Moreirense v Tondela · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 16

MoreirenseMoreirense

1–0

TondelaTondela

Momentum

– MoreirenseTondela –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Moreirense	at home	Stat	league	away	Tondela
49.5 #10	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	43.6 #16
8.9 #17	–	Shots total	12.1	–	10.6 #14
3.2 #15	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	3.4 #14
3.6 #17	–	Corners	4.7	–	4.0 #14
13.9 #9	–	Fouls	13.7	–	14.4 #6
1.2 #16	–	Offsides	1.5	–	2.0 #2
14.3 #16	–	Tackles	15.6	–	17.5 #1
77.3 #16	–	Attacks	90.3	–	81.2 #12
31.3 #17	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	36.1 #12
430.8 #6	–	Passes	405.0	–	338.4 #15
2.7 #7	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.7 #6
0.1 #5	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.1 #10
0.9 #7	–	Assists	0.9	–	0.4 #18
– #8	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #17
– #9	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #12
– #13	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #9
0.9 #17	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.3 #7
0.2 #5	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	-0.5 #18
– #8	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #1
1.1 #11	1.2	Goals	1.3	0.8	0.8 #17
1.4 #10	1.2	Goals conceded	1.3	2.0	1.6 #7
0.2 #6	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.2 #10
8.7 #9	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	9.2 #5
– #9	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #2
0.0 #16	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.2 #5
6.7 #14	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #15
2.4 #15	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	2.6 #14
5.3 #18	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	6.4 #12
3.3 #18	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	4.6 #12
3.6 #16	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	4.2 #11
– #7	–	Win	36.4	–	– #15

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 16

Venue

Stadium: Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity: 6,150
Surface: grass
Attendance: 1,952

Teams

Coaches: Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · António Rocha Simão
Position: 7 · 17
Formation: 4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Weather

Conditions: broken clouds
Temperature: 13.8° (feels 13.6°)
Wind: 5.1
Humidity: 92%

Where to watch · 2

International Bet365
Portugal TVI

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Moreirense

DDLDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.9–5.32 · xPts 7.26

W A AVS 2–0 xG 1.74–0.47 PRT PL
D A Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 0.82–1.11 PRT PL
L H Benfica 0–4 xG 0.66–0.96 PRT PL
D A Estoril 3–3 xG 1.44–0.71 PRT PL
D H Famalicão 2–2 xG 1.25–2.07 PRT PL

Tondela

WLLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 7.77–7.16 · xPts 6.9

W H Arouca 3–1 xG 0.59–0.65 PRT PL
L H Casa Pia 1–2 xG 1.64–1.62 PRT PL
L A Nacional 1–3 xG 4.04–2.35 PRT PL
L H Porto 0–2 xG 0.58–1.9 PRT PL
W A Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 0.92–0.63 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Moreirense 54 draws7 Tondela

Goals 17–21 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Moreirense 32 draws5 Tondela

Goals 10–12 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 20 draws3 Tondela

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

L Tondela 2–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
W Moreirense 1–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
W Moreirense 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
L Tondela 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
L Moreirense 2–3 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
D Tondela 0–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
L Moreirense 1–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
D Tondela 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
W Moreirense 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
L Tondela 2–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Moreirense all · 34	Moreirense at home · 17	Tondela all · 34	Tondela away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.26	1.59	0.82	0.88
W / D / L	12 / 7 / 15	8 / 3 / 6	6 / 10 / 18	4 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match	1.09	1.18	0.79	0.82
Goals against / match	1.44	1.24	1.62	2.00
Clean sheets	26%	29%	21%	18%
Failed to score	32%	29%	53%	47%
Both teams scored	47%	47%	35%	35%
Over 2.5	50%	53%	50%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.91	0.94	1.27	1.18
xG against / match	1.54	1.34	1.56	1.60
xG difference	-0.63	-0.41	-0.30	-0.41
Finishing vs xG	0.18	0.24	-0.47	-0.36
xPts / match	1.02	1.10	1.23	1.15
Points vs xPts	0.25	0.49	-0.40	-0.27
Game state
Scored first	44%	47%	32%	41%
PPG when scoring first	2.20	2.38	1.73	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.47	0.88	0.30	0.10
Came back from behind	25%	33%	25%	17%
Leads held	71%	80%	46%	57%
Minutes leading	22%	18%	14%	17%
Minutes level	52%	60%	56%	48%
Minutes trailing	26%	21%	29%	36%
First goal (min)	35	43	41	44
First goal conceded (min)	40	42	42	40
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	70%	63%	64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	61%	57%	60%	59%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.18	0.24	0.15	0.12
Late goals against	0.35	0.24	0.44	0.53
Style
Possession	50%	50%	44%	42%
Shots	8.9	9.4	10.6	9.1
On target	3.2	3.1	3.4	3.3
Shot conversion	12%	13%	8%	9%
Shots inside box	59%	58%	60%	56%
Big chances created	1.7	1.4	2.0	1.9
Corners	3.6	4.0	4.0	4.0
xG from set plays	27%	30%	46%	58%
Goals from headers	24%	30%	12%	8%
Pressure index	10.6	10.2	8.3	7.7
Dominant minutes	42.9	47.3	38.1	35.2
Pass accuracy	83%	83%	78%	80%
Fouls	13.9	13.8	14.4	15.0
Cards	2.71	2.59	2.71	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'85

16–30'47

31–45'37

46–60'710

61–75'98

76–90'612

Tondela

0–15'64

16–30'29

31–45'29

46–60'66

61–75'612

76–90'515

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316

Early press (0-15, level)-0.526

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163

When level-0.416

When behind-0.334

10 min after conceding-0.435

10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293

Away-0.333

4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443

v bottom-tier opponents-0.242

Evenly matched-0.212

As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796

Conceded when ahead+0.703

Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	18 53%	1.61	1.17	1.22	0.9	1.53
4-3-3	8 24%	0.88	1.13	1.63	1.02	1.45
4-4-2	4 12%	1.0	1.0	1.5	0.75	1.72
3-4-3	2 6%	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.19	2.06
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.6	1.23

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	21 62%	0.86	0.76	1.71	1.43	1.57
5-4-1	4 12%	1.25	1.0	1.0	0.91	1.77
3-4-3	3 9%	0.0	0.33	2.33	0.86	1.51
4-3-3	3 9%	0.67	1.33	1.67	1.26	1.7
4-4-2	2 6%	1.5	1.0	1.0	1.28	1.13

Metric	Moreirense all · 10	Moreirense at home · 10	Tondela all · 10	Tondela away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.10	1.20	0.90	0.80
W / D / L	3 / 2 / 5	3 / 3 / 4	2 / 3 / 5	2 / 2 / 6
Goals for / match	1.10	1.00	0.80	0.90
Goals against / match	2.10	1.50	1.70	2.10
Clean sheets	20%	20%	30%	20%
Failed to score	40%	50%	50%	40%
Both teams scored	50%	40%	30%	40%
Over 2.5	70%	50%	40%	60%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.88	0.96	1.12	1.11
xG against / match	1.93	1.53	1.71	1.70
xG difference	-1.05	-0.57	-0.59	-0.60
Finishing vs xG	0.22	0.04	-0.32	-0.21
xPts / match	0.79	1.02	1.13	1.06
Points vs xPts	0.31	0.18	-0.23	-0.26
Game state
Scored first	30%	30%	30%	40%
PPG when scoring first	2.00	2.33	2.33	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.67	0.67	0.17	0.17
Came back from behind	29%	33%	29%	14%
Leads held	75%	75%	67%	50%
Minutes leading	17%	19%	12%	16%
Minutes level	40%	52%	55%	51%
Minutes trailing	43%	29%	33%	33%
First goal (min)	23	25	51	48
First goal conceded (min)	28	44	36	40
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	36%	40%	75%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	48%	67%	65%	71%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.30	0.30	0.20
Late goals against	0.40	0.10	0.40	0.60
Style
Possession	45%	45%	48%	42%
Shots	8.9	9.6	10.3	8.5
On target	3.2	3.0	3.1	3.0
Shot conversion	12%	10%	8%	11%
Shots inside box	58%	59%	57%	54%
Big chances created	1.9	1.6	1.6	1.6
Corners	3.1	3.3	4.1	4.0
xG from set plays	40%	41%	34%	46%
Goals from headers	10%	11%	14%	12%
Pressure index	8.9	9.7	9.7	9.8
Dominant minutes	38.2	41.9	42.2	36.8
Pass accuracy	78%	81%	81%	80%
Fouls	13.6	13.4	13.8	14.2
Cards	3.10	2.10	2.20	2.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'13

16–30'54

31–45'14

46–60'04

61–75'12

76–90'34

Tondela

0–15'11

16–30'14

31–45'01

46–60'13

61–75'24

76–90'34

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	7 70%	1.43	1.0	1.86	1.05	1.78
3-4-3	1 10%	0.0	1.0	2.0	0.81	3.26
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	0.43	2.46
4-3-3	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	0.24	1.12

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	1.5	0.75	1.75	1.34	1.24
4-3-3	2 20%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.63	2.28
5-4-1	2 20%	0.5	0.0	1.0	0.54	2.15
3-4-2-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.62	1.28
3-4-3	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.06

Metric	Moreirense all · 35	Moreirense at home · 17	Tondela all · 29	Tondela away · 14
Results
Matches	35	17	29	14
Points per game	1.09	1.29	0.93	1.07
W / D / L	10 / 8 / 17	6 / 4 / 7	6 / 9 / 14	4 / 3 / 7
Goals for / match	1.03	1.06	0.86	1.00
Goals against / match	1.66	1.53	1.55	1.93
Clean sheets	23%	24%	24%	21%
Failed to score	34%	35%	48%	36%
Both teams scored	49%	47%	38%	43%
Over 2.5	57%	59%	48%	64%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.84	0.82	1.24	1.19
xG against / match	1.69	1.49	1.55	1.57
xG difference	-0.84	-0.67	-0.31	-0.37
Finishing vs xG	0.19	0.24	-0.38	-0.19
xPts / match	0.90	0.95	1.23	1.19
Points vs xPts	0.19	0.35	-0.30	-0.11
Game state
Scored first	40%	35%	38%	50%
PPG when scoring first	1.93	2.17	1.73	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.47	0.80	0.33	0.14
Came back from behind	26%	36%	26%	22%
Leads held	62%	75%	50%	57%
Minutes leading	21%	16%	17%	20%
Minutes level	50%	58%	57%	50%
Minutes trailing	30%	26%	26%	30%
First goal (min)	33	38	39	44
First goal conceded (min)	37	39	42	42
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	50%	56%	60%	64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	59%	62%	64%	67%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.20	0.29	0.14	0.14
Late goals against	0.34	0.24	0.41	0.50
Style
Possession	47%	46%	44%	43%
Shots	8.5	8.8	10.4	8.9
On target	3.1	2.8	3.3	3.1
Shot conversion	12%	12%	8%	11%
Shots inside box	58%	56%	60%	54%
Big chances created	1.6	1.2	1.8	1.9
Corners	3.4	3.6	4.1	4.1
xG from set plays	28%	36%	45%	55%
Goals from headers	20%	24%	14%	8%
Pressure index	10.1	9.5	9.2	8.8
Dominant minutes	38.8	40.7	39.7	38.2
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	78%	79%
Fouls	13.8	13.9	14.8	15.6
Cards	2.71	2.59	2.90	3.14

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'86

16–30'79

31–45'39

46–60'412

61–75'710

76–90'712

Tondela

0–15'64

16–30'28

31–45'24

46–60'66

61–75'511

76–90'412

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: as favourite +0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0235

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0135

Late push (76+, level)-0.2213

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0216

Game state

When ahead-0.0216

When level+0.0135

When behind-0.0923

10 min after conceding-0.2727

10 min after scoring+0.3223

Situations

With ten men-0.304

At home-0.1017

Away+0.0618

4+ days rest-0.0235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3711

v mid-tier opponents-0.105

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0311

As favourite+0.464

Evenly matched+0.0713

As underdog-0.2118

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2235

Conceded when ahead+0.2616

Conceded late (76+)+0.1831

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.11

Tondela · 29 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1729

Early press (0-15, level)-0.2229

Late push (76+, level)-0.2613

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1015

Game state

When ahead-0.2812

When level-0.2029

When behind-0.0319

10 min after conceding-0.1222

10 min after scoring+0.1715

Situations

Against ten men+0.077

At home-0.1915

Away-0.1514

4+ days rest-0.1729

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.416

v mid-tier opponents-0.207

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0011

As favourite-0.184

Evenly matched-0.0613

As underdog-0.3012

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.3929

Conceded when ahead+0.3612

Conceded late (76+)+0.0527

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.17

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	17 49%	1.35	1.0	1.59	0.8	1.75
4-3-3	9 26%	0.89	1.22	1.67	0.94	1.42
4-4-2	4 11%	1.0	1.0	1.5	0.75	1.72
3-4-3	3 9%	1.0	1.33	1.67	1.06	2.46
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.6	1.23

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	16 55%	1.06	0.88	1.63	1.43	1.55
5-4-1	4 14%	1.25	1.0	1.0	0.91	1.77
4-3-3	3 10%	0.67	1.33	1.67	1.26	1.7
3-4-3	3 10%	0.0	0.33	2.33	0.86	1.51
4-4-2	2 7%	1.5	1.0	1.0	1.28	1.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.0Draw 31% P 31%3.3Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Moreirense or Draw 35% P 36%1.36Moreirense or Tondela 35% P 34%1.57Draw or Tondela 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 50%1.9No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.07Over 45% P 41%1.72Under 55% P 59%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	41%	41%	42%	+0.5
Draw	31%	30%	27%	-2.4
Away	28%	29%	31%	+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	50%	49%	49%	+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	41%	41%	41%	-0.4

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Career: 25 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match: 4.8 (4.8 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match: 27.6 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.08
Cards to home side: 49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.68	5.66	-1.22	15
Fouls / match	27.6	27.8	-0.15
Fouls per card	5.9	4.9	+1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.04	0.37	-2.26	0
Time added	7.7	7.7	+0.13	42

First card: 28' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.0

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2025-11-03	5	30	0	51'	7
2025-10-26	3	34	0	26'	10
2025-09-23	6	33	0	10'	11
2025-09-20	10	37	0	7'	10
2025-08-31 · Tondela	4	19	1	15'	11
2025-08-24	4	19	0	28'	4
2025-08-09	2	30	0	18'	5
2025-05-03	5	28	0	34'	7
2025-04-18	4	29	0	5'	7
2025-03-16	3	24	0	45'	11

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Moreirense · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Tondela

Absences

Moreirense

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 2

Moreirense

Tondela

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

Tondela

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Tondela

Moreirense

Tondela

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

Tondela

Moreirense

Tondela

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

Tondela

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 35 matches

Tondela · 29 matches

Moreirense

Tondela

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

Recent matches