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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 23

Momentum

AlvercaSanta Clara
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity
7,705
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Custodio · Petit
Position
10 · 17
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Hélder Carvalho

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
18.7° (feels 18.2°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Alverca

WLDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.48–9.72 · xPts 4.66

  • D A Tondela 1–1 xG 0.85–1.67 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 1–2 xG 0.9–2.67 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 1–1 xG 0.87–1.0 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–5 xG 0.39–2.93 PRT PL
  • W H Moreirense 2–1 xG 2.47–1.45 PRT PL

Santa Clara

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 4.62–6.99 · xPts 5.33

  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 0.3–2.08 PRT PL
  • L A Estrela Amadora 0–1 xG 1.65–1.01 PRT PL
  • L H Estoril 2–4 xG 1.41–2.31 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.29–0.15 PRT PL
  • L H Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.96–1.43 PRT PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Alverca 02 draws1 Santa Clara

Goals 3–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Alverca 02 draws1 Santa Clara

Goals 3–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Alverca 02 draws1 Santa Clara

Goals 3–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • D Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 2–1 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAlverca all · 34Alverca at home · 17Santa Clara all · 34Santa Clara away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.531.060.76
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 59 / 9 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.031.060.940.88
Goals against / match1.531.351.211.41
Clean sheets18%29%29%18%
Failed to score29%24%38%41%
Both teams scored56%53%41%47%
Over 2.550%47%35%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.391.061.02
xG against / match1.341.191.071.22
xG difference-0.180.20-0.01-0.20
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.33-0.12-0.13
xPts / match1.291.511.351.22
Points vs xPts-0.140.02-0.29-0.46
Game state
Scored first35%47%35%29%
PPG when scoring first2.332.502.081.40
PPG when conceding first0.480.630.420.45
Came back from behind29%38%30%43%
Leads held71%78%69%40%
Minutes leading18%20%15%12%
Minutes level53%48%55%54%
Minutes trailing29%31%29%35%
First goal (min)49564036
First goal conceded (min)40353635
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%72%59%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%52%49%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.350.35
Late goals against0.260.180.180.24
Style
Possession45%47%48%48%
Shots9.610.611.711.8
On target3.53.63.23.2
Shot conversion11%10%8%8%
Shots inside box64%65%56%59%
Big chances created2.12.51.91.8
Corners4.44.64.64.7
xG from set plays42%48%39%35%
Goals from headers26%28%19%7%
Pressure index8.49.310.19.4
Dominant minutes39.144.446.142.9
Pass accuracy80%81%79%81%
Fouls12.513.014.913.2
Cards2.381.883.032.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 30% P 29%2.8Draw 33% P 31%2.55Away 37% P 40%

Double Chance

1.53Alverca or Draw 19% P 30%1.4Alverca or Santa Clara 20% P 34%1.5Alverca or Tie 19% P 34%1.36Tie or Santa Clara 21% P 34%1.36Draw or Santa Clara 21% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 46%1.7No 55% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 37%1.5Under 62% P 63%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 37.5–40% · 145 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home29%29%25%-4.4
Draw31%32%35%+3.5
Away40%39%40%+0.9

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 37%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

Hélder Carvalho

Career
42 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.86 (4.48 yellow · 0.36 red)
Fouls / match
28.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.625.66-1.2912
Fouls / match28.927.9+0.55
Fouls per card6.34.9+1.46 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.450.37+0.6579
Time added8.07.7+0.4873
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 62 230 64'6
2026-01-03 30 221 11'8
2025-12-14 20 340 28'6
2025-10-25 40 313 43'7
2025-09-22 20 342 45'7
2025-08-23 50 300 20'9
2025-08-16 60 371 25'8
2025-04-12 40 280 26'1
2025-04-05 · Santa Clara 30 270 33'9
2025-04-02 20 260 74'5