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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20

Momentum

Rio AveArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Capacity
12,815
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,842

Teams

Coaches
Sotiris Silaidopoulos · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
12 · 15
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
12.2° (feels 11.7°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 3

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rio Ave

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 13 · xG 3.36–9.5 · xPts 3.62

  • L A Nacional 0–4 xG 0.8–1.23 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 0–2 xG 0.29–1.94 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 3–1 xG 1.84–1.22 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–4 xG 0.15–3.66 PRT PL
  • D A Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 0.27–1.45 PRT PL

Arouca

DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.85–5.18 · xPts 6.44

  • L H Sporting CP 1–2 xG 1.23–1.65 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 1–0 xG 1.37–0.62 PRT PL
  • L A Tondela 1–3 xG 0.65–0.59 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.27–1.73 PRT PL
  • D A Santa Clara 0–0 xG 0.33–0.6 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2013

Rio Ave 66 draws4 Arouca

Goals 20–16 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Rio Ave 54 draws1 Arouca

Goals 15–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rio Ave 13 draws1 Arouca

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Rio Ave 0–3 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 3–3 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 1–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 2–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 1–0 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 3–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricRio Ave all · 34Rio Ave at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.060.881.241.00
W / D / L8 / 12 / 143 / 6 / 812 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.031.001.381.18
Goals against / match1.681.711.882.00
Clean sheets18%18%21%24%
Failed to score38%41%26%29%
Both teams scored53%53%56%53%
Over 2.559%65%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.051.301.040.87
xG against / match1.641.591.511.54
xG difference-0.59-0.29-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.300.340.30
xPts / match1.061.261.141.08
Points vs xPts0.00-0.370.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first35%47%50%41%
PPG when scoring first1.921.631.821.71
PPG when conceding first0.530.000.630.44
Came back from behind33%11%24%17%
Leads held50%38%60%62%
Minutes leading18%23%20%11%
Minutes level51%43%50%54%
Minutes trailing31%34%30%34%
First goal (min)42293744
First goal conceded (min)39373532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%41%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%45%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.180.12
Late goals against0.320.240.410.41
Style
Possession47%48%50%51%
Shots10.412.410.710.6
On target3.94.13.62.9
Shot conversion10%8%13%11%
Shots inside box62%62%58%52%
Big chances created2.02.42.11.4
Corners4.35.13.73.4
xG from set plays31%30%24%30%
Goals from headers18%12%34%40%
Pressure index8.29.710.711.0
Dominant minutes34.840.643.444.0
Pass accuracy82%82%82%82%
Fouls12.912.213.913.3
Cards2.973.063.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.2Home 29% P 29%3.4Draw 28% P 30%2.2Away 43% P 42%

Double Chance

1.66Rio Ave or Draw 29% P 29%1.3Rio Ave or FC Arouca 37% P 35%1.36Draw or FC Arouca 35% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%31%+2.1
Draw30%30%25%-4.9
Away42%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Career
25 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.8 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
27.6 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.08
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.685.66-1.2215
Fouls / match27.627.8-0.15
Fouls per card5.94.9+1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.040.37-2.260
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-11 20 200 30'6
2025-11-03 50 300 51'7
2025-10-26 30 340 26'10
2025-09-23 · Rio Ave 60 330 10'11
2025-09-20 100 370 7'10
2025-08-31 40 191 15'11
2025-08-24 40 190 28'4
2025-08-09 · Arouca 20 300 18'5
2025-05-03 50 280 34'7
2025-04-18 · Rio Ave 40 290 5'7