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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 26

Momentum

Casa PiaSCB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
Capacity
7,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,753

Teams

Coaches
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco · Carlos Vicens
Position
16 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Fabio Verssimo

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
15.3° (feels 14.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Casa Pia

DLDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 8 · xG 4.97–8.24 · xPts 5.73

  • D H Santa Clara 0–0 xG 1.86–0.2 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 1–3 xG 0.86–2.0 PRT PL
  • D H Benfica 1–1 xG 0.43–2.38 PRT PL
  • L A Estrela Amadora 0–4 xG 0.42–3.17 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 0–0 xG 1.4–0.48 PRT PL

Sporting Braga

WDWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 6.38–4.98 · xPts 7.8

  • D H Famalicão 2–2 xG 1.67–0.56 PRT PL
  • W A Real Betis 4–2 xG 1.65–1.3 UEFA EL
  • W H Arouca 1–0 xG 0.66–1.08 PRT PL
  • D H Real Betis 1–1 xG 1.18–1.44 UEFA EL
  • W A Moreirense 1–0 xG 1.23–0.6 PRT PL

All meetings · 8 matches since 2022

Casa Pia 30 draws5 Sporting Braga

Goals 9–15 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Casa Pia 30 draws5 Sporting Braga

Goals 9–15 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Casa Pia 20 draws3 Sporting Braga

Goals 7–11 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Casa Pia 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 4–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 1–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 4–3 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 1–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 0–1 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 0–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricCasa Pia all · 34Casa Pia at home · 17Sporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.880.881.741.71
W / D / L6 / 12 / 162 / 9 / 616 / 11 / 78 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match0.911.061.881.76
Goals against / match1.681.531.061.06
Clean sheets21%12%35%35%
Failed to score44%41%9%6%
Both teams scored47%59%56%59%
Over 2.544%29%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.940.981.671.70
xG against / match1.561.491.061.31
xG difference-0.62-0.510.610.39
Finishing vs xG-0.030.080.210.06
xPts / match1.001.071.751.61
Points vs xPts-0.12-0.19-0.010.09
Game state
Scored first29%29%71%71%
PPG when scoring first1.501.202.212.17
PPG when conceding first0.550.700.600.60
Came back from behind30%46%53%43%
Leads held46%29%59%62%
Minutes leading17%20%39%36%
Minutes level53%60%44%49%
Minutes trailing30%20%17%15%
First goal (min)42392933
First goal conceded (min)39474041
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%42%43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%62%50%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.410.41
Late goals against0.320.350.240.24
Style
Possession41%41%63%64%
Shots8.98.311.712.4
On target2.92.74.75.1
Shot conversion10%13%16%14%
Shots inside box62%61%67%68%
Big chances created1.71.82.72.6
Corners4.03.65.35.3
xG from set plays38%42%46%42%
Goals from headers19%22%14%14%
Pressure index7.18.921.322.8
Dominant minutes35.641.564.965.2
Pass accuracy72%71%87%86%
Fouls15.916.911.711.7
Cards3.003.242.442.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.621.64

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.5Home 17% P 16%4.0Draw 24% P 24%1.6Away 59% P 60%

Double Chance

2.3Casa Pia or Draw 20%1.22Casa Pia or Braga 38%1.14Draw or Braga 41%

Draw No Bet

4.01 23%1.222 77%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45%1.7No 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.05Over 46% P 47%1.75Under 54% P 53%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 57.5–60% · 227 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%17%18%+1.0
Draw24%24%24%-0.2
Away60%59%58%-0.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 43%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Fabio Verssimo

Career
18 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.75.66+0.0842
Fouls / match25.627.9-1.16
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.37+0.2958
Time added6.57.7-1.279
First card
24' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-12 60 311 22'5
2026-03-15 60 270 8'5
2026-03-01 · Casa Pia 50 332 2'6
2026-02-07 50 240 23'6
2026-01-24 50 280 22'4
2026-01-11 80 251 6'6
2025-12-27 50 230 49'3
2025-11-09 70 271 22'12
2025-11-02 · Sporting Braga 60 280 19'6
2025-09-29 81 210 3'6