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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25

Momentum

FamalicãoArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
Capacity
5,307
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
6 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.8° (feels 8.5°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 6

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Famalicão

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 5.31–6.67 · xPts 6.41

  • D A Rio Ave 0–0 xG 0.96–1.07 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 2–0 xG 2.16–0.6 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–1 xG 0.23–1.95 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 3–1 xG 1.84–0.38 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 0–5 xG 0.12–2.66 PRT PL

Arouca

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 8 · xG 6.09–8.46 · xPts 5.96

  • L A Porto 1–3 xG 0.37–3.22 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 3–0 xG 1.69–1.6 PRT PL
  • L A Casa Pia 2–3 xG 0.96–1.87 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 3–2 xG 1.08–1.27 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 3–0 xG 1.99–0.49 PRT PL

All meetings · 10 matches since 2021

Famalicão 33 draws4 Arouca

Goals 9–12 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Famalicão 33 draws4 Arouca

Goals 9–12 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Famalicão 22 draws1 Arouca

Goals 6–5 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Famalicão 1–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 3–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 1–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 0–1 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 4–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 2–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricFamalicão all · 34Famalicão at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.651.821.241.00
W / D / L15 / 11 / 89 / 4 / 412 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.241.591.381.18
Goals against / match0.850.711.882.00
Clean sheets50%59%21%24%
Failed to score26%18%26%29%
Both teams scored35%35%56%53%
Over 2.538%47%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.421.601.040.87
xG against / match1.000.881.511.54
xG difference0.420.71-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG-0.18-0.010.340.30
xPts / match1.661.831.141.08
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.010.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first53%59%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.442.401.821.71
PPG when conceding first0.671.000.630.44
Came back from behind43%43%24%17%
Leads held75%82%60%62%
Minutes leading24%27%20%11%
Minutes level60%54%50%54%
Minutes trailing16%19%30%34%
First goal (min)47433744
First goal conceded (min)39233532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%59%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%33%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.410.180.12
Late goals against0.260.000.410.41
Style
Possession52%54%50%51%
Shots12.414.310.710.6
On target4.35.13.62.9
Shot conversion10%11%13%11%
Shots inside box67%67%58%52%
Big chances created2.52.72.11.4
Corners5.55.73.73.4
xG from set plays31%29%24%30%
Goals from headers26%22%34%40%
Pressure index13.816.210.711.0
Dominant minutes53.556.343.444.0
Pass accuracy82%82%82%82%
Fouls15.715.413.913.3
Cards2.682.713.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.61Home 58% P 58%3.8Draw 25% P 24%5.5Away 17% P 17%

Double Chance

1.16Famalicao or Draw 41% P 41%1.28Famalicao or FC Arouca 37% P 38%2.1Draw or FC Arouca 22% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home58%59%57%-1.5
Draw24%25%28%+3.8
Away17%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Career
133 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.92 (5.53 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
28.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.185.66+0.6973
Fouls / match28.227.9+0.17
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1246
Time added7.17.7-0.5721
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-13 81 280 45'7
2026-01-30 70 311 42'7
2026-01-26 41 211 35'6
2025-12-11 71 230 11'7
2025-12-05 71 350 30'9
2025-10-31 20 190 36'8
2025-10-25 20 251 23'5
2025-10-05 112 300 11'7
2025-10-02 20 190 45'4
2025-09-20 50 291 45'12