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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 25

Momentum

SCBSporting CP
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,834

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · Rui Borges
Position
4 · 2
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 12.5°)
Wind
1.2
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 19

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 10.26–4.18 · xPts 10.51

  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 3.33–1.18 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 3–2 xG 2.25–0.98 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 1–2 xG 0.79–1.13 PRT PL
  • W H Rio Ave 3–0 xG 1.96–0.17 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 4–0 xG 1.93–0.73 PRT PL

Sporting CP

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 2 · xG 9.13–2.83 · xPts 11.2

  • W H Estoril 3–0 xG 2.03–0.55 PRT PL
  • W A Moreirense 3–0 xG 1.69–0.4 PRT PL
  • W H Famalicão 1–0 xG 1.95–0.23 PRT PL
  • D A Porto 1–1 xG 1.47–0.85 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 1.99–0.82 PRT PL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2006

Sporting Braga 116 draws25 Sporting CP

Goals 46–78 · 2.95 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting Braga 15 draws4 Sporting CP

Goals 13–25 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting Braga 03 draws2 Sporting CP

Goals 6–13 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Sporting Braga 2–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting CP 1–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting CP 1–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 2–4 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 5–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 1–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 5–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 3–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 1–2 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 1–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga at home · 17Sporting CP all · 34Sporting CP away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.762.412.41
W / D / L16 / 11 / 78 / 6 / 325 / 7 / 212 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match1.882.002.622.24
Goals against / match1.061.060.710.76
Clean sheets35%35%44%29%
Failed to score9%12%0%0%
Both teams scored56%53%56%71%
Over 2.568%71%71%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.642.091.90
xG against / match1.060.810.820.91
xG difference0.610.831.270.99
Finishing vs xG0.210.360.530.34
xPts / match1.751.892.121.98
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.120.300.44
Game state
Scored first71%71%76%71%
PPG when scoring first2.212.252.542.33
PPG when conceding first0.600.602.002.60
Came back from behind53%62%75%100%
Leads held59%57%81%75%
Minutes leading39%42%45%41%
Minutes level44%39%48%51%
Minutes trailing17%19%7%8%
First goal (min)29253937
First goal conceded (min)40385042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%41%57%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%44%67%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.410.650.59
Late goals against0.240.240.320.24
Style
Possession63%62%62%63%
Shots11.711.017.616.1
On target4.74.36.86.1
Shot conversion16%18%15%14%
Shots inside box67%66%68%65%
Big chances created2.72.73.63.3
Corners5.35.36.97.5
xG from set plays46%50%24%23%
Goals from headers14%15%16%17%
Pressure index21.319.824.622.6
Dominant minutes64.964.569.668.8
Pass accuracy87%87%88%88%
Fouls11.711.612.212.3
Cards2.442.242.182.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 25%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.0Away 47% P 47%

Double Chance

1.72Braga or Draw 27% P 26%1.3Braga or Sporting 36% P 36%1.28Draw or Sporting 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.85Over 51% P 50%1.95Under 49% P 50%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 33%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%26%26%-0.3
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Career
86 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.77 (4.48 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.845.66-1.0121
Fouls / match26.427.9-0.79
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.37-0.1942
Time added7.47.7-0.2230
First card
34' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-08 · Sporting Braga 20 220 45'4
2026-01-17 30 250 62'10
2025-12-23 · Sporting CP 81 350 58'9
2025-12-01 · Sporting Braga 41 201 13'6
2025-11-01 31 241 21'6
2025-10-05 80 210 45'6
2025-09-27 90 382 27'8
2025-09-14 20 210 71'12
2025-09-06 50 271 37'9
2025-08-17 · Sporting Braga 30 211 24'7