Rating 7.04 (86th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (26% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 17
Momentum
– CFEASCB –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Estrela Amadora | at home | Stat | league | away | Sporting Braga |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 #13 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 62.9 #1 |
| 10.8 #12 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 11.7 #9 |
| 3.6 #12 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.7 #4 |
| 3.3 #18 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 5.3 #6 |
| 14.3 #7 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 11.7 #17 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #15 |
| 15.8 #9 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 13.6 #18 |
| 77.0 #17 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 115.9 #1 |
| 29.6 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 53.7 #3 |
| 354.8 #14 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 603.9 #1 |
| 3.0 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 2.2 #15 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #17 |
| 0.7 #12 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.0 #5 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #3 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #5 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #5 |
| 1.1 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.7 #4 |
| -0.0 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #15 |
| 1.1 #10 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.9 #4 |
| 1.6 #6 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 #14 |
| 0.2 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #15 |
| 9.8 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 7.5 #17 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #15 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.5 #1 |
| 6.7 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #4 |
| 2.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 3.1 #11 |
| 5.9 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 7.9 #5 |
| 4.6 #11 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 3.9 #14 |
| 4.9 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 3.8 #15 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Estrela Amadora · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.73 (41th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (13% of team goals) · 55% of minutes
Team 0.8 ppg with (20) · 1.0 without (14)
Rating 7.1 (92th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 26% of minutes
Team 0.44 ppg with (9) · 1.04 without (25)
Sporting Braga · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.58 (100th pct) · G+A 15 + 4 (30% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (25) · 0.89 without (9)
Rating 7.02 (83th pct) · G+A 10 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.7 ppg with (27) · 1.86 without (7)
Rating 6.94 (74th pct) · G+A 1 + 4 (8% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 1.59 ppg with (27) · 2.29 without (7)
Absences
Sporting Braga
- injury Amine El Ouazzani attacker · Metatarsal Fracture · 18 missed · until 2026-03-09
- injury Sandro Vidigal attacker · Unknown Injury · 9 missed · until 2026-01-20
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 17
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
- Capacity
- 9,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 2,133
Teams
- Coaches
- Nuno Silva Soto Lopes · Carlos Vicens
- Position
- 10 · 5
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Referee
Hélder Carvalho
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 13.0° (feels 12.8°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 93%
Where to watch · 3
- International Bet365
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Estrela Amadora
LWLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 4.55–9.47 · xPts 4.61
- W
A
Famalicão
3–2
xG 0.7–2.69
PRT PL
- D
H
Moreirense
0–0
xG 1.11–0.82
PRT PL
- L
A
Porto
1–3
xG 0.26–3.49
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
3–1
xG 2.32–0.85
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
0–4
xG 0.17–1.62
PRT PL
WLLWDLWLDW 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 17 GA 18 · xG 12.73–16.26 · xPts 12.55
- W
A
Famalicão
3–2
xG 0.7–2.69
PRT PL
- D
H
Moreirense
0–0
xG 1.11–0.82
PRT PL
- L
A
Porto
1–3
xG 0.26–3.49
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
3–1
xG 2.32–0.85
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
0–4
xG 0.17–1.62
PRT PL
- D
H
Nacional
1–1
xG 2.17–1.65
PRT PL
- W
A
Casa Pia
5–3
xG 2.3–1.2
PRT PL
- L
H
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 0.83–0.66
PRT PL
- L
A
Gil Vicente
0–2
xG 0.89–2.59
PRT PL
- W
H
AVS
3–0
xG 2.0–0.7
PRT PL
Sporting Braga
WWWLD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 8.58–6.12 · xPts 8.32
- D
H
Benfica
2–2
xG 1.75–1.24
PRT PL
- L
A
Estoril
0–1
xG 2.26–1.45
PRT PL
- W
H
Santa Clara
1–0
xG 0.75–0.34
PRT PL
- W
A
Nice
1–0
xG 0.87–1.37
UEFA EL - W
A
Famalicão
2–1
xG 2.95–1.73
PRT PL
LLWDWWWWLD 5W 2D 3L · 17 pts (1.7 ppg) · GF 17 GA 12 · xG 18.53–10.8 · xPts 18.27
- D
H
Benfica
2–2
xG 1.75–1.24
PRT PL
- L
A
Estoril
0–1
xG 2.26–1.45
PRT PL
- W
H
Santa Clara
1–0
xG 0.75–0.34
PRT PL
- W
A
Nice
1–0
xG 0.87–1.37
UEFA EL
- W
A
Famalicão
2–1
xG 2.95–1.73
PRT PL
- W
A
Arouca
4–0
xG 2.65–0.11
PRT PL
- D
A
Rangers
1–1
xG 1.28–1.67
UEFA EL - W
H
Moreirense
2–1
xG 2.56–1.08
PRT PL
- L
H
Genk
3–4
xG 2.4–1.06
UEFA EL - L
A
Porto
1–2
xG 1.06–0.75
PRT PL
All meetings · 15 matches since 2005
Goals 16–28 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–23 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Estrela Amadora 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Sporting Braga 2–2 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 3–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Sporting Braga 1–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Sporting Braga 3–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 2–4 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Sporting Braga 5–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 1–1 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 34 | Estrela Amadora at home · 17 | Sporting Braga all · 34 | Sporting Braga away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.88 | 1.06 | 1.74 | 1.71 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 | 4 / 6 / 7 | 16 / 11 / 7 | 8 / 5 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.12 | 1.24 | 1.88 | 1.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.65 | 1.41 | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 35% | 35% |
| Failed to score | 44% | 41% | 9% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 41% | 56% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% | 68% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.13 | 1.35 | 1.67 | 1.70 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.53 | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| xG difference | -0.50 | -0.18 | 0.61 | 0.39 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | -0.11 | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.07 | 1.26 | 1.75 | 1.61 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.09 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 29% | 71% | 71% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.40 | 2.21 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 36% | 53% | 43% |
| Leads held | 50% | 67% | 59% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 17% | 39% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 50% | 44% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 32% | 17% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 40 | 29 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 32 | 40 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 48% | 42% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 58% | 50% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 50% | 63% | 64% |
| Shots | 10.8 | 13.0 | 11.7 | 12.4 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 16% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | 54% | 67% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 3.6 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 41% | 39% | 46% | 42% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 11.0 | 21.3 | 22.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.4 | 46.1 | 64.9 | 65.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 14.2 | 11.7 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 2.85 | 2.88 | 2.44 | 2.65 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66
Sporting Braga
0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Estrela Amadora · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195
Game state
When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416
Situations
At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296
Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12
Sporting Braga · 11 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085
Game state
When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239
Situations
At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.07 | 2.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.89 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 15 44% | 1.67 | 1.93 | 0.93 | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 2.06 | 0.93 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 5 15% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.65 | 0.72 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.21 | 1.24 |
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 10 | Estrela Amadora at home · 10 | Sporting Braga all · 10 | Sporting Braga away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.30 | 2.10 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 6 / 2 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 70% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 50% | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 60% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.13 | 1.49 | 0.83 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.56 | 0.62 | 1.39 |
| xG difference | -0.29 | -0.43 | 0.87 | -0.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.55 | 0.27 | -0.21 | 0.42 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.06 | 1.89 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 20% | 70% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 3.00 | 2.29 | 1.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.60 | 0.86 | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 57% | 50% | 40% |
| Leads held | 29% | 60% | 75% | 43% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 17% | 32% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 42% | 61% | 61% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 40% | 6% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 54 | 40 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 21 | 27 | 36 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 68% | 71% | 57% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 50% | 40% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 45% | 57% | 55% |
| Shots | 10.7 | 11.4 | 12.4 | 9.2 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 12% | 12% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 60% | 66% | 53% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 31% | 35% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 21% | 0% | 30% |
| Pressure index | 9.5 | 9.4 | 16.8 | 11.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.2 | 41.8 | 63.8 | 49.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 85% | 83% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 13.9 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 3.20 | 2.70 | 1.60 | 2.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'24
16–30'11
31–45'33
46–60'44
61–75'53
76–90'44
Sporting Braga
0–15'21
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'20
76–90'41
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.56 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.03 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.55 | 2.17 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 2.07 |
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.51 | 0.71 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47 | 0.51 |
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 35 | Estrela Amadora at home · 17 | Sporting Braga all · 54 | Sporting Braga away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 54 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.06 | 1.29 | 1.89 | 1.61 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 13 / 14 | 5 / 7 / 5 | 29 / 15 / 10 | 12 / 9 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.47 | 1.70 | 1.43 |
| Goals against / match | 1.77 | 1.41 | 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 29% | 46% | 39% |
| Failed to score | 34% | 29% | 11% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 53% | 48% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 65% | 52% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.52 | 1.02 | 1.19 |
| xG difference | -0.44 | -0.28 | 0.51 | 0.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.13 | 1.20 | 1.68 | 1.52 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.07 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 31% | 29% | 70% | 57% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.45 | 2.40 | 2.29 | 2.06 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.85 | 0.80 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 54% | 47% | 42% |
| Leads held | 47% | 62% | 67% | 63% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 20% | 37% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 46% | 50% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 34% | 13% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 44 | 34 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 26 | 38 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 56% | 50% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 62% | 52% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 48% | 59% | 58% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 12.3 | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 16% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 58% | 69% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 32% | 42% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 16% | 12% | 16% |
| Pressure index | 9.7 | 11.1 | 17.7 | 18.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 43.9 | 60.2 | 58.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 13.8 | 12.1 | 12.5 |
| Cards | 2.83 | 2.71 | 2.37 | 2.64 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'512
16–30'75
31–45'98
46–60'816
61–75'1214
76–90'87
Sporting Braga
0–15'154
16–30'189
31–45'1311
46–60'137
61–75'1310
76–90'209
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Estrela Amadora · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: against ten men +0.42
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1035
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1835
Late push (76+, level)-0.0715
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0813
Game state
When ahead+0.0017
When level-0.1935
When behind-0.0125
10 min after conceding-0.2828
10 min after scoring+0.2123
Situations
With ten men-0.204
Against ten men+0.424
At home-0.1017
Away-0.1018
4+ days rest-0.1035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.299
v mid-tier opponents-0.257
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0411
As favourite+0.352
Evenly matched+0.1012
As underdog-0.2421
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2235
Conceded when ahead+0.1317
Conceded late (76+)+0.0330
Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.18
Sporting Braga · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3054
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2454
Late push (76+, level)+0.1325
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5013
Game state
When ahead+0.1143
When level+0.4354
When behind+0.3019
10 min after conceding+0.1229
10 min after scoring+0.5048
Situations
With ten men+0.356
Against ten men+0.395
At home+0.1726
Away+0.4228
3 days rest or fewer+0.068
4+ days rest+0.3446
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1210
v mid-tier opponents+0.269
v bottom-tier opponents+0.4815
As favourite+0.3839
Evenly matched+0.087
As underdog+0.158
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1654
Conceded when ahead-0.1443
Conceded late (76+)-0.2149
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.32 · Behind vs level -0.13
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 40% | 0.93 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.16 | 1.92 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 27 50% | 1.7 | 1.74 | 1.0 | 1.47 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 14 26% | 2.29 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.86 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 13% | 1.14 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 0.87 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.27 | 0.47 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.68 | 1.2 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.75Home 20% P 19%3.6Draw 26% P 27%1.72Away 54% P 55%
Double Chance
2.05Estrela Amadora or Draw 23% P 23%1.28Estrela Amadora or Braga 37% P 37%1.18Draw or Braga 40% P 41%
Draw No Bet
3.51 27%1.282 73%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.85Over 51% P 45%1.95Under 49% P 55%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 52.5–55% · 176 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19% | 19% | 24% | +5.3 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 26% | -1.3 |
| Away | 55% | 54% | 50% | -4.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Hélder Carvalho
- Career
- 42 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.86 (4.48 yellow · 0.36 red)
- Fouls / match
- 28.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.41
- Cards to home side
- 53%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.62 | 5.66 | -1.29 | 12 |
| Fouls / match | 28.9 | 27.8 | +0.56 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.3 | 4.9 | +1.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.45 | 0.37 | +0.66 | 79 |
| Time added | 8.0 | 7.7 | +0.48 | 73 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 53% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.31
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 28' | 6 |
| 2025-10-25 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 43' | 7 |
| 2025-09-22 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 45' | 7 |
| 2025-08-23 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 20' | 9 |
| 2025-08-16 · Estrela Amadora | 6 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 25' | 8 |
| 2025-04-12 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 26' | 1 |
| 2025-04-05 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 33' | 9 |
| 2025-04-02 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 74' | 5 |
| 2025-03-03 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 33' | 7 |
| 2025-02-09 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 20' | 2 |