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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16

Momentum

AroucaGil Vicente
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Capacity
5,600
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,903

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Freire De Seabra · César Peixoto
Position
16 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

José Armando Torres Bessa

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
6.3° (feels 4.8°)
Wind
2.0
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 7

  • France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports MAX 4 · Free
  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · TV 4 Sport
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Arouca

LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 3.84–7.88 · xPts 4.7

  • D A Santa Clara 0–0 xG 0.33–0.6 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 1–0 xG 1.39–0.33 PRT PL
  • L A Estrela Amadora 1–3 xG 0.85–2.32 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–4 xG 0.11–2.65 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 3–4 xG 1.15–1.98 PRT PL

Gil Vicente

DLDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 5.49–3.67 · xPts 7.99

  • D H Rio Ave 2–2 xG 1.45–0.27 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 0.83–0.22 PRT PL
  • D A Vitória Guimarães 0–0 xG 0.32–0.49 PRT PL
  • L H Tondela 0–1 xG 0.63–0.92 PRT PL
  • D A AVS 1–1 xG 2.26–1.77 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2013

Arouca 77 draws0 Gil Vicente

Goals 25–12 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Arouca 46 draws0 Gil Vicente

Goals 17–10 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Arouca 14 draws0 Gil Vicente

Goals 9–7 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Gil Vicente 1–3 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 2–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 2–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 3–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 2–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricArouca all · 34Arouca at home · 17Gil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.471.471.18
W / D / L12 / 6 / 167 / 4 / 613 / 11 / 104 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.381.591.381.12
Goals against / match1.881.761.121.24
Clean sheets21%18%35%35%
Failed to score26%24%26%35%
Both teams scored56%59%47%47%
Over 2.568%71%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.041.201.431.43
xG against / match1.511.491.151.30
xG difference-0.48-0.290.280.13
Finishing vs xG0.340.38-0.04-0.32
xPts / match1.141.211.541.46
Points vs xPts0.090.26-0.07-0.28
Game state
Scored first50%59%56%53%
PPG when scoring first1.821.902.161.67
PPG when conceding first0.630.860.500.40
Came back from behind24%33%38%38%
Leads held60%58%62%40%
Minutes leading20%30%28%24%
Minutes level50%45%53%59%
Minutes trailing30%25%19%17%
First goal (min)37303325
First goal conceded (min)35374142
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%63%49%32%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%53%55%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.320.12
Late goals against0.410.410.240.35
Style
Possession50%50%50%50%
Shots10.710.813.812.9
On target3.64.24.54.0
Shot conversion13%15%10%9%
Shots inside box58%63%57%57%
Big chances created2.12.62.11.8
Corners3.74.15.65.7
xG from set plays24%20%45%47%
Goals from headers34%30%17%17%
Pressure index10.710.414.814.2
Dominant minutes43.442.854.152.2
Pass accuracy82%81%80%79%
Fouls13.914.413.613.8
Cards3.324.002.502.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.5Home 21% P 21%3.2Draw 29% P 29%1.85Away 50% P 50%

Double Chance

1.9FC Arouca or Draw 25% P 25%1.33FC Arouca or Gil Vicente 35% P 36%1.18Draw or Gil Vicente 40% P 39%

Draw No Bet

3.41 28%1.32 72%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 44%1.75No 53% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 41%1.6Under 59% P 59%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 50–52.5% · 274 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home21%22%15%-7.0
Draw29%27%27%+0.4
Away50%51%58%+6.6

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

José Armando Torres Bessa

Career
32 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
6.13 (5.78 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.225.66+0.7476
Fouls / match26.827.9-0.55
Fouls per card4.34.9-0.95 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.37-0.3336
Time added7.97.7+0.3667
First card
24' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-06 121 321 7'8
2025-11-09 70 370 22'7
2025-10-26 40 240 20'5
2025-09-27 100 280 35'10
2025-09-14 · Gil Vicente 50 190 18'10
2025-08-31 101 300 18'7
2025-08-16 70 351 43'16
2025-05-17 81 262 13'5
2025-05-10 92 370 26'9
2025-04-27 30 230 24'5