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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22

Momentum

Casa PiaArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
Capacity
7,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
15 · 12
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Diogo Rosa

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
12.9° (feels 11.9°)
Wind
7.2
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Casa Pia

LLDWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 4.11–10.02 · xPts 3.39

  • D A Nacional 0–0 xG 0.77–1.04 PRT PL
  • W H Porto 2–1 xG 0.47–2.11 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 3–3 xG 1.31–3.42 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.34–1.6 PRT PL
  • L A Rio Ave 1–3 xG 1.22–1.84 PRT PL

Arouca

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 6.31–4.62 · xPts 7.98

  • W H Vitória Guimarães 3–2 xG 1.08–1.27 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 3–0 xG 1.99–0.49 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–2 xG 1.23–1.65 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 1–0 xG 1.37–0.62 PRT PL
  • L A Tondela 1–3 xG 0.65–0.59 PRT PL

All meetings · 8 matches since 2022

Casa Pia 52 draws1 Arouca

Goals 10–5 · 1.88 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Casa Pia 52 draws1 Arouca

Goals 10–5 · 1.88 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Casa Pia 41 draws0 Arouca

Goals 9–3 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Casa Pia 3–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 3–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 1–0 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 2–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 0–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricCasa Pia all · 34Casa Pia at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.880.881.241.00
W / D / L6 / 12 / 162 / 9 / 612 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match0.911.061.381.18
Goals against / match1.681.531.882.00
Clean sheets21%12%21%24%
Failed to score44%41%26%29%
Both teams scored47%59%56%53%
Over 2.544%29%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.940.981.040.87
xG against / match1.561.491.511.54
xG difference-0.62-0.51-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG-0.030.080.340.30
xPts / match1.001.071.141.08
Points vs xPts-0.12-0.190.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first29%29%50%41%
PPG when scoring first1.501.201.821.71
PPG when conceding first0.550.700.630.44
Came back from behind30%46%24%17%
Leads held46%29%60%62%
Minutes leading17%20%20%11%
Minutes level53%60%50%54%
Minutes trailing30%20%30%34%
First goal (min)42393744
First goal conceded (min)39473532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%62%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.180.12
Late goals against0.320.350.410.41
Style
Possession41%41%50%51%
Shots8.98.310.710.6
On target2.92.73.62.9
Shot conversion10%13%13%11%
Shots inside box62%61%58%52%
Big chances created1.71.82.11.4
Corners4.03.63.73.4
xG from set plays38%42%24%30%
Goals from headers19%22%34%40%
Pressure index7.18.910.711.0
Dominant minutes35.641.543.444.0
Pass accuracy72%71%82%82%
Fouls15.916.913.913.3
Cards3.003.243.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-2-3-11 3%1.00.00.00.451.34

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 31%3.2Draw 29% P 30%2.45Away 38% P 39%

Double Chance

1.53Casa Pia or Draw 31% P 31%1.36Casa Pia or FC Arouca 35% P 35%1.4Draw or FC Arouca 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 51%1.9No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.65Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away39%39%38%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Diogo Rosa

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.38 cards, 28.4 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-04 40 362 57'5
2025-12-20 81 320 54'10
2025-12-06 · Casa Pia 90 350 5'8
2025-09-13 70 220 1'11