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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20

Momentum

Casa PiaPorto
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
Capacity
7,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,296

Teams

Coaches
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco · Francesco Farioli
Position
16 · 1
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Weather

Conditions
light intensity shower rain
Temperature
9.2° (feels 6.3°)
Wind
5.8
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 19

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Casa Pia

WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 4.95–9.85 · xPts 3.93

  • D H AVS 3–3 xG 1.31–3.42 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.34–1.6 PRT PL
  • L A Rio Ave 1–3 xG 1.22–1.84 PRT PL
  • D H Vitória Guimarães 0–0 xG 0.45–1.34 PRT PL
  • W A Tondela 2–1 xG 1.62–1.64 PRT PL

Porto

WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 2 · xG 10.26–3.16 · xPts 11.32

  • W H Rangers 3–1 xG 1.93–0.29 UEFA EL
  • W H Gil Vicente 3–0 xG 2.57–0.69 PRT PL
  • D A Viktoria Plzeň 1–1 xG 2.53–0.37 UEFA EL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 1–0 xG 2.46–1.52 PRT PL
  • W A Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.78–0.3 PRT PL

All meetings · 9 matches since 2023

Casa Pia 11 draws7 Porto

Goals 6–19 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Casa Pia 11 draws7 Porto

Goals 6–19 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Casa Pia 10 draws4 Porto

Goals 3–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Casa Pia 1–4 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 2–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 4–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 3–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 0–0 Porto neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricCasa Pia all · 34Casa Pia at home · 17Porto all · 34Porto away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.880.882.592.53
W / D / L6 / 12 / 162 / 9 / 628 / 4 / 214 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match0.911.061.941.94
Goals against / match1.681.530.530.71
Clean sheets21%12%62%53%
Failed to score44%41%3%0%
Both teams scored47%59%38%47%
Over 2.544%29%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.940.981.861.87
xG against / match1.561.490.710.83
xG difference-0.62-0.511.161.04
Finishing vs xG-0.030.080.080.07
xPts / match1.001.072.072.03
Points vs xPts-0.12-0.190.520.50
Game state
Scored first29%29%85%76%
PPG when scoring first1.501.202.792.85
PPG when conceding first0.550.701.501.50
Came back from behind30%46%50%50%
Leads held46%29%90%93%
Minutes leading17%20%51%48%
Minutes level53%60%43%40%
Minutes trailing30%20%6%12%
First goal (min)42393639
First goal conceded (min)39475651
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%56%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%62%78%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.350.24
Late goals against0.320.350.180.24
Style
Possession41%41%55%54%
Shots8.98.314.514.4
On target2.92.75.35.2
Shot conversion10%13%13%14%
Shots inside box62%61%66%65%
Big chances created1.71.82.92.8
Corners4.03.65.65.6
xG from set plays38%42%31%29%
Goals from headers19%22%14%22%
Pressure index7.18.919.919.0
Dominant minutes35.641.564.864.6
Pass accuracy72%71%84%84%
Fouls15.916.913.914.2
Cards3.003.242.532.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-2-3-11 3%1.00.00.00.451.34

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

15.0Home 6% P 7%5.0Draw 19% P 17%1.27Away 75% P 76%

Double Chance

3.75Casa Pia or Draw 13% P 12%1.16Casa Pia or FC Porto 41% P 42%1.04Draw or FC Porto 46% P 46%

Draw No Bet

10.01 10%1.062 90%

Both Teams To Score

2.5Yes 38% P 35%1.5No 62% P 65%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 50%1.85Under 51% P 50%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%12.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home7%8%7%-1.0
Draw17%15%12%-3.0
Away76%77%81%+4.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%

Both teams to score · yes 35–37.5% · 141 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes35%36%38%+1.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%49%50%+1.3

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Career
19 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
6.63 (6.21 yellow · 0.32 red)
Fouls / match
28.1 · 4.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
54%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.415.66+0.9888
Fouls / match28.327.8+0.22
Fouls per card4.44.9-0.82 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.530.37+1.2088
Time added9.47.7+2.11100
First card
29' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
54% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-19 41 281 45'7
2025-12-13 81 300 18'6
2025-11-09 60 312 33'11
2025-11-02 50 220 32'6
2025-08-24 40 350 49'8
2025-08-15 · Casa Pia 90 401 16'14
2025-05-05 100 331 17'8
2025-04-19 · Casa Pia 90 250 16'10