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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18

Momentum

Sporting CPCasa Pia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Capacity
52,095
Surface
grass
Attendance
34,975

Teams

Coaches
Rui Borges · Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco
Position
2 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
7.9° (feels 5.7°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 22

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting CP

LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 16 GA 5 · xG 10.7–5.44 · xPts 9.44

  • D A Gil Vicente 1–1 xG 1.38–1.2 PRT PL
  • W H Rio Ave 4–0 xG 3.66–0.15 PRT PL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 4–1 xG 2.79–1.22 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 6–0 xG 2.53–0.65 PRT PL
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–3 xG 0.33–2.21 UEFA CL

Casa Pia

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.0–6.83 · xPts 4.5

  • L A Rio Ave 1–3 xG 1.22–1.84 PRT PL
  • D H Vitória Guimarães 0–0 xG 0.45–1.34 PRT PL
  • W A Tondela 2–1 xG 1.62–1.64 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 1–1 xG 0.22–0.83 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.48–1.18 PRT PL

All meetings · 8 matches since 2022

Sporting CP 80 draws0 Casa Pia

Goals 27–6 · 4.13 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Sporting CP 80 draws0 Casa Pia

Goals 27–6 · 4.13 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting CP 50 draws0 Casa Pia

Goals 18–1 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Sporting CP 3–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 1–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 8–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 1–2 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 3–4 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 3–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting CP all · 34Sporting CP at home · 17Casa Pia all · 34Casa Pia away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.412.410.880.88
W / D / L25 / 7 / 213 / 2 / 26 / 12 / 164 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match2.623.000.910.76
Goals against / match0.710.651.681.82
Clean sheets44%59%21%29%
Failed to score0%0%44%47%
Both teams scored56%41%47%35%
Over 2.571%82%44%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.092.290.940.91
xG against / match0.820.741.561.63
xG difference1.271.55-0.62-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.530.71-0.03-0.14
xPts / match2.122.251.000.94
Points vs xPts0.300.16-0.12-0.06
Game state
Scored first76%82%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.542.711.501.80
PPG when conceding first2.001.000.550.40
Came back from behind75%33%30%17%
Leads held81%87%46%67%
Minutes leading45%50%17%14%
Minutes level48%44%53%46%
Minutes trailing7%6%30%40%
First goal (min)39424244
First goal conceded (min)50623928
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%48%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%56%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.710.180.18
Late goals against0.320.410.320.29
Style
Possession62%61%41%41%
Shots17.619.18.99.4
On target6.87.52.93.0
Shot conversion15%16%10%8%
Shots inside box68%70%62%62%
Big chances created3.63.81.71.6
Corners6.96.24.04.5
xG from set plays24%24%38%34%
Goals from headers16%16%19%15%
Pressure index24.626.77.15.3
Dominant minutes69.670.535.629.6
Pass accuracy88%88%72%74%
Fouls12.212.115.915.0
Cards2.181.533.002.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-2-3-11 3%1.00.00.00.451.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.18Home 79% P 83%7.0Draw 13% P 11%13.0Away 7% P 6%

Double Chance

1.04Sporting or Draw 46% P 47%1.1Sporting or Casa Pia 43% P 44%4.5Draw or Casa Pia 11% P 9%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 40%1.7No 55% P 60%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home83%84%86%+2.5
Draw11%11%9%-1.4
Away6%6%5%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes40%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career
50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match
29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.235.66+0.7582
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.05
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.37-1.239
Time added8.17.7+0.5976
First card
32' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-19 70 200 41'6
2025-12-14 51 260 22'9
2025-11-29 91 390 19'8
2025-10-04 50 220 24'13
2025-08-17 90 380 42'9
2025-08-09 90 370 42'8
2025-04-26 80 311 34'10
2025-04-12 71 280 23'10
2025-03-02 40 361 8'9
2025-02-16 70 330 56'7