Rating 7.06 (95th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (19% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18
Momentum
– Gil VicenteNacional –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Gil Vicente | at home | Stat | league | away | Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.7 #9 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 46.1 #14 |
| 13.8 #4 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 12.6 #6 |
| 4.5 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.2 #7 |
| 5.6 #4 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 4.4 #9 |
| 13.6 #12 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 14.8 #4 |
| 1.4 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| 14.6 #15 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 16.2 #5 |
| 86.8 #9 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 90.6 #7 |
| 47.3 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 37.9 #11 |
| 374.1 #11 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 332.8 #16 |
| 2.4 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 3.2 #2 |
| 0.1 #5 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #10 |
| 0.8 #8 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.7 #14 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #8 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #13 |
| 1.4 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.2 #9 |
| -0.0 #11 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #15 |
| – #12 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #8 |
| 1.4 #6 | 1.6 | Goals | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 #11 |
| 1.1 #13 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 #11 |
| 0.2 #6 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #3 |
| 8.0 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 9.2 #6 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #2 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 6.8 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #7 |
| 3.9 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 3.1 #9 |
| 7.9 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 7.4 #9 |
| 5.4 #5 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.3 #6 |
| 5.9 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 5.2 #5 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Gil Vicente · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.05 (94th pct) · G+A 11 + 4 (32% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Rating 6.79 (61th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (4% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Nacional · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.0 (87th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.85 (69th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 7.04 (89th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 0.86 without (7)
Absences
Nacional
- injury Filipe Soares #8 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury · 18 missed · until 2026-03-16
- injury Ivanildo Fernandes defender · Unknown Injury · 42 missed
- injury Motez Nourani attacker · Unknown Injury · 65 missed
- injury Ulisses defender · Unknown Injury · 34 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 18
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
- Capacity
- 12,046
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 5,209
Teams
- Coaches
- César Peixoto · Tiago Carvalho Margarido
- Position
- 4 · 13
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 6.2° (feels 5.1°)
- Wind
- 1.6
- Humidity
- 91%
Where to watch · 4
- International Bet365
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
Ukraine
Megogo
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Gil Vicente
DDDDD 0W 5D 0L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 5.53–3.63 · xPts 8.16
- D
H
Sporting CP
1–1
xG 1.2–1.38
PRT PL
- D
A
Arouca
2–2
xG 1.73–1.27
PRT PL
- D
H
Rio Ave
2–2
xG 1.45–0.27
PRT PL
- D
A
Casa Pia
1–1
xG 0.83–0.22
PRT PL
- D
A
Vitória Guimarães
0–0
xG 0.32–0.49
PRT PL
WWWDLDDDDD 3W 6D 1L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 14 GA 8 · xG 13.02–9.48 · xPts 15.75
- D
H
Sporting CP
1–1
xG 1.2–1.38
PRT PL
- D
A
Arouca
2–2
xG 1.73–1.27
PRT PL
- D
H
Rio Ave
2–2
xG 1.45–0.27
PRT PL
- D
A
Casa Pia
1–1
xG 0.83–0.22
PRT PL
- D
A
Vitória Guimarães
0–0
xG 0.32–0.49
PRT PL
- L
H
Tondela
0–1
xG 0.63–0.92
PRT PL
- D
A
AVS
1–1
xG 2.26–1.77
PRT PL
- W
H
Santa Clara
1–0
xG 0.58–0.8
PRT PL
- W
A
Alverca
4–0
xG 1.44–1.47
PRT PL
- W
H
Estrela Amadora
2–0
xG 2.59–0.89
PRT PL
Nacional
LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 8.03–10.11 · xPts 6.03
- D
H
Santa Clara
3–3
xG 1.81–2.04
PRT PL
- L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1–2
xG 1.32–0.98
PRT PL
- D
A
AVS
2–2
xG 1.43–1.1
PRT PL
- W
H
Tondela
3–1
xG 2.35–4.04
PRT PL
- L
A
Alverca
0–1
xG 1.12–1.95
PRT PL
WDLDLLWDLD 2W 4D 4L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 15 GA 16 · xG 14.39–19.9 · xPts 10.88
- D
H
Santa Clara
3–3
xG 1.81–2.04
PRT PL
- L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1–2
xG 1.32–0.98
PRT PL
- D
A
AVS
2–2
xG 1.43–1.1
PRT PL
- W
H
Tondela
3–1
xG 2.35–4.04
PRT PL
- L
A
Alverca
0–1
xG 1.12–1.95
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
1–2
xG 0.44–2.53
PRT PL
- D
A
Estrela Amadora
1–1
xG 1.65–2.17
PRT PL
- L
H
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.37–1.76
PRT PL
- D
A
Estoril
1–1
xG 1.37–1.61
PRT PL
- W
H
Moreirense
3–2
xG 2.53–1.71
PRT PL
All meetings · 16 matches since 2005
Goals 18–20 · 2.37 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 11–2 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 0–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 0–3 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Gil Vicente 2–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Gil Vicente 2–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 2–1 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 3–2 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Gil Vicente 0–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Gil Vicente 1–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Nacional 2–0 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Gil Vicente all · 34 | Gil Vicente at home · 17 | Nacional all · 34 | Nacional away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.47 | 1.76 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 11 / 10 | 9 / 3 / 5 | 9 / 7 / 18 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.38 | 1.65 | 1.09 | 0.82 |
| Goals against / match | 1.12 | 1.00 | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 35% | 24% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 18% | 32% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% | 41% | 29% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.22 | 1.13 |
| xG against / match | 1.15 | 0.99 | 1.63 | 1.64 |
| xG difference | 0.28 | 0.43 | -0.41 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | 0.23 | -0.13 | -0.30 |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.61 | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.07 | 0.15 | -0.18 | -0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 59% | 38% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.16 | 2.60 | 1.77 | 2.20 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 38% | 25% | 25% |
| Leads held | 62% | 82% | 56% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 33% | 19% | 17% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 46% | 53% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 21% | 27% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 39 | 44 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 40 | 42 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 61% | 60% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 53% | 60% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 46% | 44% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 14.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| On target | 4.5 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 57% | 57% | 58% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 45% | 44% | 41% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 18% | 19% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 14.8 | 15.5 | 8.3 | 6.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.1 | 56.0 | 36.7 | 32.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 13.4 | 14.9 | 15.5 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.29 | 3.35 | 2.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Gil Vicente
0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'43
31–45'77
46–60'67
61–75'88
76–90'812
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Gil Vicente · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192
Game state
When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173
Situations
At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125
Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50
Nacional · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.246
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284
Game state
When ahead-0.492
When level-0.226
When behind-0.185
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.334
Situations
At home-0.193
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.246
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.262
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.283
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.136
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03
Gil Vicente
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 79% | 1.44 | 1.37 | 1.19 | 1.42 | 1.16 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 12% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.04 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.27 | 1.39 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 0.8 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 53% | 1.0 | 0.83 | 1.11 | 1.0 | 1.73 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.32 | 1.58 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.22 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.23 | 0.8 |
| Metric | Gil Vicente all · 10 | Gil Vicente at home · 10 | Nacional all · 10 | Nacional away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 5 | 5 / 1 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 0.70 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 20% | 30% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% | 40% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.27 | 1.48 | 1.24 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 1.15 | 0.92 | 1.78 | 2.09 |
| xG difference | 0.12 | 0.56 | -0.53 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.57 | -0.08 | -0.04 | -0.31 |
| xPts / match | 1.48 | 1.74 | 1.10 | 0.78 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.38 | -0.14 | -0.10 | -0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 50% | 50% | 10% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 2.60 | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 20% | 14% | 22% |
| Leads held | 75% | 83% | 60% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 14% | 26% | 19% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 62% | 50% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 24% | 36% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 45 | 40 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 41 | 26 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | 57% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 64% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 54% | 50% | 45% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 14.7 | 12.2 | 10.5 |
| On target | 3.7 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 10% | 10% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 65% | 57% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 40% | 30% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 7% | 33% | 33% |
| Pressure index | 12.5 | 17.0 | 9.1 | 6.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.8 | 60.4 | 42.0 | 34.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 12.2 | 11.3 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Gil Vicente
0–15'12
16–30'11
31–45'22
46–60'00
61–75'23
76–90'14
Nacional
0–15'21
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'01
61–75'32
76–90'32
Gil Vicente
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 1.38 | 0.63 | 0.75 | 1.34 | 0.96 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.93 | 2.89 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
| Metric | Gil Vicente all · 34 | Gil Vicente at home · 18 | Nacional all · 35 | Nacional away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 18 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.38 | 1.83 | 0.97 | 0.65 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 11 / 11 | 10 / 3 / 5 | 9 / 7 / 19 | 2 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.61 | 1.14 | 0.76 |
| Goals against / match | 1.18 | 0.89 | 1.37 | 1.47 |
| Clean sheets | 32% | 39% | 23% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 17% | 31% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 44% | 49% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 50% | 46% | 35% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.45 | 1.53 | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 1.09 | 0.86 | 1.67 | 1.78 |
| xG difference | 0.36 | 0.67 | -0.41 | -0.67 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.10 | 0.08 | -0.12 | -0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.60 | 1.78 | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | 0.06 | -0.22 | -0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 61% | 37% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.64 | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.48 | 0.23 |
| Came back from behind | 35% | 38% | 24% | 23% |
| Leads held | 57% | 83% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 33% | 18% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 46% | 55% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 21% | 28% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 40 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 39 | 40 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 55% | 62% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 54% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.32 | 0.50 | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.11 | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 13.6 | 15.4 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 44% | 43% | 39% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 14% | 18% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 16.2 | 17.6 | 9.0 | 7.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.4 | 59.8 | 39.7 | 34.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 13.1 | 13.4 | 13.8 |
| Cards | 2.38 | 2.11 | 2.89 | 2.41 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Gil Vicente
0–15'95
16–30'36
31–45'127
46–60'53
61–75'69
76–90'1110
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'45
31–45'79
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'910
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Gil Vicente · 34 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2434
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2034
Late push (76+, level)+0.4914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0413
Game state
When ahead+0.0421
When level+0.3134
When behind+0.3217
10 min after conceding+0.0923
10 min after scoring+0.5325
Situations
With ten men-0.212
Against ten men-0.045
At home+0.2618
Away+0.2116
4+ days rest+0.2434
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.067
v mid-tier opponents-0.156
v bottom-tier opponents+0.5312
As favourite+0.3320
Evenly matched+0.356
As underdog-0.078
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0534
Conceded when ahead-0.1221
Conceded late (76+)-0.2433
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.01
Nacional · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0035
Late push (76+, level)-0.1215
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1718
Game state
When ahead-0.3716
When level-0.1035
When behind-0.1225
10 min after conceding-0.1827
10 min after scoring+0.0424
Situations
With ten men-0.105
Against ten men-0.073
At home-0.1318
Away-0.1817
4+ days rest-0.1535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.437
v mid-tier opponents-0.209
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0411
As favourite-0.056
Evenly matched-0.0515
As underdog-0.3114
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2735
Conceded when ahead+0.4616
Conceded late (76+)+0.0533
Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.01
Gil Vicente
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 79% | 1.37 | 1.3 | 1.15 | 1.49 | 1.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.1 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.27 | 1.39 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.93 | 2.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 0.8 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 13 37% | 1.08 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.07 | 1.75 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.22 | 1.28 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.75Home 54% P 55%3.4Draw 28% P 27%5.0Away 19% P 19%
Double Chance
1.16Gil Vicente or Draw 41% P 41%1.3Gil Vicente or Nacional 36% P 37%2.05Draw or Nacional 23% P 23%
Draw No Bet
1.251 75%3.752 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.07Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 17.5–20% · 551 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 55% | 54% | 52% | -1.7 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 27% | +0.4 |
| Away | 19% | 19% | 20% | +1.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
- Career
- 86 matches · 7 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.77 (4.48 yellow · 0.16 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.9 · 5.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.3
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.82 | 5.66 | -1.04 | 21 |
| Fouls / match | 26.2 | 27.8 | -0.83 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 4.9 | +0.55 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.34 | 0.37 | -0.15 | 42 |
| Time added | 7.4 | 7.7 | -0.22 | 30 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.2
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | 8 | 1 | 35 | 0 | 58' | 9 |
| 2025-12-01 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 13' | 6 |
| 2025-11-01 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 21' | 6 |
| 2025-10-05 | 8 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 45' | 6 |
| 2025-09-27 | 9 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 27' | 8 |
| 2025-09-14 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 71' | 12 |
| 2025-09-06 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 37' | 9 |
| 2025-08-17 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 24' | 7 |
| 2025-08-07 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 65' | 8 |
| 2025-07-29 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 5' | 9 |