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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 17

Momentum

Santa ClaraPorto
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Capacity
13,277
Surface
grass
Attendance
5,338

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Matos · Francesco Farioli
Position
13 · 1
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
13.8° (feels 13.3°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 10

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Santa Clara

LDWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 3.77–4.84 · xPts 5.95

  • D H Arouca 0–0 xG 0.6–0.33 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.34–0.75 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 1–0 xG 1.18–0.48 PRT PL
  • D A Rio Ave 1–1 xG 1.12–1.68 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–2 xG 0.53–1.6 PRT PL

Porto

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 2 · xG 11.69–2.52 · xPts 12.11

  • W H AVS 2–0 xG 2.37–0.28 PRT PL
  • W A Alverca 3–0 xG 1.25–0.68 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 3–1 xG 3.49–0.26 PRT PL
  • W H Malmö FF 2–1 xG 2.68–0.72 UEFA EL
  • W A Tondela 2–0 xG 1.9–0.58 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2018

Santa Clara 02 draws12 Porto

Goals 5–24 · 2.07 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 36%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Santa Clara 02 draws8 Porto

Goals 4–17 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Santa Clara 01 draws4 Porto

Goals 2–7 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Porto 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Santa Clara 1–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 3–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 0–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSanta Clara all · 34Santa Clara at home · 17Porto all · 34Porto away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.061.352.592.53
W / D / L9 / 9 / 167 / 2 / 828 / 4 / 214 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match0.941.001.941.94
Goals against / match1.211.000.530.71
Clean sheets29%41%62%53%
Failed to score38%35%3%0%
Both teams scored41%35%38%47%
Over 2.535%35%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.061.111.861.87
xG against / match1.070.920.710.83
xG difference-0.010.181.161.04
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.110.080.07
xPts / match1.351.492.072.03
Points vs xPts-0.29-0.130.520.50
Game state
Scored first35%41%85%76%
PPG when scoring first2.082.572.792.85
PPG when conceding first0.420.381.501.50
Came back from behind30%11%50%50%
Leads held69%88%90%93%
Minutes leading15%19%51%48%
Minutes level55%57%43%40%
Minutes trailing29%24%6%12%
First goal (min)40423639
First goal conceded (min)36375651
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%65%56%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%53%78%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.350.350.24
Late goals against0.180.120.180.24
Style
Possession48%49%55%54%
Shots11.711.614.514.4
On target3.23.25.35.2
Shot conversion8%9%13%14%
Shots inside box56%54%66%65%
Big chances created1.92.12.92.8
Corners4.64.55.65.6
xG from set plays39%42%31%29%
Goals from headers19%29%14%22%
Pressure index10.110.819.919.0
Dominant minutes46.149.264.864.6
Pass accuracy79%77%84%84%
Fouls14.916.613.914.2
Cards3.033.712.532.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.0Home 13% P 13%3.6Draw 26% P 24%1.55Away 61% P 63%

Double Chance

2.62Santa Clara or Draw 18% P 18%1.25Santa Clara or FC Porto 38% P 38%1.08Draw or FC Porto 44% P 44%

Draw No Bet

6.01 16%1.122 84%

Both Teams To Score

2.5Yes 38% P 37%1.5No 62% P 63%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 38%1.5Under 62% P 62%

Total Corners

5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 34%2.879 - 11 30%6.012 - 14 14%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 62.5–65% · 233 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home13%14%16%+1.8
Draw24%22%23%+0.7
Away63%64%61%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 35–37.5% · 141 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes37%36%38%+1.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Luis Claudio Pereira dos Santos

Career
11 matches · 1 seasons
Cards / match
5.64 (5.55 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
30.2 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
52%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 16 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.815.66-1.0518
Fouls / match28.627.8+0.40
Fouls per card6.04.9+1.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.120.37-1.666
Time added7.87.7+0.2461
First card
41' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-20 30 340 33'6
2025-12-06 40 290 33'9
2025-11-29 20 301 29'11
2025-11-07 40 220 17'6
2025-11-01 101 330 25'9
2025-10-05 90 321 39'9
2025-09-28 90 340 16'12
2025-01-25 40 290 62'7