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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19

Momentum

PortoGil Vicente
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity
50,033
Surface
grass
Attendance
34,273

Teams

Coaches
Francesco Farioli · César Peixoto
Position
1 · 5
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
13.7° (feels 13.5°)
Wind
16.5
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 23

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Porto

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 1 · xG 9.38–3.14 · xPts 10.8

  • D A Viktoria Plzeň 1–1 xG 2.53–0.37 UEFA EL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 1–0 xG 2.46–1.52 PRT PL
  • W A Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.78–0.3 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 2–0 xG 2.37–0.28 PRT PL
  • W A Alverca 3–0 xG 1.25–0.68 PRT PL

Gil Vicente

DDDDW 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 6.1–4.46 · xPts 8.14

  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 0.89–1.32 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.2–1.38 PRT PL
  • D A Arouca 2–2 xG 1.73–1.27 PRT PL
  • D H Rio Ave 2–2 xG 1.45–0.27 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 0.83–0.22 PRT PL

All meetings · 24 matches since 2005

Porto 173 draws4 Gil Vicente

Goals 48–18 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Porto 62 draws2 Gil Vicente

Goals 18–9 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Porto 31 draws1 Gil Vicente

Goals 10–4 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Porto 3–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 3–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 3–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 2–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 1–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 1–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricPorto all · 34Porto at home · 17Gil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.592.651.471.18
W / D / L28 / 4 / 214 / 3 / 013 / 11 / 104 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.941.941.381.12
Goals against / match0.530.351.121.24
Clean sheets62%71%35%35%
Failed to score3%6%26%35%
Both teams scored38%29%47%47%
Over 2.556%47%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.861.851.431.43
xG against / match0.710.581.151.30
xG difference1.161.270.280.13
Finishing vs xG0.080.09-0.04-0.32
xPts / match2.072.121.541.46
Points vs xPts0.520.53-0.07-0.28
Game state
Scored first85%94%56%53%
PPG when scoring first2.792.752.161.67
PPG when conceding first1.500.500.40
Came back from behind50%38%38%
Leads held90%88%62%40%
Minutes leading51%54%28%24%
Minutes level43%46%53%59%
Minutes trailing6%0%19%17%
First goal (min)36333325
First goal conceded (min)56654142
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%52%49%32%
Goals conceded in 2nd half78%100%55%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.320.12
Late goals against0.180.120.240.35
Style
Possession55%56%50%50%
Shots14.514.613.812.9
On target5.35.44.54.0
Shot conversion13%13%10%9%
Shots inside box66%68%57%57%
Big chances created2.92.92.11.8
Corners5.65.65.65.7
xG from set plays31%33%45%47%
Goals from headers14%6%17%17%
Pressure index19.920.814.814.2
Dominant minutes64.864.954.152.2
Pass accuracy84%85%80%79%
Fouls13.913.613.613.8
Cards2.532.122.502.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 69% P 71%4.5Draw 21% P 19%9.5Away 10% P 10%

Double Chance

1.07FC Porto or Draw 44% P 45%1.18FC Porto or Gil Vicente 40% P 41%3.0Draw or Gil Vicente 16% P 14%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

2.37Yes 39% P 41%1.53No 61% P 59%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home71%71%75%+4.2
Draw19%18%15%-2.5
Away10%11%9%-1.7

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes41%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Career
133 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.92 (5.53 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
28.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.185.66+0.6973
Fouls / match28.227.8+0.18
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1246
Time added7.17.7-0.5721
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-11 71 230 11'7
2025-12-05 71 350 30'9
2025-10-31 20 190 36'8
2025-10-25 20 251 23'5
2025-10-05 112 300 11'7
2025-10-02 20 190 45'4
2025-09-20 50 291 45'12
2025-09-13 70 390 20'10
2025-08-29 · Gil Vicente 30 300 74'6
2025-08-21 40 220 9'6