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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19

Momentum

Casa PiaAVS
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
Capacity
7,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
914

Teams

Coaches
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco · João Oliveira Nunes Henriques
Position
16 · 18
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ricardo Baixinho

Weather

Conditions
shower rain
Temperature
6.0° (feels 1.9°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Casa Pia

DWDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 3.86–7.25 · xPts 4.19

  • L A Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.34–1.6 PRT PL
  • L A Rio Ave 1–3 xG 1.22–1.84 PRT PL
  • D H Vitória Guimarães 0–0 xG 0.45–1.34 PRT PL
  • W A Tondela 2–1 xG 1.62–1.64 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 1–1 xG 0.22–0.83 PRT PL

AVS

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 13 · xG 3.12–9.44 · xPts 3.0

  • L H Arouca 0–1 xG 0.62–1.37 PRT PL
  • L H Moreirense 0–2 xG 0.47–1.74 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–2 xG 0.28–2.37 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 2–2 xG 1.1–1.43 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–6 xG 0.65–2.53 PRT PL

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Casa Pia 13 draws0 AVS

Goals 7–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Casa Pia 13 draws0 AVS

Goals 7–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Casa Pia 13 draws0 AVS

Goals 7–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • D Casa Pia 3–3 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W AVS 0–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D AVS 1–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 1–1 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricCasa Pia all · 34Casa Pia at home · 17AVS all · 34AVS away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.880.880.620.53
W / D / L6 / 12 / 162 / 9 / 63 / 12 / 191 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match0.911.060.790.71
Goals against / match1.681.531.972.35
Clean sheets21%12%15%18%
Failed to score44%41%53%59%
Both teams scored47%59%44%41%
Over 2.544%29%59%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.940.980.910.91
xG against / match1.561.491.851.88
xG difference-0.62-0.51-0.94-0.97
Finishing vs xG-0.030.08-0.11-0.20
xPts / match1.001.070.820.81
Points vs xPts-0.12-0.19-0.20-0.28
Game state
Scored first29%29%15%6%
PPG when scoring first1.501.201.400.00
PPG when conceding first0.550.700.400.46
Came back from behind30%46%30%29%
Leads held46%29%33%25%
Minutes leading17%20%9%6%
Minutes level53%60%50%46%
Minutes trailing30%20%42%48%
First goal (min)42394854
First goal conceded (min)39473024
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%63%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%62%52%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.210.24
Late goals against0.320.350.260.29
Style
Possession41%41%39%39%
Shots8.98.311.110.7
On target2.92.73.12.5
Shot conversion10%13%7%7%
Shots inside box62%61%54%53%
Big chances created1.71.81.41.4
Corners4.03.63.73.9
xG from set plays38%42%39%39%
Goals from headers19%22%11%17%
Pressure index7.18.95.34.9
Dominant minutes35.641.529.125.1
Pass accuracy72%71%73%72%
Fouls15.916.913.813.4
Cards3.003.242.501.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

AVS

0–15'111
16–30'410
31–45'511
46–60'414
61–75'612
76–90'79

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

AVS

No pressure profile yet.

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.621.64

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-113 38%0.541.082.311.061.82
4-3-38 24%0.880.751.250.941.88
4-1-4-16 18%0.830.671.50.831.78
5-4-14 12%0.00.03.50.532.14
5-3-21 3%1.00.00.00.430.85

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.1Draw 30% P 30%3.9Away 24% P 24%

Double Chance

1.25Casa Pia or Draw 38% P 38%1.36Casa Pia or AVS 35% P 35%1.7Draw or AVS 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 48%1.75No 53% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.35Over 40% P 41%1.57Under 60% P 59%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%48%+1.4
Draw30%30%28%-1.5
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Ricardo Baixinho

Career
39 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
7.46 (6.79 yellow · 0.44 red)
Fouls / match
30.5 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.51
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match7.335.66+2.14100
Fouls / match30.527.9+1.39
Fouls per card4.24.9-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.37+0.5473
Time added9.27.7+1.8897
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-15 112 283 20'16
2025-11-29 · Casa Pia 81 260 43'13
2025-09-14 · Casa Pia 90 390 35'11
2025-08-25 92 421 16'14
2025-08-18 60 290 41'11
2025-04-26 91 280 24'10
2025-04-11 70 300 8'9
2025-03-16 101 301 29'8