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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21

Momentum

EstorilTondela
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Capacity
8,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Ian Cathro · António Rocha Simão
Position
7 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Márcio André Dias Torres

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
12.4° (feels 11.8°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estoril

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 18 GA 8 · xG 8.51–7.21 · xPts 8.06

  • W A Santa Clara 4–2 xG 2.31–1.41 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 4–2 xG 1.97–1.95 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 5–0 xG 2.24–0.17 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 1–3 xG 0.85–2.94 PRT PL
  • W H Alverca 4–1 xG 1.15–0.73 PRT PL

Tondela

WLLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 3.4–6.55 · xPts 4.65

  • D H Benfica 0–0 xG 0.58–2.87 PRT PL
  • L A Famalicão 0–3 xG 0.08–0.84 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.63–1.64 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.51–0.55 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 3–1 xG 0.59–0.65 PRT PL

All meetings · 10 matches since 2015

Estoril 82 draws0 Tondela

Goals 20–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Estoril 82 draws0 Tondela

Goals 20–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estoril 32 draws0 Tondela

Goals 10–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Estoril 2–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Tondela 2–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 1–0 Tondela neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 3–0 Tondela neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 2–3 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 0–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 2–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 0–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstoril all · 34Estoril at home · 17Tondela all · 34Tondela away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.350.820.88
W / D / L10 / 9 / 156 / 5 / 66 / 10 / 184 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.591.710.790.82
Goals against / match1.681.531.622.00
Clean sheets15%12%21%18%
Failed to score29%24%53%47%
Both teams scored59%71%35%35%
Over 2.562%59%50%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.221.271.18
xG against / match1.591.651.561.60
xG difference-0.39-0.43-0.30-0.41
Finishing vs xG0.390.48-0.47-0.36
xPts / match1.131.101.231.15
Points vs xPts0.020.25-0.40-0.27
Game state
Scored first38%29%32%41%
PPG when scoring first1.852.001.732.00
PPG when conceding first0.701.090.300.10
Came back from behind40%50%25%17%
Leads held59%67%46%57%
Minutes leading23%24%14%17%
Minutes level40%48%56%48%
Minutes trailing37%28%29%36%
First goal (min)34374144
First goal conceded (min)30344240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%52%63%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%42%60%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.290.150.12
Late goals against0.240.120.440.53
Style
Possession53%53%44%42%
Shots11.712.110.69.1
On target4.14.53.43.3
Shot conversion14%14%8%9%
Shots inside box64%62%60%56%
Big chances created2.22.12.01.9
Corners4.44.64.04.0
xG from set plays32%26%46%58%
Goals from headers13%17%12%8%
Pressure index11.212.18.37.7
Dominant minutes46.849.338.135.2
Pass accuracy81%81%78%80%
Fouls13.012.514.415.0
Cards2.532.712.713.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 55% P 55%3.9Draw 24% P 24%4.5Away 21% P 21%

Double Chance

1.18Estoril or Draw 40% P 39%1.25Estoril or Tondela 37% P 38%2.05Draw or Tondela 23% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.75Over 54% P 54%2.05Under 46% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%56%60%+4.1
Draw24%23%21%-1.7
Away21%21%18%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Márcio André Dias Torres

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.89 cards, 25.4 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-18 20 350 90'8
2025-12-13 40 270 33'9
2025-11-30 50 252 19'10
2025-10-04 51 284 24'16
2025-09-13 10 250 1'8