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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25

Momentum

Santa ClaraVSC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Capacity
13,277
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Petit · Luís Correia Pinto
Position
16 · 9
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
12.8° (feels 11.7°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 7

  • International Bet365 · OneFootball
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Santa Clara

LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 5.9–7.91 · xPts 5.66

  • D A Tondela 2–2 xG 1.86–1.14 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 1–1 xG 0.67–1.36 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 0.3–2.08 PRT PL
  • L A Estrela Amadora 0–1 xG 1.65–1.01 PRT PL
  • L H Estoril 2–4 xG 1.41–2.31 PRT PL

Vitória Guimarães

WLWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 7.2–6.53 · xPts 7.56

  • D H Alverca 1–1 xG 1.71–1.94 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 2–3 xG 0.98–2.25 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 2–1 xG 1.56–0.64 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 2–3 xG 1.27–1.08 PRT PL
  • W H Moreirense 1–0 xG 1.68–0.62 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2018

Santa Clara 42 draws8 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 10–19 · 2.07 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Santa Clara 31 draws6 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 7–14 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Santa Clara 20 draws3 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Santa Clara 2–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 2–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 1–3 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 0–4 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSanta Clara all · 34Santa Clara at home · 17Vitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.061.351.240.82
W / D / L9 / 9 / 167 / 2 / 812 / 6 / 164 / 2 / 11
Goals for / match0.941.001.150.76
Goals against / match1.211.001.501.88
Clean sheets29%41%29%29%
Failed to score38%35%35%47%
Both teams scored41%35%41%29%
Over 2.535%35%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.061.111.271.20
xG against / match1.070.921.291.37
xG difference-0.010.18-0.02-0.16
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.11-0.12-0.44
xPts / match1.351.491.381.29
Points vs xPts-0.29-0.13-0.15-0.46
Game state
Scored first35%41%41%41%
PPG when scoring first2.082.572.141.86
PPG when conceding first0.420.380.560.00
Came back from behind30%11%20%0%
Leads held69%88%71%57%
Minutes leading15%19%16%13%
Minutes level55%57%55%50%
Minutes trailing29%24%29%38%
First goal (min)40424545
First goal conceded (min)36373730
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%65%56%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%53%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.350.180.18
Late goals against0.180.120.290.29
Style
Possession48%49%51%52%
Shots11.711.613.313.2
On target3.23.23.93.8
Shot conversion8%9%9%6%
Shots inside box56%54%56%53%
Big chances created1.92.11.61.6
Corners4.64.54.44.5
xG from set plays39%42%35%28%
Goals from headers19%29%16%17%
Pressure index10.110.812.911.7
Dominant minutes46.149.253.853.6
Pass accuracy79%77%82%82%
Fouls14.916.614.513.5
Cards3.033.712.412.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.4Home 39% P 39%3.0Draw 31% P 31%3.2Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Santa Clara or Draw 35% P 35%1.36Santa Clara or Guimaraes 35% P 34%1.53Draw or Guimaraes 31% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 47%1.7No 55% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 38%1.5Under 62% P 62%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 33%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%-0.2
Draw31%30%31%+1.5
Away30%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career
50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match
29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.235.66+0.7582
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.05
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.37-1.239
Time added8.17.7+0.5976
First card
32' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-22 50 300 90'7
2026-02-15 50 340 45'13
2026-02-07 41 341 37'9
2026-01-25 70 341 15'6
2026-01-16 21 240 12'8
2025-12-19 70 200 41'6
2025-12-14 51 260 22'9
2025-11-29 91 390 19'8
2025-10-04 50 220 24'13
2025-08-17 · Santa Clara 90 380 42'9