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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21

Momentum

SCBRio Ave
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · Sotiris Silaidopoulos
Position
5 · 14
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
9.3° (feels 9.3°)
Wind
2.9
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 15

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 0 · xG 7.88–4.86 · xPts 8.52

  • W A AVS 4–0 xG 1.93–0.73 PRT PL
  • D A Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 xG 0.53–0.34 UEFA EL
  • W H Alverca 5–0 xG 2.93–0.39 PRT PL
  • W H Nottingham Forest 1–0 xG 0.84–1.78 UEFA EL
  • W A Tondela 1–0 xG 1.64–1.63 PRT PL

Rio Ave

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 14 · xG 3.59–10.03 · xPts 3.6

  • L H Arouca 0–3 xG 0.49–1.99 PRT PL
  • L A Nacional 0–4 xG 0.8–1.23 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 0–2 xG 0.29–1.94 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 3–1 xG 1.84–1.22 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–4 xG 0.15–3.66 PRT PL

All meetings · 36 matches since 2005

Sporting Braga 1910 draws7 Rio Ave

Goals 60–28 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting Braga 63 draws1 Rio Ave

Goals 20–7 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting Braga 22 draws1 Rio Ave

Goals 10–4 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Sporting Braga 3–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 2–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 4–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 0–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 2–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 2–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 2–3 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 0–0 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 3–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga at home · 17Rio Ave all · 34Rio Ave away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.761.061.24
W / D / L16 / 11 / 78 / 6 / 38 / 12 / 145 / 6 / 6
Goals for / match1.882.001.031.06
Goals against / match1.061.061.681.65
Clean sheets35%35%18%18%
Failed to score9%12%38%35%
Both teams scored56%53%53%53%
Over 2.568%71%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.641.050.80
xG against / match1.060.811.641.70
xG difference0.610.83-0.59-0.89
Finishing vs xG0.210.36-0.020.26
xPts / match1.751.891.060.86
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.120.000.37
Game state
Scored first71%71%35%24%
PPG when scoring first2.212.251.922.50
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.530.83
Came back from behind53%62%33%50%
Leads held59%57%50%62%
Minutes leading39%42%18%14%
Minutes level44%39%51%58%
Minutes trailing17%19%31%28%
First goal (min)29254255
First goal conceded (min)40383940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%41%63%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%44%56%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.410.180.24
Late goals against0.240.240.320.41
Style
Possession63%62%47%46%
Shots11.711.010.48.5
On target4.74.33.93.6
Shot conversion16%18%10%12%
Shots inside box67%66%62%63%
Big chances created2.72.72.01.6
Corners5.35.34.33.4
xG from set plays46%50%31%34%
Goals from headers14%15%18%22%
Pressure index21.319.88.26.6
Dominant minutes64.964.534.828.9
Pass accuracy87%87%82%81%
Fouls11.711.612.913.6
Cards2.442.242.972.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.14Home 83% P 81%8.5Draw 11% P 13%15.0Away 6% P 7%

Double Chance

1.05Braga or Draw 46% P 46%1.1Braga or Rio Ave 44% P 44%4.5Draw or Rio Ave 11% P 10%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41% P 43%1.57No 59% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 65%2.7Under 35% P 35%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 80–82.5% · away 5–7.5% · 442 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home81%81%83%+1.6
Draw13%13%11%-1.8
Away7%6%6%+0.2

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%64%63%-0.4

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Career
86 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.77 (4.48 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.825.66-1.0421
Fouls / match26.227.8-0.83
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1542
Time added7.47.7-0.2230
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 30 250 62'10
2025-12-23 81 350 58'9
2025-12-01 · Sporting Braga 41 201 13'6
2025-11-01 · Rio Ave 31 241 21'6
2025-10-05 80 210 45'6
2025-09-27 90 382 27'8
2025-09-14 20 210 71'12
2025-09-06 50 271 37'9
2025-08-17 · Sporting Braga 30 211 24'7
2025-08-07 20 210 65'8