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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 15

Momentum

Gil VicenteRio Ave
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Capacity
12,046
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,187

Teams

Coaches
César Peixoto · Evangelos Samios
Position
5 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Diogo Rosa

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
8.7° (feels 5.6°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 6

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Gil Vicente

WDLDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 4.61–4.2 · xPts 6.8

  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 0.83–0.22 PRT PL
  • D A Vitória Guimarães 0–0 xG 0.32–0.49 PRT PL
  • L H Tondela 0–1 xG 0.63–0.92 PRT PL
  • D A AVS 1–1 xG 2.26–1.77 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.58–0.8 PRT PL

Rio Ave

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 5.51–8.93 · xPts 5.21

  • L H Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 0.4–1.68 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 2–1 xG 2.54–0.97 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 1–1 xG 1.68–1.12 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 1–1 xG 0.6–1.77 PRT PL
  • L H Estoril 0–4 xG 0.29–3.39 PRT PL

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Gil Vicente 69 draws8 Rio Ave

Goals 18–21 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 35% · over 2.5 26%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Gil Vicente 26 draws2 Rio Ave

Goals 11–12 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Gil Vicente 14 draws0 Rio Ave

Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Gil Vicente 1–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 0–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 2–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 3–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 2–1 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 2–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 0–2 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricGil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente at home · 17Rio Ave all · 34Rio Ave away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.471.761.061.24
W / D / L13 / 11 / 109 / 3 / 58 / 12 / 145 / 6 / 6
Goals for / match1.381.651.031.06
Goals against / match1.121.001.681.65
Clean sheets35%35%18%18%
Failed to score26%18%38%35%
Both teams scored47%47%53%53%
Over 2.553%53%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.421.050.80
xG against / match1.150.991.641.70
xG difference0.280.43-0.59-0.89
Finishing vs xG-0.040.23-0.020.26
xPts / match1.541.611.060.86
Points vs xPts-0.070.150.000.37
Game state
Scored first56%59%35%24%
PPG when scoring first2.162.601.922.50
PPG when conceding first0.500.570.530.83
Came back from behind38%38%33%50%
Leads held62%82%50%62%
Minutes leading28%33%18%14%
Minutes level53%46%51%58%
Minutes trailing19%21%31%28%
First goal (min)33394255
First goal conceded (min)41403940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%61%63%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%53%56%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.530.180.24
Late goals against0.240.120.320.41
Style
Possession50%50%47%46%
Shots13.814.610.48.5
On target4.55.03.93.6
Shot conversion10%11%10%12%
Shots inside box57%57%62%63%
Big chances created2.12.32.01.6
Corners5.65.44.33.4
xG from set plays45%44%31%34%
Goals from headers17%18%18%22%
Pressure index14.815.58.26.6
Dominant minutes54.156.034.828.9
Pass accuracy80%82%82%81%
Fouls13.613.412.913.6
Cards2.502.292.972.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 53%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.75Away 20% P 20%

Double Chance

1.16Gil Vicente or Draw 41% P 40%1.25Gil Vicente or Rio Ave 38% P 36%2.25Draw or Rio Ave 21% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw27%25%27%+1.4
Away20%21%17%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Diogo Rosa

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.38 cards, 28.4 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-06 90 350 5'8
2025-09-13 70 220 1'11