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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20

Momentum

Santa ClaraEstoril
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Capacity
13,277
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,162

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Matos · Ian Cathro
Position
14 · 9
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Weather

Conditions
light intensity drizzle
Temperature
17.8° (feels 18.3°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
99%

Where to watch · 3

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Santa Clara

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 4.2–4.5 · xPts 6.24

  • L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.29–0.15 PRT PL
  • L H Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.96–1.43 PRT PL
  • D A Nacional 3–3 xG 2.04–1.81 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–1 xG 0.3–0.78 PRT PL
  • D H Arouca 0–0 xG 0.6–0.33 PRT PL

Estoril

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 6 · xG 7.65–8.06 · xPts 7.06

  • W H Vitória Guimarães 4–2 xG 1.97–1.95 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 5–0 xG 2.24–0.17 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 1–3 xG 0.85–2.94 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 4–1 xG 1.15–0.73 PRT PL
  • W H Sporting Braga 1–0 xG 1.45–2.26 PRT PL

All meetings · 8 matches since 2021

Santa Clara 41 draws3 Estoril

Goals 16–14 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Santa Clara 41 draws3 Estoril

Goals 16–14 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Santa Clara 20 draws3 Estoril

Goals 9–11 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Santa Clara 2–4 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 0–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 2–3 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 1–4 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 3–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 3–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 2–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estoril 2–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSanta Clara all · 34Santa Clara at home · 17Estoril all · 34Estoril away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.061.351.150.94
W / D / L9 / 9 / 167 / 2 / 810 / 9 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match0.941.001.591.47
Goals against / match1.211.001.681.82
Clean sheets29%41%15%18%
Failed to score38%35%29%35%
Both teams scored41%35%59%47%
Over 2.535%35%62%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.061.111.201.18
xG against / match1.070.921.591.52
xG difference-0.010.18-0.39-0.34
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.110.390.29
xPts / match1.351.491.131.15
Points vs xPts-0.29-0.130.02-0.21
Game state
Scored first35%41%38%47%
PPG when scoring first2.082.571.851.75
PPG when conceding first0.420.380.700.22
Came back from behind30%11%40%31%
Leads held69%88%59%50%
Minutes leading15%19%23%23%
Minutes level55%57%40%31%
Minutes trailing29%24%37%45%
First goal (min)40423430
First goal conceded (min)36373027
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%65%52%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%53%46%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.350.260.24
Late goals against0.180.120.240.35
Style
Possession48%49%53%52%
Shots11.711.611.711.3
On target3.23.24.13.6
Shot conversion8%9%14%13%
Shots inside box56%54%64%66%
Big chances created1.92.12.22.2
Corners4.64.54.44.1
xG from set plays39%42%32%39%
Goals from headers19%29%13%8%
Pressure index10.110.811.210.3
Dominant minutes46.149.246.844.4
Pass accuracy79%77%81%81%
Fouls14.916.613.013.5
Cards3.033.712.532.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.1Draw 30% P 30%3.5Away 27% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3Santa Clara or Draw 36% P 37%1.36Santa Clara or Estoril 35% P 35%1.61Draw or Estoril 29% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 51%1.9No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%44%-0.2
Draw30%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Career
155 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.72 (5.4 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
31.3 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 74 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.225.66+0.7476
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.09
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.610.37+1.7697
Time added8.37.7+0.8385
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-07 · Estoril 50 300 16'7
2025-11-08 20 310 81'7
2025-11-01 50 412 53'14
2025-10-04 41 282 15'8
2025-09-27 52 310 59'7
2025-09-21 30 391 6'8
2025-08-17 11 141 24'6
2025-08-10 40 201 29'8
2025-04-06 30 290 21'9
2025-03-30 · Estoril 60 322 7'9