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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25

Momentum

MoreirenseNacional
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · Tiago Carvalho Margarido
Position
7 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Márcio André Dias Torres

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
12.9° (feels 12.2°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 3.47–8.78 · xPts 3.55

  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 1.7–1.3 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.4–1.69 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 2–1 xG 0.59–1.58 PRT PL
  • L H Gil Vicente 1–2 xG 0.16–2.53 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 0.62–1.68 PRT PL

Nacional

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 8 · xG 5.41–8.46 · xPts 5.33

  • L H Sporting Braga 1–2 xG 1.18–3.33 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 0–3 xG 1.6–1.69 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–1 xG 0.77–0.69 PRT PL
  • D H Casa Pia 0–0 xG 1.04–0.77 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 1–2 xG 0.82–1.99 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2012

Moreirense 103 draws3 Nacional

Goals 26–16 · 2.63 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Moreirense 53 draws2 Nacional

Goals 15–11 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 03 draws2 Nacional

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Moreirense 1–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Nacional 3–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 1–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Nacional 1–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Nacional 0–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 2–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Nacional 1–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Nacional 0–1 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 3–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 34Moreirense at home · 17Nacional all · 34Nacional away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.591.000.82
W / D / L12 / 7 / 158 / 3 / 69 / 7 / 183 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.091.181.090.82
Goals against / match1.441.241.321.29
Clean sheets26%29%24%18%
Failed to score32%29%32%35%
Both teams scored47%47%47%47%
Over 2.550%53%41%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.941.221.13
xG against / match1.541.341.631.64
xG difference-0.63-0.41-0.41-0.51
Finishing vs xG0.180.24-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.021.101.181.12
Points vs xPts0.250.49-0.18-0.29
Game state
Scored first44%47%38%29%
PPG when scoring first2.202.381.772.20
PPG when conceding first0.470.880.500.25
Came back from behind25%33%25%25%
Leads held71%80%56%60%
Minutes leading22%18%19%17%
Minutes level52%60%53%53%
Minutes trailing26%21%27%30%
First goal (min)35434448
First goal conceded (min)40424245
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%70%60%43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%57%60%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.240.18
Late goals against0.350.240.350.24
Style
Possession50%50%46%44%
Shots8.99.412.612.6
On target3.23.14.24.2
Shot conversion12%13%9%6%
Shots inside box59%58%58%58%
Big chances created1.71.41.91.8
Corners3.64.04.44.0
xG from set plays27%30%41%27%
Goals from headers24%30%19%21%
Pressure index10.610.28.36.8
Dominant minutes42.947.336.732.2
Pass accuracy83%83%76%75%
Fouls13.913.814.915.5
Cards2.712.593.352.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Nacional

0–15'48
16–30'43
31–45'77
46–60'67
61–75'88
76–90'812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Nacional · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.246
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284

Game state

When ahead-0.492
When level-0.226
When behind-0.185
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.334

Situations

At home-0.193
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.246

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.262
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.283

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.136

Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.00.61.23

Nacional

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-318 53%1.00.831.111.01.73
4-2-3-19 26%0.891.221.561.321.58
5-4-13 9%1.331.01.01.351.58
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.52.52.221.28
4-4-21 3%1.03.03.01.812.04

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.3h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 37% P 38%3.2Draw 29% P 30%2.8Away 33% P 32%

Double Chance

1.36Moreirense or Draw 35% P 34%1.36Moreirense or Nacional 35% P 35%1.57Draw or Nacional 30% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 51%1.9No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Márcio André Dias Torres

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.89 cards, 25.4 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-07 10 160 84'4
2026-01-18 20 350 90'8
2025-12-13 40 270 33'9
2025-11-30 50 252 19'10
2025-10-04 51 284 24'16
2025-09-13 · Moreirense 10 250 1'8