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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 17

Momentum

AlvercaFamalicão
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity
7,705
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,454

Teams

Coaches
Custodio · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Position
12 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Diogo Rosa

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
13.2° (feels 12.8°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 3

  • International Bet365
  • Israel Sport 2
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Alverca

WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.88–5.2 · xPts 6.47

  • L A Estoril 1–4 xG 0.73–1.15 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–3 xG 0.68–1.25 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 0–1 xG 0.33–1.39 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.95–1.12 PRT PL
  • W A Casa Pia 2–0 xG 1.2–0.29 PRT PL

Famalicão

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 9.18–6.88 · xPts 8.09

  • L H Estrela Amadora 2–3 xG 2.69–0.7 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–1 xG 0.19–1.21 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 4–0 xG 2.5–0.77 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 1–2 xG 1.73–2.95 PRT PL
  • D A Moreirense 2–2 xG 2.07–1.25 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Alverca 10 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 1–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Alverca 10 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 1–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Alverca 10 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 1–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Famalicão 1–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Alverca 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAlverca all · 34Alverca at home · 17Famalicão all · 34Famalicão away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.531.651.47
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 515 / 11 / 86 / 7 / 4
Goals for / match1.031.061.240.88
Goals against / match1.531.350.851.00
Clean sheets18%29%50%41%
Failed to score29%24%26%35%
Both teams scored56%53%35%35%
Over 2.550%47%38%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.391.421.24
xG against / match1.341.191.001.12
xG difference-0.180.200.420.12
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.33-0.18-0.36
xPts / match1.291.511.661.48
Points vs xPts-0.140.02-0.01-0.01
Game state
Scored first35%47%53%47%
PPG when scoring first2.332.502.442.50
PPG when conceding first0.480.630.670.43
Came back from behind29%38%43%43%
Leads held71%78%75%67%
Minutes leading18%20%24%20%
Minutes level53%48%60%67%
Minutes trailing29%31%16%13%
First goal (min)49564752
First goal conceded (min)40353950
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%72%64%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%52%55%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.260.12
Late goals against0.260.180.260.53
Style
Possession45%47%52%49%
Shots9.610.612.410.5
On target3.53.64.33.6
Shot conversion11%10%10%8%
Shots inside box64%65%67%68%
Big chances created2.12.52.52.2
Corners4.44.65.55.2
xG from set plays42%48%31%32%
Goals from headers26%28%26%33%
Pressure index8.49.313.811.5
Dominant minutes39.144.453.550.7
Pass accuracy80%81%82%81%
Fouls12.513.015.716.0
Cards2.381.882.682.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 25%3.25Draw 29% P 29%2.05Away 45% P 45%

Double Chance

1.72Alverca or Draw 27% P 27%1.33Alverca or Famalicao 36% P 36%1.28Draw or Famalicao 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 50%1.9No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%26%26%-0.3
Draw29%28%28%+0.2
Away45%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Diogo Rosa

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.38 cards, 28.4 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-20 81 320 54'10
2025-12-06 90 350 5'8
2025-09-13 70 220 1'11