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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16

Momentum

Sporting CPRio Ave
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Capacity
52,095
Surface
grass
Attendance
47,032

Teams

Coaches
Rui Borges · Sotiris Silaidopoulos
Position
2 · 11
Formation
4-4-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
9.7° (feels 7.9°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 18

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting CP

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 16 GA 5 · xG 7.68–5.83 · xPts 8.01

  • W A Vitória Guimarães 4–1 xG 2.79–1.22 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 6–0 xG 2.53–0.65 PRT PL
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–3 xG 0.33–2.21 UEFA CL
  • D A Benfica 1–1 xG 0.41–1.57 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 4–0 xG 1.62–0.17 PRT PL

Rio Ave

DDWLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 5.48–6.99 · xPts 5.56

  • D A Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 0.27–1.45 PRT PL
  • L H Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 0.4–1.68 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 2–1 xG 2.54–0.97 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 1–1 xG 1.68–1.12 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 1–1 xG 0.6–1.77 PRT PL

All meetings · 37 matches since 2005

Sporting CP 267 draws4 Rio Ave

Goals 76–27 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting CP 91 draws0 Rio Ave

Goals 29–5 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting CP 50 draws0 Rio Ave

Goals 18–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Rio Ave 0–4 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 4–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 3–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 3–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 0–1 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 3–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 0–2 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting CP all · 34Sporting CP at home · 17Rio Ave all · 34Rio Ave away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.412.411.061.24
W / D / L25 / 7 / 213 / 2 / 28 / 12 / 145 / 6 / 6
Goals for / match2.623.001.031.06
Goals against / match0.710.651.681.65
Clean sheets44%59%18%18%
Failed to score0%0%38%35%
Both teams scored56%41%53%53%
Over 2.571%82%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.092.291.050.80
xG against / match0.820.741.641.70
xG difference1.271.55-0.59-0.89
Finishing vs xG0.530.71-0.020.26
xPts / match2.122.251.060.86
Points vs xPts0.300.160.000.37
Game state
Scored first76%82%35%24%
PPG when scoring first2.542.711.922.50
PPG when conceding first2.001.000.530.83
Came back from behind75%33%33%50%
Leads held81%87%50%62%
Minutes leading45%50%18%14%
Minutes level48%44%51%58%
Minutes trailing7%6%31%28%
First goal (min)39424255
First goal conceded (min)50623940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%63%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%56%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.710.180.24
Late goals against0.320.410.320.41
Style
Possession62%61%47%46%
Shots17.619.110.48.5
On target6.87.53.93.6
Shot conversion15%16%10%12%
Shots inside box68%70%62%63%
Big chances created3.63.82.01.6
Corners6.96.24.33.4
xG from set plays24%24%31%34%
Goals from headers16%16%18%22%
Pressure index24.626.78.26.6
Dominant minutes69.670.534.828.9
Pass accuracy88%88%82%81%
Fouls12.212.112.913.6
Cards2.181.532.972.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.08Home 86% P 89%10.0Draw 9% P 8%21.0Away 4% P 3%

Double Chance

1.01Sporting or Draw 48% P 48%1.06Sporting or Rio Ave 46% P 46%8.0Draw or Rio Ave 6% P 5%

Draw No Bet

1.021 95%19.02 5%

Both Teams To Score

2.5Yes 38% P 33%1.5No 62% P 67%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 68%2.7Under 35% P 32%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 87.5–90% · away 2.5–5% · 198 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home89%89%90%+1.8
Draw8%8%8%-0.3
Away3%4%2%-1.5

In those fixtures: 4.2 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 78%

Both teams to score · yes 30–40% · 559 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes33%37%40%+2.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Career
43 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.3 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
27.9 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.45.66-1.576
Fouls / match27.927.8+0.05
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.37+0.1548
Time added6.37.7-1.516
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-14 40 290 18'3
2025-10-26 40 321 42'3
2025-09-21 40 291 55'4
2025-08-31 40 240 34'9
2025-05-10 40 320 38'6
2025-04-27 40 230 33'3
2025-04-01 41 341 59'6
2025-03-10 · Rio Ave 30 350 73'3
2025-01-24 30 290 37'6
2024-12-30 60 241 27'7