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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19

Momentum

SCBAlverca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass
Attendance
8,410

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · Custodio
Position
5 · 10
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.4° (feels 8.9°)
Wind
1.6
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 8

  • Brazil Disney+ Premium Brazil
  • France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Free
  • International Bet365
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Switzerland Blue Sport

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

LDDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 9.87–7.24 · xPts 8.23

  • W H Nottingham Forest 1–0 xG 0.84–1.78 UEFA EL
  • W A Tondela 1–0 xG 1.64–1.63 PRT PL
  • D A Estrela Amadora 3–3 xG 3.38–1.15 PRT PL
  • D H Benfica 2–2 xG 1.75–1.24 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 0–1 xG 2.26–1.45 PRT PL

Alverca

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 6.33–6.5 · xPts 6.34

  • W H Moreirense 2–1 xG 2.47–1.45 PRT PL
  • W H Famalicão 1–0 xG 2.13–1.26 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 1–4 xG 0.73–1.15 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–3 xG 0.68–1.25 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 0–1 xG 0.33–1.39 PRT PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Sporting Braga 30 draws0 Alverca

Goals 10–1 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Sporting Braga 30 draws0 Alverca

Goals 10–1 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Sporting Braga 30 draws0 Alverca

Goals 10–1 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Alverca 1–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 5–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Alverca 0–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga at home · 17Alverca all · 34Alverca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.761.150.76
W / D / L16 / 11 / 78 / 6 / 310 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.882.001.031.00
Goals against / match1.061.061.531.71
Clean sheets35%35%18%6%
Failed to score9%12%29%35%
Both teams scored56%53%56%59%
Over 2.568%71%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.641.160.93
xG against / match1.060.811.341.49
xG difference0.610.83-0.18-0.56
Finishing vs xG0.210.36-0.130.07
xPts / match1.751.891.291.06
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.12-0.14-0.30
Game state
Scored first71%71%35%24%
PPG when scoring first2.212.252.332.00
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.480.38
Came back from behind53%62%29%23%
Leads held59%57%71%60%
Minutes leading39%42%18%16%
Minutes level44%39%53%58%
Minutes trailing17%19%29%26%
First goal (min)29254940
First goal conceded (min)40384043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%41%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%44%54%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.410.350.24
Late goals against0.240.240.260.35
Style
Possession63%62%45%43%
Shots11.711.09.68.7
On target4.74.33.53.4
Shot conversion16%18%11%12%
Shots inside box67%66%64%62%
Big chances created2.72.72.11.6
Corners5.35.34.44.1
xG from set plays46%50%42%33%
Goals from headers14%15%26%24%
Pressure index21.319.88.47.5
Dominant minutes64.964.539.133.7
Pass accuracy87%87%80%79%
Fouls11.711.612.511.9
Cards2.442.242.382.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 66% P 66%4.33Draw 22% P 21%8.0Away 12% P 13%

Double Chance

1.1Braga or Draw 43% P 44%1.22Braga or Alverca 39% P 40%2.62Draw or Alverca 18% P 17%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 45%1.7No 55% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.85Over 51% P 51%1.95Under 49% P 49%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home66%66%69%+3.3
Draw21%20%20%-0.7
Away13%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Career
23 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.09 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
26.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.48
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.095.66-1.963
Fouls / match26.627.8-0.66
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.50.37+1.0085
Time added6.97.7-0.8118
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-03 20 271 69'7
2025-12-08 90 320 29'8
2025-11-30 10 240 27'7
2025-09-19 30 290 25'6
2025-08-30 61 340 44'6
2025-08-23 40 220 25'7
2025-08-11 50 290 25'11
2025-03-16 10 281 35'8
2025-02-17 40 300 47'5
2025-01-27 40 270 36'4