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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 22

Momentum

Rio AveMoreirense
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Capacity
12,815
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Sotiris Silaidopoulos · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position
15 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ricardo Baixinho

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
14.2° (feels 14.1°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 4

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rio Ave

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 13 · xG 3.6–8.33 · xPts 3.79

  • L A Sporting Braga 0–3 xG 0.17–1.96 PRT PL
  • L H Arouca 0–3 xG 0.49–1.99 PRT PL
  • L A Nacional 0–4 xG 0.8–1.23 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 0–2 xG 0.29–1.94 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 3–1 xG 1.84–1.22 PRT PL

Moreirense

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 2.94–7.48 · xPts 3.92

  • L H Gil Vicente 1–2 xG 0.16–2.53 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 0.62–1.68 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.15–0.29 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 1–2 xG 1.45–2.47 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 1–0 xG 0.55–0.51 PRT PL

All meetings · 22 matches since 2012

Rio Ave 96 draws7 Moreirense

Goals 26–26 · 2.36 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Rio Ave 43 draws3 Moreirense

Goals 12–13 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rio Ave 21 draws2 Moreirense

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Rio Ave 1–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 3–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 0–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 3–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 0–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 0–4 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 2–0 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 0–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricRio Ave all · 34Rio Ave at home · 17Moreirense all · 34Moreirense away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.060.881.260.94
W / D / L8 / 12 / 143 / 6 / 812 / 7 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.031.001.091.00
Goals against / match1.681.711.441.65
Clean sheets18%18%26%24%
Failed to score38%41%32%35%
Both teams scored53%53%47%47%
Over 2.559%65%50%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.051.300.910.88
xG against / match1.641.591.541.74
xG difference-0.59-0.29-0.63-0.85
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.300.180.12
xPts / match1.061.261.020.93
Points vs xPts0.00-0.370.250.01
Game state
Scored first35%47%44%41%
PPG when scoring first1.921.632.202.00
PPG when conceding first0.530.000.470.11
Came back from behind33%11%25%18%
Leads held50%38%71%57%
Minutes leading18%23%22%26%
Minutes level51%43%52%43%
Minutes trailing31%34%26%31%
First goal (min)42293526
First goal conceded (min)39374038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%41%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%45%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.180.12
Late goals against0.320.240.350.47
Style
Possession47%48%50%49%
Shots10.412.48.98.5
On target3.94.13.23.4
Shot conversion10%8%12%12%
Shots inside box62%62%59%60%
Big chances created2.02.41.72.1
Corners4.35.13.63.3
xG from set plays31%30%27%24%
Goals from headers18%12%24%18%
Pressure index8.29.710.611.0
Dominant minutes34.840.642.938.5
Pass accuracy82%82%83%82%
Fouls12.912.213.914.1
Cards2.973.062.712.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.00.61.23

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 27%3.2Draw 30% P 29%2.2Away 43% P 44%

Double Chance

1.66Rio Ave or Draw 28% P 28%1.36Rio Ave or Moreirense 35% P 35%1.28Draw or Moreirense 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 50%1.8No 52% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.25Over 42% P 43%1.61Under 58% P 57%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%27%26%-0.8
Draw29%29%32%+2.9
Away44%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Ricardo Baixinho

Career
39 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
7.46 (6.79 yellow · 0.44 red)
Fouls / match
30.5 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.51
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match7.335.66+2.14100
Fouls / match30.527.8+1.39
Fouls per card4.24.9-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.37+0.5473
Time added9.27.7+1.8897
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-01 30 270 28'8
2026-01-23 80 282 13'12
2025-12-15 112 283 20'16
2025-11-29 81 260 43'13
2025-09-14 90 390 35'11
2025-08-25 92 421 16'14
2025-08-18 60 290 41'11
2025-04-26 91 280 24'10
2025-04-11 70 300 8'9
2025-03-16 · Moreirense 101 301 29'8