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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18

Momentum

VSCPorto
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Capacity
30,029
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,526

Teams

Coaches
Luís Correia Pinto · Francesco Farioli
Position
8 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
4.7° (feels 4.7°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 19

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Vitória Guimarães

DWLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 5.71–5.27 · xPts 7.49

  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 0.98–1.32 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 0–0 xG 1.34–0.45 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–4 xG 1.22–2.79 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 1–0 xG 1.68–0.4 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 0–0 xG 0.49–0.32 PRT PL

Porto

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2 · xG 10.57–2.23 · xPts 11.58

  • W A Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.78–0.3 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 2–0 xG 2.37–0.28 PRT PL
  • W A Alverca 3–0 xG 1.25–0.68 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 3–1 xG 3.49–0.26 PRT PL
  • W H Malmö FF 2–1 xG 2.68–0.72 UEFA EL

All meetings · 39 matches since 2005

Vitória Guimarães 35 draws31 Porto

Goals 21–83 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Vitória Guimarães 11 draws8 Porto

Goals 5–18 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Vitória Guimarães 11 draws3 Porto

Goals 3–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 3–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 1–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 0–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 1–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 3–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricVitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães at home · 17Porto all · 34Porto away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.652.592.53
W / D / L12 / 6 / 168 / 4 / 528 / 4 / 214 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.151.531.941.94
Goals against / match1.501.120.530.71
Clean sheets29%29%62%53%
Failed to score35%24%3%0%
Both teams scored41%53%38%47%
Over 2.544%53%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.331.861.87
xG against / match1.291.210.710.83
xG difference-0.020.131.161.04
Finishing vs xG-0.120.200.080.07
xPts / match1.381.482.072.03
Points vs xPts-0.150.170.520.50
Game state
Scored first41%41%85%76%
PPG when scoring first2.142.432.792.85
PPG when conceding first0.561.111.501.50
Came back from behind20%44%50%50%
Leads held71%80%90%93%
Minutes leading16%20%51%48%
Minutes level55%60%43%40%
Minutes trailing29%20%6%12%
First goal (min)45453639
First goal conceded (min)37445651
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%65%56%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%78%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.350.24
Late goals against0.290.290.180.24
Style
Possession51%50%55%54%
Shots13.313.514.514.4
On target3.94.15.35.2
Shot conversion9%11%13%14%
Shots inside box56%58%66%65%
Big chances created1.61.62.92.8
Corners4.44.45.65.6
xG from set plays35%43%31%29%
Goals from headers16%15%14%22%
Pressure index12.914.019.919.0
Dominant minutes53.853.964.864.6
Pass accuracy82%82%84%84%
Fouls14.515.513.914.2
Cards2.412.762.532.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.0Home 13% P 13%4.1Draw 23% P 22%1.48Away 64% P 65%

Double Chance

2.62Guimaraes or Draw 18% P 17%1.22Guimaraes or FC Porto 39% P 39%1.1Draw or FC Porto 43% P 44%

Draw No Bet

5.51 17%1.142 83%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 43%1.61No 58% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.05Over 46% P 46%1.75Under 54% P 54%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 65–67.5% · 254 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home13%14%13%-0.7
Draw22%20%21%+1.1
Away65%66%66%-0.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Career
75 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.87 (5.36 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.935.66+0.3755
Fouls / match27.027.8-0.43
Fouls per card4.64.9-0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2352
Time added8.77.7+1.2994
First card
26' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-03 40 190 19'9
2025-12-28 61 231 15'11
2025-12-21 11 210 57'10
2025-12-07 62 260 28'12
2025-11-08 133 230 1'8
2025-10-27 · Porto 50 281 43'15
2025-10-04 · Vitória Guimarães 90 280 13'10
2025-09-26 71 341 51'14
2025-09-20 42 282 5'12
2025-08-30 · Porto 80 230 17'9