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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22

Momentum

TondelaAlverca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Capacity
5,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Cristiano Bacci · Custodio
Position
17 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
5.7° (feels 1.7°)
Wind
6.1
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 4

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Tondela

LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 3.95–7.13 · xPts 4.7

  • D A Estoril 2–2 xG 1.14–1.23 PRT PL
  • D H Benfica 0–0 xG 0.58–2.87 PRT PL
  • L A Famalicão 0–3 xG 0.08–0.84 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.63–1.64 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.51–0.55 PRT PL

Alverca

WWLDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 6.75–9.31 · xPts 5.77

  • L A Benfica 1–2 xG 0.9–2.67 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 1–1 xG 0.87–1.0 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–5 xG 0.39–2.93 PRT PL
  • W H Moreirense 2–1 xG 2.47–1.45 PRT PL
  • W H Famalicão 1–0 xG 2.13–1.26 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Tondela 01 draws1 Alverca

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Tondela 01 draws1 Alverca

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Tondela 01 draws1 Alverca

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D Tondela 1–1 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Alverca 1–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricTondela all · 34Tondela at home · 17Alverca all · 34Alverca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.820.761.150.76
W / D / L6 / 10 / 182 / 7 / 810 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match0.790.761.031.00
Goals against / match1.621.241.531.71
Clean sheets21%24%18%6%
Failed to score53%59%29%35%
Both teams scored35%35%56%59%
Over 2.550%35%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.351.160.93
xG against / match1.561.531.341.49
xG difference-0.30-0.18-0.18-0.56
Finishing vs xG-0.47-0.59-0.130.07
xPts / match1.231.301.291.06
Points vs xPts-0.40-0.54-0.14-0.30
Game state
Scored first32%24%35%24%
PPG when scoring first1.731.252.332.00
PPG when conceding first0.300.500.480.38
Came back from behind25%33%29%23%
Leads held46%33%71%60%
Minutes leading14%12%18%16%
Minutes level56%65%53%58%
Minutes trailing29%23%29%26%
First goal (min)41384940
First goal conceded (min)42444043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%62%54%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.180.350.24
Late goals against0.440.350.260.35
Style
Possession44%45%45%43%
Shots10.612.19.68.7
On target3.43.53.53.4
Shot conversion8%6%11%12%
Shots inside box60%63%64%62%
Big chances created2.02.02.11.6
Corners4.03.94.44.1
xG from set plays46%36%42%33%
Goals from headers12%17%26%24%
Pressure index8.38.98.47.5
Dominant minutes38.141.139.133.7
Pass accuracy78%77%80%79%
Fouls14.413.912.511.9
Cards2.712.412.382.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 36% P 37%3.0Draw 31% P 31%2.9Away 32% P 32%

Double Chance

1.36Tondela or Draw 34% P 34%1.36Tondela or Alverca 34% P 34%1.5Draw or Alverca 31% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 45%1.7No 55% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 37%1.5Under 62% P 63%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 30–32.5% · 302 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%37%38%+1.6
Draw31%32%31%-0.7
Away32%32%31%-0.8

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Career
19 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
6.63 (6.21 yellow · 0.32 red)
Fouls / match
28.1 · 4.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
54%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.415.66+0.9888
Fouls / match28.327.9+0.22
Fouls per card4.44.9-0.82 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.530.37+1.1988
Time added9.47.7+2.12100
First card
29' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
54% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-02 51 280 40'12
2026-01-19 41 281 45'7
2025-12-13 81 300 18'6
2025-11-09 60 312 33'11
2025-11-02 50 220 32'6
2025-08-24 40 350 49'8
2025-08-15 90 401 16'14
2025-05-05 100 331 17'8
2025-04-19 90 250 16'10