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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15

Momentum

Santa ClaraArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Capacity
13,277
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,029

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Matos · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
13 · 15
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
13.8° (feels 13.0°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 5

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo
  • United States fuboTV

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Santa Clara

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 3.96–5.09 · xPts 5.92

  • L A Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.34–0.75 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 1–0 xG 1.18–0.48 PRT PL
  • D A Rio Ave 1–1 xG 1.12–1.68 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–2 xG 0.53–1.6 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 0–1 xG 0.8–0.58 PRT PL

Arouca

LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 13 · xG 4.26–8.33 · xPts 4.81

  • W H Alverca 1–0 xG 1.39–0.33 PRT PL
  • L A Estrela Amadora 1–3 xG 0.85–2.32 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–4 xG 0.11–2.65 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 3–4 xG 1.15–1.98 PRT PL
  • L H Moreirense 0–2 xG 0.76–1.06 PRT PL

All meetings · 9 matches since 2021

Santa Clara 33 draws3 Arouca

Goals 10–9 · 2.11 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Santa Clara 33 draws3 Arouca

Goals 10–9 · 2.11 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Santa Clara 22 draws1 Arouca

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Santa Clara 0–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 2–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 1–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSanta Clara all · 34Santa Clara at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.061.351.241.00
W / D / L9 / 9 / 167 / 2 / 812 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match0.941.001.381.18
Goals against / match1.211.001.882.00
Clean sheets29%41%21%24%
Failed to score38%35%26%29%
Both teams scored41%35%56%53%
Over 2.535%35%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.061.111.040.87
xG against / match1.070.921.511.54
xG difference-0.010.18-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.110.340.30
xPts / match1.351.491.141.08
Points vs xPts-0.29-0.130.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first35%41%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.082.571.821.71
PPG when conceding first0.420.380.630.44
Came back from behind30%11%24%17%
Leads held69%88%60%62%
Minutes leading15%19%20%11%
Minutes level55%57%50%54%
Minutes trailing29%24%30%34%
First goal (min)40423744
First goal conceded (min)36373532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%65%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%53%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.350.180.12
Late goals against0.180.120.410.41
Style
Possession48%49%50%51%
Shots11.711.610.710.6
On target3.23.23.62.9
Shot conversion8%9%13%11%
Shots inside box56%54%58%52%
Big chances created1.92.12.11.4
Corners4.64.53.73.4
xG from set plays39%42%24%30%
Goals from headers19%29%34%40%
Pressure index10.110.810.711.0
Dominant minutes46.149.243.444.0
Pass accuracy79%77%82%82%
Fouls14.916.613.913.3
Cards3.033.713.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 52% P 53%3.25Draw 29% P 29%5.0Away 19% P 19%

Double Chance

1.16Santa Clara or Draw 41% P 41%1.33Santa Clara or FC Arouca 35% P 35%1.95Draw or FC Arouca 24% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 44%1.61No 58% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.4Over 39% P 40%1.53Under 61% P 60%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 17.5–20% · 551 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%52%-1.7
Draw29%27%27%+0.4
Away19%19%20%+1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%39%39%+0.7

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Career
60 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
29.6 · 6.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.085.66-1.980
Fouls / match27.627.8-0.13
Fouls per card6.94.9+2.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.37-1.0912
Time added8.27.7+0.7179
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-13 30 200 12'5
2025-11-29 60 180 55'13
2025-05-04 · Arouca 81 280 17'11
2025-04-19 31 201 25'6
2025-04-07 60 390 20'13
2025-03-15 · Santa Clara 40 340 18'6
2025-02-10 · Arouca 10 300 57'8
2025-02-01 11 262 12'9
2025-01-25 20 280 18'8
2025-01-19 40 310 79'6