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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 23

Momentum

EstorilGil Vicente
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Capacity
8,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,194

Teams

Coaches
Ian Cathro · César Peixoto
Position
9 · 5
Formation
4-3-1-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
16.8° (feels 16.3°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
70%

Where to watch · 7

  • Brazil Disney+ Premium Brazil
  • France beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports MAX 4 · Free
  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estoril

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 15 GA 9 · xG 8.57–5.98 · xPts 8.44

  • L A AVS 0–3 xG 0.82–1.31 PRT PL
  • D H Tondela 2–2 xG 1.23–1.14 PRT PL
  • W A Santa Clara 4–2 xG 2.31–1.41 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 4–2 xG 1.97–1.95 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 5–0 xG 2.24–0.17 PRT PL

Gil Vicente

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 7.9–4.97 · xPts 8.59

  • W H Sporting Braga 2–1 xG 1.13–0.79 PRT PL
  • W A Moreirense 2–1 xG 2.53–0.16 PRT PL
  • W H Famalicão 5–0 xG 2.66–0.12 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.69–2.57 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 0.89–1.32 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2013

Estoril 66 draws4 Gil Vicente

Goals 21–19 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Estoril 43 draws3 Gil Vicente

Goals 13–14 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estoril 21 draws2 Gil Vicente

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Estoril 3–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 2–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 1–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estoril 0–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 1–3 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 5–3 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 1–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 0–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 0–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estoril 2–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstoril all · 34Estoril at home · 17Gil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.351.471.18
W / D / L10 / 9 / 156 / 5 / 613 / 11 / 104 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.591.711.381.12
Goals against / match1.681.531.121.24
Clean sheets15%12%35%35%
Failed to score29%24%26%35%
Both teams scored59%71%47%47%
Over 2.562%59%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.221.431.43
xG against / match1.591.651.151.30
xG difference-0.39-0.430.280.13
Finishing vs xG0.390.48-0.04-0.32
xPts / match1.131.101.541.46
Points vs xPts0.020.25-0.07-0.28
Game state
Scored first38%29%56%53%
PPG when scoring first1.852.002.161.67
PPG when conceding first0.701.090.500.40
Came back from behind40%50%38%38%
Leads held59%67%62%40%
Minutes leading23%24%28%24%
Minutes level40%48%53%59%
Minutes trailing37%28%19%17%
First goal (min)34373325
First goal conceded (min)30344142
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%52%49%32%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%42%55%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.290.320.12
Late goals against0.240.120.240.35
Style
Possession53%53%50%50%
Shots11.712.113.812.9
On target4.14.54.54.0
Shot conversion14%14%10%9%
Shots inside box64%62%57%57%
Big chances created2.22.12.11.8
Corners4.44.65.65.7
xG from set plays32%26%45%47%
Goals from headers13%17%17%17%
Pressure index11.212.114.814.2
Dominant minutes46.849.354.152.2
Pass accuracy81%81%80%79%
Fouls13.012.513.613.8
Cards2.532.712.502.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 23% P 30%3.4Draw 21% P 28%2.2Away 32% P 43%2.8Estoril 25%

Double Chance

1.66Estoril or Draw 17% P 29%1.3Estoril or Gil Vicente 22% P 36%1.57Estoril or Tie 18% P 36%1.36Tie or Gil Vicente 21% P 36%1.36Draw or Gil Vicente 21% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.251 28%1.572 40%2.0Estoril 32%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 59%2.1No 44% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%29%23%-5.8
Draw28%28%27%-0.3
Away43%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Career
60 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
29.6 · 6.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.085.66-1.980
Fouls / match27.627.9-0.14
Fouls per card6.94.9+2.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.37-1.0912
Time added8.27.7+0.7179
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 30 240 52'6
2026-01-04 10 330 90'5
2025-12-21 40 290 2'12
2025-12-13 30 200 12'5
2025-11-29 60 180 55'13
2025-05-04 81 280 17'11
2025-04-19 · Gil Vicente 31 201 25'6
2025-04-07 60 390 20'13
2025-03-15 · Gil Vicente 40 340 18'6