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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21

Momentum

AroucaVSC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Capacity
5,600
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Freire De Seabra · Luís Correia Pinto
Position
14 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.7° (feels 2.7°)
Wind
6.9
Humidity
96%

Where to watch · 9

  • Brazil Claro TV+ · Sky+ · Vivo Play
  • France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Free
  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Arouca

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 6.5–5.07 · xPts 7.84

  • W A Rio Ave 3–0 xG 1.99–0.49 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–2 xG 1.23–1.65 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 1–0 xG 1.37–0.62 PRT PL
  • L A Tondela 1–3 xG 0.65–0.59 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.27–1.73 PRT PL

Vitória Guimarães

DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 7.46–6.82 · xPts 7.56

  • W H Moreirense 1–0 xG 1.68–0.62 PRT PL
  • L A Estoril 2–4 xG 1.95–1.97 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–1 xG 1.52–2.46 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 0.98–1.32 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 0–0 xG 1.34–0.45 PRT PL

All meetings · 19 matches since 2013

Arouca 56 draws8 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 26–29 · 2.89 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Arouca 43 draws3 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 16–14 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Arouca 22 draws1 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 3–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 2–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 0–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 1–3 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 0–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 2–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 1–3 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricArouca all · 34Arouca at home · 17Vitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.471.240.82
W / D / L12 / 6 / 167 / 4 / 612 / 6 / 164 / 2 / 11
Goals for / match1.381.591.150.76
Goals against / match1.881.761.501.88
Clean sheets21%18%29%29%
Failed to score26%24%35%47%
Both teams scored56%59%41%29%
Over 2.568%71%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.041.201.271.20
xG against / match1.511.491.291.37
xG difference-0.48-0.29-0.02-0.16
Finishing vs xG0.340.38-0.12-0.44
xPts / match1.141.211.381.29
Points vs xPts0.090.26-0.15-0.46
Game state
Scored first50%59%41%41%
PPG when scoring first1.821.902.141.86
PPG when conceding first0.630.860.560.00
Came back from behind24%33%20%0%
Leads held60%58%71%57%
Minutes leading20%30%16%13%
Minutes level50%45%55%50%
Minutes trailing30%25%29%38%
First goal (min)37304545
First goal conceded (min)35373730
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%63%56%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%53%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.180.18
Late goals against0.410.410.290.29
Style
Possession50%50%51%52%
Shots10.710.813.313.2
On target3.64.23.93.8
Shot conversion13%15%9%6%
Shots inside box58%63%56%53%
Big chances created2.12.61.61.6
Corners3.74.14.44.5
xG from set plays24%20%35%28%
Goals from headers34%30%16%17%
Pressure index10.710.412.911.7
Dominant minutes43.442.853.853.6
Pass accuracy82%81%82%82%
Fouls13.914.414.513.5
Cards3.324.002.412.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 34%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.55Away 37% P 36%

Double Chance

1.5FC Arouca or Draw 31% P 32%1.33FC Arouca or Guimaraes 35% P 35%1.4Draw or Guimaraes 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.7Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%34%+0.5
Draw30%30%27%-2.5
Away36%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Career
19 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
5.37 (5.26 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
29.0 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 18 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.395.66-0.3233
Fouls / match29.027.9+0.59
Fouls per card5.74.9+0.74 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.37+0.6076
Time added8.37.7+0.8385
First card
28' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 47% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-03 80 340 23'5
2025-12-21 50 261 23'9
2025-12-15 60 301 48'8
2025-10-26 60 281 40'12
2025-09-28 30 110 12'18
2025-05-11 80 360 33'8
2025-04-12 70 420 34'2
2025-03-30 61 390 16'10
2025-02-15 60 291 25'11