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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 24

Momentum

Casa PiaMoreirense
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
Capacity
7,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position
13 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Fabio Verssimo

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
13.1° (feels 12.2°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Casa Pia

DWDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 5.01–9.7 · xPts 4.36

  • L A Famalicão 0–2 xG 0.6–2.16 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 3–2 xG 1.87–0.96 PRT PL
  • D A Nacional 0–0 xG 0.77–1.04 PRT PL
  • W H Porto 2–1 xG 0.47–2.11 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 3–3 xG 1.31–3.42 PRT PL

Moreirense

WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 1.93–7.77 · xPts 2.91

  • L H Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.4–1.69 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 2–1 xG 0.59–1.58 PRT PL
  • L H Gil Vicente 1–2 xG 0.16–2.53 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 0.62–1.68 PRT PL
  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.15–0.29 PRT PL

All meetings · 7 matches since 2024

Casa Pia 21 draws4 Moreirense

Goals 11–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Casa Pia 21 draws4 Moreirense

Goals 11–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 57%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Casa Pia 11 draws3 Moreirense

Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 2–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 3–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 3–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 1–4 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricCasa Pia all · 34Casa Pia at home · 17Moreirense all · 34Moreirense away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.880.881.260.94
W / D / L6 / 12 / 162 / 9 / 612 / 7 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match0.911.061.091.00
Goals against / match1.681.531.441.65
Clean sheets21%12%26%24%
Failed to score44%41%32%35%
Both teams scored47%59%47%47%
Over 2.544%29%50%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.940.980.910.88
xG against / match1.561.491.541.74
xG difference-0.62-0.51-0.63-0.85
Finishing vs xG-0.030.080.180.12
xPts / match1.001.071.020.93
Points vs xPts-0.12-0.190.250.01
Game state
Scored first29%29%44%41%
PPG when scoring first1.501.202.202.00
PPG when conceding first0.550.700.470.11
Came back from behind30%46%25%18%
Leads held46%29%71%57%
Minutes leading17%20%22%26%
Minutes level53%60%52%43%
Minutes trailing30%20%26%31%
First goal (min)42393526
First goal conceded (min)39474038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%62%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.180.12
Late goals against0.320.350.350.47
Style
Possession41%41%50%49%
Shots8.98.38.98.5
On target2.92.73.23.4
Shot conversion10%13%12%12%
Shots inside box62%61%59%60%
Big chances created1.71.81.72.1
Corners4.03.63.63.3
xG from set plays38%42%27%24%
Goals from headers19%22%24%18%
Pressure index7.18.910.611.0
Dominant minutes35.641.542.938.5
Pass accuracy72%71%83%82%
Fouls15.916.913.914.1
Cards3.003.242.712.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-2-3-11 3%1.00.00.00.451.34

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 34%3.0Draw 31% P 32%2.8Away 34% P 33%

Double Chance

1.4Casa Pia or Draw 34% P 33%1.36Casa Pia or Moreirense 35% P 34%1.5Draw or Moreirense 32% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 47%1.7No 55% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 38%1.5Under 62% P 62%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 14%2.66 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away33%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Fabio Verssimo

Career
18 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.75.66+0.0842
Fouls / match25.627.8-1.15
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.37+0.2958
Time added6.57.7-1.279
First card
24' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 50 240 23'6
2026-01-24 50 280 22'4
2026-01-11 80 251 6'6
2025-12-27 50 230 49'3
2025-11-09 70 271 22'12
2025-11-02 60 280 19'6
2025-09-29 81 210 3'6