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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 17

Momentum

Rio AveCasa Pia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Capacity
12,815
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,067

Teams

Coaches
Sotiris Silaidopoulos · Gonçalo Brandão
Position
11 · 15
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.2° (feels 13.5°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 2

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rio Ave

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 5.04–8.88 · xPts 5.03

  • L A Sporting CP 0–4 xG 0.15–3.66 PRT PL
  • D A Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 0.27–1.45 PRT PL
  • L H Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 0.4–1.68 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 2–1 xG 2.54–0.97 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 1–1 xG 1.68–1.12 PRT PL

Casa Pia

LLDWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 3.06–6.19 · xPts 4.09

  • D H Vitória Guimarães 0–0 xG 0.45–1.34 PRT PL
  • W A Tondela 2–1 xG 1.62–1.64 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 1–1 xG 0.22–0.83 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.48–1.18 PRT PL
  • L H Alverca 0–2 xG 0.29–1.2 PRT PL

All meetings · 8 matches since 2022

Rio Ave 24 draws2 Casa Pia

Goals 10–9 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Rio Ave 24 draws2 Casa Pia

Goals 10–9 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 38%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rio Ave 22 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 8–6 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 3–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 2–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 2–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 1–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Casa Pia neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 1–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricRio Ave all · 34Rio Ave at home · 17Casa Pia all · 34Casa Pia away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.060.880.880.88
W / D / L8 / 12 / 143 / 6 / 86 / 12 / 164 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.031.000.910.76
Goals against / match1.681.711.681.82
Clean sheets18%18%21%29%
Failed to score38%41%44%47%
Both teams scored53%53%47%35%
Over 2.559%65%44%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.051.300.940.91
xG against / match1.641.591.561.63
xG difference-0.59-0.29-0.62-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.30-0.03-0.14
xPts / match1.061.261.000.94
Points vs xPts0.00-0.37-0.12-0.06
Game state
Scored first35%47%29%29%
PPG when scoring first1.921.631.501.80
PPG when conceding first0.530.000.550.40
Came back from behind33%11%30%17%
Leads held50%38%46%67%
Minutes leading18%23%17%14%
Minutes level51%43%53%46%
Minutes trailing31%34%30%40%
First goal (min)42294244
First goal conceded (min)39373928
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%41%48%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%45%56%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.180.18
Late goals against0.320.240.320.29
Style
Possession47%48%41%41%
Shots10.412.48.99.4
On target3.94.12.93.0
Shot conversion10%8%10%8%
Shots inside box62%62%62%62%
Big chances created2.02.41.71.6
Corners4.35.14.04.5
xG from set plays31%30%38%34%
Goals from headers18%12%19%15%
Pressure index8.29.77.15.3
Dominant minutes34.840.635.629.6
Pass accuracy82%82%72%74%
Fouls12.912.215.915.0
Cards2.973.063.002.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-2-3-11 3%1.00.00.00.451.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.4Home 39% P 38%3.1Draw 30% P 31%3.0Away 31% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Rio Ave or Draw 35% P 35%1.36Rio Ave or Casa Pia 35% P 34%1.53Draw or Casa Pia 31% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 48%1.7No 55% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 39%1.5Under 62% P 61%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%17.0Over 14 5%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%-0.2
Draw31%30%31%+1.5
Away31%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.539%39%39%+0.7

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Career
60 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
29.6 · 6.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.085.66-1.980
Fouls / match27.627.8-0.13
Fouls per card6.94.9+2.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.37-1.0912
Time added8.27.7+0.7179
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-21 40 290 2'12
2025-12-13 30 200 12'5
2025-11-29 60 180 55'13
2025-05-04 · Casa Pia 81 280 17'11
2025-04-19 31 201 25'6
2025-04-07 · Casa Pia 60 390 20'13
2025-03-15 40 340 18'6
2025-02-10 · Rio Ave 10 300 57'8
2025-02-01 11 262 12'9
2025-01-25 20 280 18'8