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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18

Momentum

AlvercaMoreirense
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity
7,705
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,498

Teams

Coaches
Custodio · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position
11 · 6
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
7.2° (feels 5.8°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Alverca

WLLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 5.81–6.17 · xPts 6.28

  • W H Famalicão 1–0 xG 2.13–1.26 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 1–4 xG 0.73–1.15 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–3 xG 0.68–1.25 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 0–1 xG 0.33–1.39 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.95–1.12 PRT PL

Moreirense

DLDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.2–3.76 · xPts 7.68

  • W H Tondela 1–0 xG 0.55–0.51 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 2–0 xG 1.74–0.47 PRT PL
  • D A Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 0.82–1.11 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 0–4 xG 0.66–0.96 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 3–3 xG 1.44–0.71 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Alverca 10 draws1 Moreirense

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Alverca 10 draws1 Moreirense

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Alverca 10 draws1 Moreirense

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Alverca 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 2–1 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAlverca all · 34Alverca at home · 17Moreirense all · 34Moreirense away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.531.260.94
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 512 / 7 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.031.061.091.00
Goals against / match1.531.351.441.65
Clean sheets18%29%26%24%
Failed to score29%24%32%35%
Both teams scored56%53%47%47%
Over 2.550%47%50%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.390.910.88
xG against / match1.341.191.541.74
xG difference-0.180.20-0.63-0.85
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.330.180.12
xPts / match1.291.511.020.93
Points vs xPts-0.140.020.250.01
Game state
Scored first35%47%44%41%
PPG when scoring first2.332.502.202.00
PPG when conceding first0.480.630.470.11
Came back from behind29%38%25%18%
Leads held71%78%71%57%
Minutes leading18%20%22%26%
Minutes level53%48%52%43%
Minutes trailing29%31%26%31%
First goal (min)49563526
First goal conceded (min)40354038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%72%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%52%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.180.12
Late goals against0.260.180.350.47
Style
Possession45%47%50%49%
Shots9.610.68.98.5
On target3.53.63.23.4
Shot conversion11%10%12%12%
Shots inside box64%65%59%60%
Big chances created2.12.51.72.1
Corners4.44.63.63.3
xG from set plays42%48%27%24%
Goals from headers26%28%24%18%
Pressure index8.49.310.611.0
Dominant minutes39.144.442.938.5
Pass accuracy80%81%83%82%
Fouls12.513.013.914.1
Cards2.381.882.712.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 38%2.9Draw 32% P 34%3.5Away 27% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28Alverca or Draw 37% P 36%1.4Alverca or Moreirense 33% P 33%1.57Draw or Moreirense 30% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 45%1.66No 56% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.6Over 36% P 35%1.47Under 64% P 65%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 27.5–30% · 309 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%34%-5.1
Draw34%32%38%+6.0
Away28%29%28%-0.9

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 37%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.535%36%41%+4.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.8+0.51
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3764
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-27 80 340 18'13
2025-12-07 30 190 39'7
2025-11-05 20 250 6'6
2025-10-25 90 360 10'8
2025-10-05 61 340 61'10
2025-09-27 60 250 48'7
2025-09-24 40 260 42'10
2025-09-13 60 201 30'13
2025-08-10 60 350 61'8
2025-08-07 10 80 72'12