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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 23

Momentum

CFEATondela
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Nuno Silva Soto Lopes · Cristiano Bacci
Position
11 · 17
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Gustavo Mota Correia

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.5° (feels 7.1°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 12 · xG 2.94–8.45 · xPts 3.45

  • L A Vitória Guimarães 1–2 xG 0.64–1.56 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 1.01–1.65 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 1–1 xG 1.0–0.87 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–4 xG 0.12–2.13 PRT PL
  • L H Estoril 0–5 xG 0.17–2.24 PRT PL

Tondela

LLDDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 5.1–7.43 · xPts 5.41

  • D H Alverca 1–1 xG 1.67–0.85 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 2–2 xG 1.14–1.23 PRT PL
  • D H Benfica 0–0 xG 0.58–2.87 PRT PL
  • L A Famalicão 0–3 xG 0.08–0.84 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.63–1.64 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Estrela Amadora 01 draws1 Tondela

Goals 0–2 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Estrela Amadora 01 draws1 Tondela

Goals 0–2 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Estrela Amadora 01 draws1 Tondela

Goals 0–2 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • L Estrela Amadora 0–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Tondela 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora at home · 17Tondela all · 34Tondela away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.881.060.820.88
W / D / L6 / 12 / 164 / 6 / 76 / 10 / 184 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.121.240.790.82
Goals against / match1.651.411.622.00
Clean sheets24%29%21%18%
Failed to score44%41%53%47%
Both teams scored47%41%35%35%
Over 2.553%53%50%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.131.351.271.18
xG against / match1.631.531.561.60
xG difference-0.50-0.18-0.30-0.41
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.11-0.47-0.36
xPts / match1.071.261.231.15
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.20-0.40-0.27
Game state
Scored first26%29%32%41%
PPG when scoring first1.562.401.732.00
PPG when conceding first0.550.400.300.10
Came back from behind33%36%25%17%
Leads held50%67%46%57%
Minutes leading15%17%14%17%
Minutes level52%50%56%48%
Minutes trailing33%32%29%36%
First goal (min)40404144
First goal conceded (min)33324240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%48%63%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%60%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.150.12
Late goals against0.180.060.440.53
Style
Possession47%50%44%42%
Shots10.813.010.69.1
On target3.63.93.43.3
Shot conversion10%10%8%9%
Shots inside box55%54%60%56%
Big chances created2.02.52.01.9
Corners3.33.64.04.0
xG from set plays41%39%46%58%
Goals from headers13%14%12%8%
Pressure index8.911.08.37.7
Dominant minutes38.446.138.135.2
Pass accuracy79%81%78%80%
Fouls14.414.214.415.0
Cards2.852.882.713.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.781.49

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 29.7h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 17% P 33%2.9Draw 17% P 32%2.62Away 19% P 35%3.1Empate 16%3.25Tie 15%2.87Tondela 17%

Double Chance

1.44Estrela Amadora or Draw 12% P 33%1.5Tie or Tondela 12% P 34%1.4Estrela Amadora or Tondela 13% P 34%1.4Estrela Amadora or Tie 13% P 34%1.4Draw or Tondela 13% P 33%1.5Empate ou CD Tondela 12%1.36Estrela Amadora ou CD Tondela 13%1.4Estrela Amadora ou Empate 13%

Draw No Bet

1.91 33%1.82 35%1.9Tondela 33%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 23% P 47%1.75No 27% P 53%1.75Não 27%2.0Sim 23%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.4Over 19% P 39%1.53Under 31% P 61%2.4Mais de 19%1.53Menos de 31%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away35%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.539%39%39%+0.7

Gustavo Mota Correia

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.86 cards, 27.1 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-08 50 260 64'7
2026-01-18 · Tondela 61 332 10'10
2026-01-02 81 310 38'11
2025-12-07 20 291 71'5
2025-11-09 50 162 13'6