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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 18

Momentum

TondelaSCB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Capacity
5,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,476

Teams

Coaches
António Rocha Simão · Carlos Vicens
Position
17 · 5
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Gustavo Mota Correia

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
5.0° (feels 2.7°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 5

  • International Bet365
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Tondela

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 7.36–7.08 · xPts 6.56

  • L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.51–0.55 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 3–1 xG 0.59–0.65 PRT PL
  • L H Casa Pia 1–2 xG 1.64–1.62 PRT PL
  • L A Nacional 1–3 xG 4.04–2.35 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–2 xG 0.58–1.9 PRT PL

Sporting Braga

WWLDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 9.01–5.54 · xPts 8.77

  • D A Estrela Amadora 3–3 xG 3.38–1.15 PRT PL
  • D H Benfica 2–2 xG 1.75–1.24 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 0–1 xG 2.26–1.45 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.75–0.34 PRT PL
  • W A Nice 1–0 xG 0.87–1.37 UEFA EL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Tondela 20 draws14 Sporting Braga

Goals 8–31 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Tondela 10 draws9 Sporting Braga

Goals 5–22 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Tondela 00 draws5 Sporting Braga

Goals 3–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Tondela 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 3–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 3–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 4–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–4 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 2–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 3–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricTondela all · 34Tondela at home · 17Sporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.820.761.741.71
W / D / L6 / 10 / 182 / 7 / 816 / 11 / 78 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match0.790.761.881.76
Goals against / match1.621.241.061.06
Clean sheets21%24%35%35%
Failed to score53%59%9%6%
Both teams scored35%35%56%59%
Over 2.550%35%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.351.671.70
xG against / match1.561.531.061.31
xG difference-0.30-0.180.610.39
Finishing vs xG-0.47-0.590.210.06
xPts / match1.231.301.751.61
Points vs xPts-0.40-0.54-0.010.09
Game state
Scored first32%24%71%71%
PPG when scoring first1.731.252.212.17
PPG when conceding first0.300.500.600.60
Came back from behind25%33%53%43%
Leads held46%33%59%62%
Minutes leading14%12%39%36%
Minutes level56%65%44%49%
Minutes trailing29%23%17%15%
First goal (min)41382933
First goal conceded (min)42444041
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%42%43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%62%50%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.180.410.41
Late goals against0.440.350.240.24
Style
Possession44%45%63%64%
Shots10.612.111.712.4
On target3.43.54.75.1
Shot conversion8%6%16%14%
Shots inside box60%63%67%68%
Big chances created2.02.02.72.6
Corners4.03.95.35.3
xG from set plays46%36%46%42%
Goals from headers12%17%14%14%
Pressure index8.38.921.322.8
Dominant minutes38.141.164.965.2
Pass accuracy78%77%87%86%
Fouls14.413.911.711.7
Cards2.712.412.442.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.5Home 14% P 14%4.0Draw 23% P 23%1.5Away 62% P 63%

Double Chance

2.37Tondela or Draw 20% P 18%1.25Tondela or Braga 38% P 39%1.12Draw or Braga 42% P 43%

Draw No Bet

5.01 19%1.162 81%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 46%1.7No 55% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 62.5–65% · 233 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home14%14%16%+1.8
Draw23%22%23%+0.7
Away63%64%61%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Gustavo Mota Correia

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.86 cards, 27.1 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-02 81 310 38'11
2025-12-07 20 291 71'5
2025-11-09 50 162 13'6