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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25

Momentum

TondelaRio Ave
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Capacity
5,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Cristiano Bacci · Sotiris Silaidopoulos
Position
17 · 16
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
6.7° (feels 6.7°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
96%

Where to watch · 3

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Tondela

DDDWD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 5.94–7.73 · xPts 6.15

  • D H Santa Clara 2–2 xG 1.14–1.86 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 2–0 xG 1.42–0.91 PRT PL
  • D H Alverca 1–1 xG 1.67–0.85 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 2–2 xG 1.14–1.23 PRT PL
  • D H Benfica 0–0 xG 0.58–2.87 PRT PL

Rio Ave

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 9 · xG 3.8–7.69 · xPts 4.56

  • D H Famalicão 0–0 xG 1.07–0.96 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–1 xG 0.48–2.19 PRT PL
  • L H Moreirense 1–2 xG 1.58–0.59 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–3 xG 0.17–1.96 PRT PL
  • L H Arouca 0–3 xG 0.49–1.99 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2016

Tondela 35 draws6 Rio Ave

Goals 19–25 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 86% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Tondela 14 draws5 Rio Ave

Goals 12–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Tondela 01 draws4 Rio Ave

Goals 3–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Tondela 0–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 3–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 2–1 Tondela neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Tondela 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 1–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 2–4 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 2–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Tondela 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 1–3 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricTondela all · 34Tondela at home · 17Rio Ave all · 34Rio Ave away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.820.761.061.24
W / D / L6 / 10 / 182 / 7 / 88 / 12 / 145 / 6 / 6
Goals for / match0.790.761.031.06
Goals against / match1.621.241.681.65
Clean sheets21%24%18%18%
Failed to score53%59%38%35%
Both teams scored35%35%53%53%
Over 2.550%35%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.351.050.80
xG against / match1.561.531.641.70
xG difference-0.30-0.18-0.59-0.89
Finishing vs xG-0.47-0.59-0.020.26
xPts / match1.231.301.060.86
Points vs xPts-0.40-0.540.000.37
Game state
Scored first32%24%35%24%
PPG when scoring first1.731.251.922.50
PPG when conceding first0.300.500.530.83
Came back from behind25%33%33%50%
Leads held46%33%50%62%
Minutes leading14%12%18%14%
Minutes level56%65%51%58%
Minutes trailing29%23%31%28%
First goal (min)41384255
First goal conceded (min)42443940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%63%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%62%56%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.180.180.24
Late goals against0.440.350.320.41
Style
Possession44%45%47%46%
Shots10.612.110.48.5
On target3.43.53.93.6
Shot conversion8%6%10%12%
Shots inside box60%63%62%63%
Big chances created2.02.02.01.6
Corners4.03.94.33.4
xG from set plays46%36%31%34%
Goals from headers12%17%18%22%
Pressure index8.38.98.26.6
Dominant minutes38.141.134.828.9
Pass accuracy78%77%82%81%
Fouls14.413.912.913.6
Cards2.712.412.972.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 43% P 45%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.4Away 27% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Tondela or Draw 37% P 37%1.36Tondela or Rio Ave 35% P 36%1.66Draw or Rio Ave 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.07Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%44%-0.2
Draw29%30%28%-1.4
Away26%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Career
155 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.72 (5.4 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
31.3 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 74 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.225.66+0.7476
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.09
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.610.37+1.7697
Time added8.37.7+0.8385
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 100 272 31'10
2025-12-07 50 300 16'7
2025-11-08 · Rio Ave 20 310 81'7
2025-11-01 50 412 53'14
2025-10-04 41 282 15'8
2025-09-27 52 310 59'7
2025-09-21 30 391 6'8
2025-08-17 11 141 24'6
2025-08-10 40 201 29'8
2025-04-06 30 290 21'9