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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 26

Momentum

Sporting CPTondela
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Capacity
52,095
Surface
grass
Attendance
32,836

Teams

Coaches
Rui Borges · Goncalo Feio
Position
3 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Fabio Verssimo

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
15.2° (feels 14.8°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting CP

LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 7.52–6.71 · xPts 7.15

  • D A AVS 1–1 xG 3.12–1.55 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 1.98–2.29 PRT PL
  • D A Arsenal 0–0 xG 0.36–1.26 UEFA CL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 1–0 xG 1.01–0.43 PRT PL
  • L H Arsenal 0–1 xG 1.06–1.17 UEFA CL

Tondela

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 11 · xG 4.92–10.34 · xPts 4.53

  • L H Nacional 0–2 xG 1.93–1.56 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–2 xG 0.11–3.4 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.87–1.91 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–5 xG 0.05–2.57 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 0–0 xG 0.97–0.89 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Sporting CP 104 draws2 Tondela

Goals 32–13 · 2.81 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting CP 62 draws2 Tondela

Goals 19–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting CP 41 draws0 Tondela

Goals 11–3 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Sporting CP 2–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–0 Tondela neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 4–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 1–0 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting CP 1–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 2–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting CP all · 34Sporting CP at home · 17Tondela all · 34Tondela away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.412.410.820.88
W / D / L25 / 7 / 213 / 2 / 26 / 10 / 184 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match2.623.000.790.82
Goals against / match0.710.651.622.00
Clean sheets44%59%21%18%
Failed to score0%0%53%47%
Both teams scored56%41%35%35%
Over 2.571%82%50%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.092.291.271.18
xG against / match0.820.741.561.60
xG difference1.271.55-0.30-0.41
Finishing vs xG0.530.71-0.47-0.36
xPts / match2.122.251.231.15
Points vs xPts0.300.16-0.40-0.27
Game state
Scored first76%82%32%41%
PPG when scoring first2.542.711.732.00
PPG when conceding first2.001.000.300.10
Came back from behind75%33%25%17%
Leads held81%87%46%57%
Minutes leading45%50%14%17%
Minutes level48%44%56%48%
Minutes trailing7%6%29%36%
First goal (min)39424144
First goal conceded (min)50624240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%63%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%60%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.710.150.12
Late goals against0.320.410.440.53
Style
Possession62%61%44%42%
Shots17.619.110.69.1
On target6.87.53.43.3
Shot conversion15%16%8%9%
Shots inside box68%70%60%56%
Big chances created3.63.82.01.9
Corners6.96.24.04.0
xG from set plays24%24%46%58%
Goals from headers16%16%12%8%
Pressure index24.626.78.37.7
Dominant minutes69.670.538.135.2
Pass accuracy88%88%78%80%
Fouls12.212.114.415.0
Cards2.181.532.713.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.08Home 86% P 88%9.5Draw 10% P 8%23.0Away 4% P 4%

Double Chance

1.01Sporting or Draw 48%1.08Sporting or Tondela 45%6.5Draw or Tondela 7%

Draw No Bet

1.021 95%19.02 5%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41%1.57No 59%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 74%3.4Under 28% P 26%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 87.5–90% · away 2.5–5% · 198 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home88%89%90%+1.8
Draw8%8%8%-0.3
Away4%4%2%-1.5

In those fixtures: 4.2 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 78%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.574%73%74%+0.3

Fabio Verssimo

Career
18 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.75.66+0.0842
Fouls / match25.627.9-1.16
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.37+0.2958
Time added6.57.7-1.279
First card
24' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-23 50 180 18'8
2026-04-12 60 311 22'5
2026-03-15 60 270 8'5
2026-03-01 50 332 2'6
2026-02-07 50 240 23'6
2026-01-24 50 280 22'4
2026-01-11 80 251 6'6
2025-12-27 50 230 49'3
2025-11-09 70 271 22'12
2025-11-02 60 280 19'6