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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 23

Momentum

PortoRio Ave
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity
50,033
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Francesco Farioli · Sotiris Silaidopoulos
Position
1 · 15
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
7.7° (feels 6.9°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 26

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Porto

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 8.15–3.69 · xPts 9.59

  • W A Nacional 1–0 xG 0.69–0.77 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 0.85–1.47 PRT PL
  • L A Casa Pia 1–2 xG 2.11–0.47 PRT PL
  • W H Rangers 3–1 xG 1.93–0.29 UEFA EL
  • W H Gil Vicente 3–0 xG 2.57–0.69 PRT PL

Rio Ave

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 14 · xG 3.34–7.7 · xPts 4.1

  • L H Moreirense 1–2 xG 1.58–0.59 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–3 xG 0.17–1.96 PRT PL
  • L H Arouca 0–3 xG 0.49–1.99 PRT PL
  • L A Nacional 0–4 xG 0.8–1.23 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 0–2 xG 0.29–1.94 PRT PL

All meetings · 37 matches since 2005

Porto 288 draws1 Rio Ave

Goals 80–25 · 2.84 per match · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Porto 72 draws1 Rio Ave

Goals 17–6 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Porto 41 draws0 Rio Ave

Goals 10–2 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Rio Ave 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 1–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 0–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 2–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 2–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Porto 0–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 1–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 3–1 Porto neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 0–3 Porto neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricPorto all · 34Porto at home · 17Rio Ave all · 34Rio Ave away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.592.651.061.24
W / D / L28 / 4 / 214 / 3 / 08 / 12 / 145 / 6 / 6
Goals for / match1.941.941.031.06
Goals against / match0.530.351.681.65
Clean sheets62%71%18%18%
Failed to score3%6%38%35%
Both teams scored38%29%53%53%
Over 2.556%47%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.861.851.050.80
xG against / match0.710.581.641.70
xG difference1.161.27-0.59-0.89
Finishing vs xG0.080.09-0.020.26
xPts / match2.072.121.060.86
Points vs xPts0.520.530.000.37
Game state
Scored first85%94%35%24%
PPG when scoring first2.792.751.922.50
PPG when conceding first1.500.530.83
Came back from behind50%33%50%
Leads held90%88%50%62%
Minutes leading51%54%18%14%
Minutes level43%46%51%58%
Minutes trailing6%0%31%28%
First goal (min)36334255
First goal conceded (min)56653940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%52%63%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half78%100%56%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.180.24
Late goals against0.180.120.320.41
Style
Possession55%56%47%46%
Shots14.514.610.48.5
On target5.35.43.93.6
Shot conversion13%13%10%12%
Shots inside box66%68%62%63%
Big chances created2.92.92.01.6
Corners5.65.64.33.4
xG from set plays31%33%31%34%
Goals from headers14%6%18%22%
Pressure index19.920.88.26.6
Dominant minutes64.864.934.828.9
Pass accuracy84%85%82%81%
Fouls13.913.612.913.6
Cards2.532.122.972.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.11Home 84% P 86%9.0Draw 10% P 10%17.0Away 5% P 4%

Double Chance

1.02FC Porto or Draw 31% P 48%1.07FC Porto or Rio Ave 29% P 46%1.02FC Porto or Tie 31% P 46%6.5Tie or Rio Ave 5% P 46%6.5Draw or Rio Ave 5% P 7%

Draw No Bet

1.031 94%15.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

2.5Yes 38% P 35%1.5No 62% P 65%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 64%2.7Under 35% P 36%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 21%2.629 - 11 28%4.012 - 14 19%8.0Over 14 9%8.0Mais de 14 9%11.0Menos de 6 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 85–87.5% · away 2.5–5% · 296 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home86%86%88%+1.6
Draw10%10%9%-0.8
Away4%4%3%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 72%

Both teams to score · yes 35–37.5% · 141 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes35%36%38%+1.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career
50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match
29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.235.66+0.7582
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.05
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.37-1.239
Time added8.17.7+0.5976
First card
32' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-15 50 340 45'13
2026-02-07 41 341 37'9
2026-01-25 70 341 15'6
2026-01-16 21 240 12'8
2025-12-19 70 200 41'6
2025-12-14 51 260 22'9
2025-11-29 91 390 19'8
2025-10-04 50 220 24'13
2025-08-17 90 380 42'9
2025-08-09 90 370 42'8