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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 21

Momentum

MoreirenseGil Vicente
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
21

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · César Peixoto
Position
6 · 5
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 12.8°)
Wind
10.8
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 4.52–5.42 · xPts 6.06

  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 0.62–1.68 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.15–0.29 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 1–2 xG 1.45–2.47 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 1–0 xG 0.55–0.51 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 2–0 xG 1.74–0.47 PRT PL

Gil Vicente

DDWLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 7.17–6.66 · xPts 7.14

  • W H Famalicão 5–0 xG 2.66–0.12 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.69–2.57 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 0.89–1.32 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.2–1.38 PRT PL
  • D A Arouca 2–2 xG 1.73–1.27 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2012

Moreirense 84 draws4 Gil Vicente

Goals 27–18 · 2.81 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Moreirense 43 draws3 Gil Vicente

Goals 13–13 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 20 draws3 Gil Vicente

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Moreirense 1–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 2–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 0–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 3–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 0–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 1–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 1–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 1–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 34Moreirense at home · 17Gil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.591.471.18
W / D / L12 / 7 / 158 / 3 / 613 / 11 / 104 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.091.181.381.12
Goals against / match1.441.241.121.24
Clean sheets26%29%35%35%
Failed to score32%29%26%35%
Both teams scored47%47%47%47%
Over 2.550%53%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.941.431.43
xG against / match1.541.341.151.30
xG difference-0.63-0.410.280.13
Finishing vs xG0.180.24-0.04-0.32
xPts / match1.021.101.541.46
Points vs xPts0.250.49-0.07-0.28
Game state
Scored first44%47%56%53%
PPG when scoring first2.202.382.161.67
PPG when conceding first0.470.880.500.40
Came back from behind25%33%38%38%
Leads held71%80%62%40%
Minutes leading22%18%28%24%
Minutes level52%60%53%59%
Minutes trailing26%21%19%17%
First goal (min)35433325
First goal conceded (min)40424142
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%70%49%32%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%57%55%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.320.12
Late goals against0.350.240.240.35
Style
Possession50%50%50%50%
Shots8.99.413.812.9
On target3.23.14.54.0
Shot conversion12%13%10%9%
Shots inside box59%58%57%57%
Big chances created1.71.42.11.8
Corners3.64.05.65.7
xG from set plays27%30%45%47%
Goals from headers24%30%17%17%
Pressure index10.610.214.814.2
Dominant minutes42.947.354.152.2
Pass accuracy83%83%80%79%
Fouls13.913.813.613.8
Cards2.712.592.502.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.75Home 25% P 25%3.0Draw 31% P 31%2.15Away 44% P 45%

Double Chance

1.7Moreirense or Draw 28% P 28%1.36Moreirense or Gil Vicente 35% P 35%1.25Draw or Gil Vicente 38% P 38%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 45%1.66No 56% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 37%1.5Under 62% P 63%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–30% · away 40–50% · 3,119 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%27%26%-1.1
Draw31%28%28%-0.4
Away45%45%47%+1.5

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career
50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match
29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.235.66+0.7582
Fouls / match29.927.9+1.04
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.37-1.229
Time added8.17.7+0.6076
First card
32' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 70 341 15'6
2026-01-16 21 240 12'8
2025-12-19 70 200 41'6
2025-12-14 51 260 22'9
2025-11-29 · Moreirense 91 390 19'8
2025-10-04 50 220 24'13
2025-08-17 · Moreirense 90 380 42'9
2025-08-09 · Gil Vicente 90 370 42'8
2025-04-26 80 311 34'10
2025-04-12 71 280 23'10