	26%	28%	14%	22%
Pressure index	8.4	9.3	19.9	19.0
Dominant minutes	39.1	44.4	64.8	64.6
Pass accuracy	80%	81%	84%	84%
Fouls	12.5	13.0	13.9	14.2
Cards	2.38	1.88	2.53	2.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57

16–30'37

31–45'610

46–60'410

61–75'59

76–90'129

Porto

0–15'91

16–30'82

31–45'121

46–60'135

61–75'123

76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)-0.066

Late push (76+, level)-0.382

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304

When level-0.126

When behind+0.164

10 min after conceding+0.176

10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153

Away+0.123

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033

v bottom-tier opponents+0.152

Evenly matched-0.292

As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036

Conceded when ahead+0.414

Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407

Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146

When level+0.807

When behind+0.193

10 min after conceding+0.203

10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404

Away+0.393

4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605

As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077

Conceded when ahead+0.126

Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	25 74%	1.24	1.08	1.36	1.23	1.27
3-4-2-1	7 21%	1.14	1.0	2.0	1.06	1.42
5-4-1	2 6%	0.0	0.5	2.0	0.64	1.93

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	34 100%	2.59	1.94	0.53	1.86	0.71

Metric	Alverca all · 10	Alverca at home · 10	Porto all · 10	Porto away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.90	1.20	2.40	2.20
W / D / L	2 / 3 / 5	2 / 6 / 2	8 / 0 / 2	7 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match	1.10	1.30	1.80	2.10
Goals against / match	1.50	1.40	0.70	1.10
Clean sheets	0%	10%	60%	20%
Failed to score	30%	10%	10%	10%
Both teams scored	70%	90%	30%	70%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	40%	80%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.97	1.08	1.96	1.84
xG against / match	1.43	1.12	1.09	1.20
xG difference	-0.45	-0.04	0.87	0.64
Finishing vs xG	0.13	0.22	-0.16	0.26
xPts / match	1.06	1.35	1.86	1.76
Points vs xPts	-0.16	-0.15	0.54	0.44
Game state
Scored first	50%	50%	60%	60%
PPG when scoring first	1.60	1.20	3.00	2.67
PPG when conceding first	0.20	1.25	1.50	1.50
Came back from behind	17%	60%	50%	50%
Leads held	33%	29%	100%	88%
Minutes leading	22%	27%	45%	56%
Minutes level	48%	55%	42%	27%
Minutes trailing	30%	18%	14%	17%
First goal (min)	42	44	37	27
First goal conceded (min)	50	52	33	50
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	46%	69%	50%	38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	73%	86%	57%	64%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.10	0.30	0.30	0.30
Late goals against	0.30	0.40	0.20	0.40
Style
Possession	43%	47%	55%	48%
Shots	9.2	9.5	14.4	13.7
On target	3.2	2.7	5.1	4.3
Shot conversion	12%	14%	12%	15%
Shots inside box	60%	62%	69%	61%
Big chances created	2.0	2.0	3.1	2.9
Corners	4.6	5.8	6.7	4.9
xG from set plays	44%	40%	32%	27%
Goals from headers	46%	38%	29%	20%
Pressure index	8.8	10.2	16.3	13.5
Dominant minutes	39.1	50.4	56.6	51.5
Pass accuracy	80%	79%	84%	80%
Fouls	13.3	12.6	12.7	13.0
Cards	2.40	1.30	1.00	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'22

16–30'10

31–45'32

46–60'17

61–75'31

76–90'13

Porto

0–15'30

16–30'12

31–45'51

46–60'32

61–75'30

76–90'32

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	5 50%	0.6	0.8	1.4	1.14	1.67
3-4-2-1	5 50%	1.2	1.4	1.6	0.81	1.18

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	10 100%	2.4	1.8	0.7	1.96	1.09

Metric	Alverca all · 35	Alverca at home · 17	Porto all · 48	Porto away · 24
Results
Matches	35	17	48	24
Points per game	1.14	1.47	2.40	2.25
W / D / L	10 / 10 / 15	6 / 7 / 4	36 / 7 / 5	17 / 3 / 4
Goals for / match	1.09	1.18	1.81	1.79
Goals against / match	1.54	1.35	0.65	0.75
Clean sheets	14%	24%	50%	46%
Failed to score	29%	18%	8%	8%
Both teams scored	60%	65%	44%	46%
Over 2.5	49%	47%	50%	54%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.15	1.34	1.85	1.77
xG against / match	1.37	1.16	0.86	0.94
xG difference	-0.22	0.18	0.99	0.83
Finishing vs xG	-0.06	-0.16	-0.04	0.02
xPts / match	1.25	1.48	1.97	1.90
Points vs xPts	-0.11	-0.01	0.43	0.35
Game state
Scored first	37%	53%	73%	62%
PPG when scoring first	2.15	2.00	2.77	2.87
PPG when conceding first	0.52	0.86	1.42	1.22
Came back from behind	32%	50%	58%	56%
Leads held	62%	54%	90%	94%
Minutes leading	18%	20%	45%	42%
Minutes level	53%	56%	43%	38%
Minutes trailing	29%	23%	12%	20%
First goal (min)	50	54	36	41
First goal conceded (min)	44	46	43	38
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	63%	75%	52%	56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	63%	74%	58%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.34	0.41	0.35	0.33
Late goals against	0.29	0.24	0.19	0.21
Style
Possession	45%	47%	54%	55%
Shots	9.7	10.0	14.2	14.1
On target	3.5	3.2	5.1	5.0
Shot conversion	11%	12%	13%	13%
Shots inside box	63%	65%	66%	65%
Big chances created	2.0	2.4	2.8	2.6
Corners	4.6	4.8	5.7	5.8
xG from set plays	44%	53%	32%	33%
Goals from headers	29%	30%	14%	20%
Pressure index	9.2	10.2	20.0	18.9
Dominant minutes	41.0	47.4	61.4	61.8
Pass accuracy	80%	80%	84%	83%
Fouls	12.4	12.7	13.0	13.0
Cards	2.31	1.76	2.19	2.63

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'56

16–30'46

31–45'58

46–60'515

61–75'79

76–90'1210

Porto

0–15'145

16–30'114

31–45'174

46–60'147

61–75'142

76–90'179

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0735

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1435

Late push (76+, level)-0.3215

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2613

Game state

When ahead-0.1316

When level-0.1035

When behind+0.0322

10 min after conceding-0.1430

10 min after scoring+0.1424

Situations

With ten men-0.304

At home-0.0517

Away-0.0918

4+ days rest-0.0735

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.149

v mid-tier opponents-0.279

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0510

As favourite+0.147

Evenly matched-0.0913

As underdog-0.1715

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1635

Conceded when ahead+0.1916

Conceded late (76+)+0.1131

Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level +0.12

Porto · 48 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4748

Early press (0-15, level)+0.5847

Late push (76+, level)+0.3814

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.076

Game state

When ahead+0.4439

When level+0.4947

When behind+0.5012

10 min after conceding+0.2622

10 min after scoring+0.9043

Situations

With ten men+0.364

Against ten men+0.616

At home+0.4124

Away+0.5424

3 days rest or fewer+0.249

4+ days rest+0.5239

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1711

v mid-tier opponents+0.517

v bottom-tier opponents+0.7116

As favourite+0.6040

Evenly matched-0.065

As underdog-0.323

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1348

Conceded when ahead-0.0539

Conceded late (76+)-0.2743

Congested vs rested -0.29 · Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.01

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	24 69%	1.25	1.13	1.33	1.26	1.28
3-4-2-1	10 29%	1.0	1.1	2.0	0.96	1.43
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.31	2.85

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	48 100%	2.4	1.81	0.65	1.85	0.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

9.0Home 10% P 9%5.0Draw 19% P 20%1.33Away 71% P 71%

Double Chance

3.25Alverca or Draw 15% P 15%1.16Alverca or FC Porto 41% P 40%1.07Draw or FC Porto 44% P 45%

Draw No Bet

7.01 14%1.12 86%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 40%1.66No 56% P 60%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 50%2.0Under 47% P 50%

Total Corners

5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%17.0Over 14 5%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–10% · away 70–75% · 228 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	9%	9%	7%	-2.1
Draw	20%	18%	18%	-0.1
Away	71%	73%	75%	+2.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 56%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	40%	39%	41%	+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	50%	49%	50%	+1.3

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Career: 234 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match: 4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match: 27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.34
Cards to home side: 51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 91 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	5.4	5.66	-0.30	36
Fouls / match	27.4	27.8	-0.22
Fouls per card	5.1	4.9	+0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.33	0.37	-0.21	39
Time added	7.7	7.7	+0.13	42

First card: 32' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.1

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-12-09	5	0	20	0	28'	6
2025-11-25	2	0	12	0	60'	3
2025-11-09	5	0	28	1	49'	6
2025-11-04	3	0	22	0	45'	7
2025-11-01	7	1	23	0	43'	7
2025-10-24 · Alverca	7	1	30	1	5'	7
2025-09-12	2	1	19	0	21'	9
2025-08-30	5	0	35	0	51'	7
2025-08-23	7	0	34	0	17'	10
2025-08-19	3	0	28	0	69'	7

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Alverca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Alverca

Porto

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 12

Alverca

Porto

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Last 10 · 3 matches

Last 5 · 3 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

Porto

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Porto · 7 matches

Alverca

Porto

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

Porto

Alverca

Porto

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

Porto

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 35 matches

Porto · 48 matches

Alverca

Porto

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 5–10% · away 70–75% · 228 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 91 matches)

Recent matches