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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22

Momentum

Sporting CPFamalicão
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Capacity
52,095
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Rui Borges · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Position
2 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
12.8° (feels 12.5°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 19

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting CP

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 7.02–5.32 · xPts 8.07

  • D A Porto 1–1 xG 1.47–0.85 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 1.99–0.82 PRT PL
  • W A Athletic Club 3–2 xG 1.12–0.67 UEFA CL
  • W A Arouca 2–1 xG 1.65–1.23 PRT PL
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 2–1 xG 0.8–1.75 UEFA CL

Famalicão

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 5.5–6.21 · xPts 7.12

  • W H AVS 3–1 xG 1.84–0.38 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 0–5 xG 0.12–2.66 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 3–0 xG 0.84–0.08 PRT PL
  • W A Santa Clara 1–0 xG 1.43–0.96 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 0–1 xG 1.26–2.13 PRT PL

All meetings · 15 matches since 2019

Sporting CP 94 draws2 Famalicão

Goals 24–14 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting CP 91 draws0 Famalicão

Goals 18–5 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting CP 41 draws0 Famalicão

Goals 10–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Famalicão 1–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 1–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 3–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 1–2 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting CP all · 34Sporting CP at home · 17Famalicão all · 34Famalicão away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.412.411.651.47
W / D / L25 / 7 / 213 / 2 / 215 / 11 / 86 / 7 / 4
Goals for / match2.623.001.240.88
Goals against / match0.710.650.851.00
Clean sheets44%59%50%41%
Failed to score0%0%26%35%
Both teams scored56%41%35%35%
Over 2.571%82%38%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.092.291.421.24
xG against / match0.820.741.001.12
xG difference1.271.550.420.12
Finishing vs xG0.530.71-0.18-0.36
xPts / match2.122.251.661.48
Points vs xPts0.300.16-0.01-0.01
Game state
Scored first76%82%53%47%
PPG when scoring first2.542.712.442.50
PPG when conceding first2.001.000.670.43
Came back from behind75%33%43%43%
Leads held81%87%75%67%
Minutes leading45%50%24%20%
Minutes level48%44%60%67%
Minutes trailing7%6%16%13%
First goal (min)39424752
First goal conceded (min)50623950
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%64%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%55%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.710.260.12
Late goals against0.320.410.260.53
Style
Possession62%61%52%49%
Shots17.619.112.410.5
On target6.87.54.33.6
Shot conversion15%16%10%8%
Shots inside box68%70%67%68%
Big chances created3.63.82.52.2
Corners6.96.25.55.2
xG from set plays24%24%31%32%
Goals from headers16%16%26%33%
Pressure index24.626.713.811.5
Dominant minutes69.670.553.550.7
Pass accuracy88%88%82%81%
Fouls12.212.115.716.0
Cards2.181.532.682.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.33Home 70% P 74%4.75Draw 20% P 17%9.5Away 10% P 9%

Double Chance

1.07Sporting or Draw 45% P 45%1.18Sporting or Famalicao 41% P 41%3.25Draw or Famalicao 15% P 14%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 45%1.75No 53% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.15Under 44% P 43%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%74%74%+0.5
Draw17%17%18%+0.9
Away9%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career
50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match
29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.235.66+0.7582
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.05
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.37-1.239
Time added8.17.7+0.5976
First card
32' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 41 341 37'9
2026-01-25 70 341 15'6
2026-01-16 · Sporting CP 21 240 12'8
2025-12-19 70 200 41'6
2025-12-14 51 260 22'9
2025-11-29 · Famalicão 91 390 19'8
2025-10-04 50 220 24'13
2025-08-17 90 380 42'9
2025-08-09 90 370 42'8
2025-04-26 80 311 34'10