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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21

Momentum

PortoSporting CP
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity
50,033
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Francesco Farioli · Rui Borges
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
13.7° (feels 13.7°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
100%

Where to watch · 25

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Porto

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 11.6–3.33 · xPts 12.02

  • L A Casa Pia 1–2 xG 2.11–0.47 PRT PL
  • W H Rangers 3–1 xG 1.93–0.29 UEFA EL
  • W H Gil Vicente 3–0 xG 2.57–0.69 PRT PL
  • D A Viktoria Plzeň 1–1 xG 2.53–0.37 UEFA EL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 1–0 xG 2.46–1.52 PRT PL

Sporting CP

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 7.16–4.82 · xPts 8.56

  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 1.99–0.82 PRT PL
  • W A Athletic Club 3–2 xG 1.12–0.67 UEFA CL
  • W A Arouca 2–1 xG 1.65–1.23 PRT PL
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 2–1 xG 0.8–1.75 UEFA CL
  • W H Casa Pia 3–0 xG 1.6–0.34 PRT PL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Porto 1716 draws9 Sporting CP

Goals 50–41 · 2.17 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Porto 35 draws2 Sporting CP

Goals 14–13 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Porto 13 draws1 Sporting CP

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Porto 1–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 1–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 2–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 2–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 2–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 3–0 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 2–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting CP 1–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricPorto all · 34Porto at home · 17Sporting CP all · 34Sporting CP away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.592.652.412.41
W / D / L28 / 4 / 214 / 3 / 025 / 7 / 212 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match1.941.942.622.24
Goals against / match0.530.350.710.76
Clean sheets62%71%44%29%
Failed to score3%6%0%0%
Both teams scored38%29%56%71%
Over 2.556%47%71%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.861.852.091.90
xG against / match0.710.580.820.91
xG difference1.161.271.270.99
Finishing vs xG0.080.090.530.34
xPts / match2.072.122.121.98
Points vs xPts0.520.530.300.44
Game state
Scored first85%94%76%71%
PPG when scoring first2.792.752.542.33
PPG when conceding first1.502.002.60
Came back from behind50%75%100%
Leads held90%88%81%75%
Minutes leading51%54%45%41%
Minutes level43%46%48%51%
Minutes trailing6%0%7%8%
First goal (min)36333937
First goal conceded (min)56655042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%52%57%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half78%100%67%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.650.59
Late goals against0.180.120.320.24
Style
Possession55%56%62%63%
Shots14.514.617.616.1
On target5.35.46.86.1
Shot conversion13%13%15%14%
Shots inside box66%68%68%65%
Big chances created2.92.93.63.3
Corners5.65.66.97.5
xG from set plays31%33%24%23%
Goals from headers14%6%16%17%
Pressure index19.920.824.622.6
Dominant minutes64.864.969.668.8
Pass accuracy84%85%88%88%
Fouls13.913.612.212.3
Cards2.532.122.182.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.414
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.016

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 38%3.1Draw 30% P 30%2.87Away 33% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4FC Porto or Draw 34% P 34%1.36FC Porto or Sporting 35% P 35%1.5Draw or Sporting 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.7Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.8+0.51
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3764
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-01 50 240 36'9
2026-01-22 90 280 44'8
2026-01-17 40 221 57'6
2025-12-27 80 340 18'13
2025-12-07 · Porto 30 190 39'7
2025-11-05 20 250 6'6
2025-10-25 90 360 10'8
2025-10-05 61 340 61'10
2025-09-27 · Sporting CP 60 250 48'7
2025-09-24 40 260 42'10